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3Dx+1

#1 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2012-January-20, 20:15

IMPs. East should bid 3?

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#2 User is offline   georgi 

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Posted 2012-January-24, 07:52

should, but the double looks more concerning.

#3 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-January-24, 10:11

View Postgeorgi, on 2012-January-24, 07:52, said:

should, but the double looks more concerningpretty normal.


FYP.
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#4 User is offline   jamegumb 

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Posted 2012-January-24, 12:55

I think GIB's long had a problem understanding the maxim that "takeout doubles should be taken out". (Perhaps it runs simulations to indicate that this rule shouldn't be followed, but for whatever reason I've ended up surrendering quite a few doubled contracts while GIB sat on a 5-card or longer unbid suit.)
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#5 User is offline   barmar 

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Posted 2012-January-24, 16:53

3 is the book bid, but sims overrode it in 10 of 11 tests. It's mostly dealing partner hands near the max (it assumes South is just raising the preempt with a weak hand), but not enough to raise to 4. So it think it's going to play in a part score, but should be able to set the opponents 1 (and sometimes 2, when it might be 3+2).

Unfortunately, in this case opener has a minimum, and it works out badly.

#6 User is offline   barmar 

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Posted 2012-January-24, 16:55

When I changed the vulnerability to none, it only passed in 5 of 11 sims.

#7 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2012-January-24, 22:33

View Postbarmar, on 2012-January-24, 16:53, said:

It's mostly dealing partner hands near the max...

Is this related to the fact that the description of the re-opening double includes "16-22 total points", when partner might be weaker?
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#8 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2012-January-25, 02:53

View Postmgoetze, on 2012-January-24, 10:11, said:

View Postgeorgi, on 2012-January-24, 07:52, said:

should, but the double looks more concerning pretty normal. more concerning

FYP.

FYFYP.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#9 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2012-January-25, 19:21

Variation on a theme?

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#10 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-January-25, 19:48

View PostBbradley62, on 2012-January-25, 19:21, said:

Variation on a theme?


I don't get it, what's the theme?
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#11 User is offline   Bbradley62 

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Posted 2012-January-25, 23:06

View Postmgoetze, on 2012-January-25, 19:48, said:

I don't get it, what's the theme?
In this second hand, East made a questionable second takeout double, which got his partnership in trouble. West did the something similar in the original hand. Similar, admittedly not exactly the same...
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#12 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-January-25, 23:43

View PostBbradley62, on 2012-January-25, 23:06, said:

In this second hand, East made a questionable second takeout double, which got his partnership in trouble. West did the something similar in the original hand. Similar, admittedly not exactly the same...


Ah, OK. Well, as I've implied, I consider the double in the first hand a lot less questionable than the one in this second hand.
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#13 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2012-January-26, 02:59

Double there (when your partner passed and opponents both bid) should promise quite a good hand, at least 15 with a singleton, but usually more. It does not pay to play doubles as "I have a shortness! I have a shortness!". And if somehow partner has a penalty pass, he can double for penalties.
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#14 User is offline   mgoetze 

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Posted 2012-January-26, 08:42

View Postgwnn, on 2012-January-26, 02:59, said:

Double there (when your partner passed and opponents both bid) should promise quite a good hand, at least 15 with a singleton, but usually more. It does not pay to play doubles as "I have a shortness! I have a shortness!". And if somehow partner has a penalty pass, he can double for penalties.


For the second hand, I definitely agree with you. For the first, I think you fail to appreciate that one opponent preempted, and the other made a minimum non-forcing raise of that preempt. Of course we all know that 3 can be very much a tactical bid, but the majority of the time this bidding tells us that we have at least half the deck. In this kind of situation, especially at matchpoints, it is imperative that the partner who has shortness in their suit act, as the other may not be able to. East might have a 5233 hand just short of a forcing 2 bid. Is he now going to balance into 3, just to discover that West had only 2 spades? No, of course not - and that's why this double is necessary.
"One of the painful things about our time is that those who feel certainty are stupid, and those with any imagination and understanding are filled with doubt and indecision"
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#15 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2012-January-27, 02:09

View Postmgoetze, on 2012-January-26, 08:42, said:

For the second hand, I definitely agree with you. For the first, I think you fail to appreciate that one opponent preempted, and the other made a minimum non-forcing raise of that preempt. Of course we all know that 3 can be very much a tactical bid, but the majority of the time this bidding tells us that we have at least half the deck. In this kind of situation, especially at matchpoints, it is imperative that the partner who has shortness in their suit act, as the other may not be able to. East might have a 5233 hand just short of a forcing 2 bid. Is he now going to balance into 3, just to discover that West had only 2 spades? No, of course not - and that's why this double is necessary.

Because there is a case (qualified with a 'might have') where double will work out well, double is necessary. That is not my kind of logic.

No, I don't fail to appreciate that one opponent preempted and the other made a minimum non-forcing raise of that preempt. Because one opponent preempted, the "minimum non-forcing raise" can be made with quite a strong hand. Maybe you fail to appreciate that?
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#16 User is offline   jamegumb 

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Posted 2012-January-30, 11:23

View Postjamegumb, on 2012-January-24, 12:55, said:

I think GIB's long had a problem understanding the maxim that "takeout doubles should be taken out". (Perhaps it runs simulations to indicate that this rule shouldn't be followed, but for whatever reason I've ended up surrendering quite a few doubled contracts while GIB sat on a 5-card or longer unbid suit.)


Yes, I screwed up the defense here late (though I suppose it's possible that declarer has QT6 in spades and Qx in hearts, in which case playing the spade king before the jack would be foolish). The double still needs to be taken out:


http://tinyurl.com/7aa7q5b

(And this is why it's so dangerous to double with shapely hands and GIB as your partner. I knew better.)
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#17 User is offline   jamegumb 

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Posted 2012-February-01, 10:42

View Postjamegumb, on 2012-January-30, 11:23, said:

Yes, I screwed up the defense here late (though I suppose it's possible that declarer has QT6 in spades and Qx in hearts, in which case playing the spade king before the jack would be foolish). The double still needs to be taken out:


http://tinyurl.com/7aa7q5b

(And this is why it's so dangerous to double with shapely hands and GIB as your partner. I knew better.)


Yes, I know better. Yet it still happens:

http://tinyurl.com/72hj9d9
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