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Lead?

#1 User is offline   Lord Molyb 

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Posted 2013-February-17, 14:34


At the table, south valued his hand as a 18 point balanced hand. But what does he lead now?
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#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2013-February-17, 14:35

♦A, nothing else looks really appealing
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#3 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2013-February-17, 14:35

♦A, nothing else looks really appealing
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#4 User is offline   Lord Molyb 

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Posted 2013-February-17, 14:35

lol I was wondering how I got two replies so quickly..
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#5 User is offline   lalldonn 

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Posted 2013-February-17, 14:52

I think I would lead ace of hearts. The king is probably on my left a lot on this auction IMO since LHO likely has long bad clubs (short diamonds and good enough to GF opposite a balance but no bid over 1♦?), and ace of diamonds lead seems to set up discards for them. I might need to set up another heart trick before that happens. Ace of diamonds also runs the risk that dummy is void.
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#6 User is offline   Alik1974 

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Posted 2013-February-18, 00:05

What I don't understand here is why West bid 4♦ instead of 4♠ ... Dreaming of a slam ? Or maybe trying to create an illusion of strength.
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#7 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2013-February-18, 06:34

I don't like the ♦A lead. LHO didn't overcall, yet he has a splinter. His partner quickly signs off so he probably has values in ♦. I wouldn't be surprised if LHO has a ♦ void and a poor 5 card suit in a 5404 distribution. Moreover, when you lead ♦A and it holds, then what? Lead another one right into declarer's KJT? I'd probably lead ♣K.
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#8 User is offline   gszes 

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Posted 2013-February-18, 12:39

View Postlalldonn, on 2013-February-17, 14:52, said:

I think I would lead ace of hearts. The king is probably on my left a lot on this auction IMO since LHO likely has long bad clubs (short diamonds and good enough to GF opposite a balance but no bid over 1♦?), and ace of diamonds lead seems to set up discards for them. I might need to set up another heart trick before that happens. Ace of diamonds also runs the risk that dummy is void.


i echo the heart A here maybe not for the same reason though---i have 4 potential tricks in my hand possibly 5 the problem
is the bidding has a great chance of allowing declarer to play double dummy. The heart lead has the best chance of standing
up at trick 1 and allowing me to better decide how many tricks my hand might take. If the spade A is to my left and a dia
void it may be time to take desparate measures and swith to the club K hoping against hope p has the A and can give me
a ruff. The heart ace allows me to judge which course of action will probably succeed failing only in the few instances
where leading the heart A itself was a killer for the defense. A dia or a club at trick 1 might easily be fatal and a safe look
at dummy might have allowed us to avoid either switch.
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