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Last guess?

#1 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-October-27, 19:11

Matchpoints w/w

QJTxx xx Kx KQ9x

1♠ - pass - 3♥ - 3♠
?

3♥ is your mixed raise. You don't ask, but 3♠ is hearts + a minor

Pass?
4♣?
Double?
4♠?

What say you?
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#2 User is offline   maggieb 

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Posted 2009-October-27, 19:23

4♠, they can do whatever they want after that.
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#3 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2009-October-27, 19:26

Agree with 4S, and think it is infinitely better than 4C. We are super unlikely to need to bid 5S w/w, I will consider it a victory just to get them to the 5 level. With a pretty low ODR opposite a mixed raise I am not looking to get partner to judge to bid 5 over 5.

Additionally the whole point of bidding is sticking it to LHO. If we bid 4C he can double to show some values so they will have an easier time Xing 4S, and he can also bid 4H to show his heart fit and suggest to his partner that they compete to the 5 level, or he can bid 4H then X 4S to show a good hand with a heart fit so his partner can judge what to do etc.
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#4 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 04:10

I would quickly pass, I guess I need to review my tactics.
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#5 User is offline   dellache 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:03

Tough one.
Pard has 3♠2+♥ if I understand 3♥ properly.
This looks like 17 total trumps, but as my spade holding is perfect for offense (and I have no Heart quacks), I think 17 trumps will often lead to 18 tricks. This suggests a 4♠ bid.

OTOH if east's minor is Clubs, or if pard has 3+♥, 4♠ will often be a phantom against their 4♥ because 17 T-tricks only are available. But in that case I expect the scoresheet might be half full with 140 in my column, and I need to whack 4♥ to save some MP. It looks as if I cannot let them play 4♥ undoubled.

At the table, I admit I would probably pass first. If it goes 3NT by west (4252), 4♣ by East, I hit the jackpot. Unlikely but possible. Otherwise, I guess I'll bid 4♠ very confidently at my next turn, unless pard whacks 4♥ himself. I don't really see why a very confident delayed 4♠ will see our line less favourably placed than a direct 4♠. But maybe I'm wrong, because many other posters bid a wtp 4♠.

The bid I don't consider is 4♣. I would need 5-5 to bid that.

EDIT: if mixed raise means limit 4+♠ (is that so ?) I bid a wtp 4♠ at light speed.
FD
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#6 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:32

It wouldn't occur to me to bid anything. Can my hand be worse than this? It's not like it improves on the auction. If p can double 4♥ or 4♦ it's cool.
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#7 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:34

I like 4♠. No wastage in hearts, and partner has 4 card support. Can make, they can make a false sac and you're NV.
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#8 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:43

dellache, on Oct 28 2009, 12:03 PM, said:

Tough one.
Pard has 3♠2+♥ if I understand 3♥ properly.

"Mixed" normally means four-card support and constructive (but not invitational) values.

Quote

At the table, I admit I would probably pass first. If it goes 3NT by west (4252), 4♣ by East, I hit the jackpot. Unlikely but possible. Otherwise, I guess I'll bid 4♠ very confidently at my next turn, unless pard whacks 4♥ himself. I don't really see why a very confident delayed 4♠ will see our line less favourably placed than a direct 4♠.

By passing, you allow LHO to find out what his partner's suit is, and/or RHO to find out whether he's facing heart support.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#9 User is offline   dellache 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:47

gnasher, on Oct 28 2009, 11:43 AM, said:

dellache, on Oct 28 2009, 12:03 PM, said:

Tough one.
Pard has 3♠2+♥ if I understand 3♥ properly.

"Mixed" normally means four-card support and constructive (but not invitational) values.

Then I would not consider any other bid than 4♠ !
FD
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#10 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:55

double post zapped
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#11 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 05:55

I'm sure I'd have passed at the table. Maybe I can learn something here.

edit: see Fluffy, sometimes you take away other people's posts!
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#12 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 06:59

helene_t, on Oct 28 2009, 12:32 PM, said:

It wouldn't occur to me to bid anything. Can my hand be worse than this? It's not like it improves on the auction.

Yes, you could have QJ10xx Qx Kxx Kxx.

Quote

If p can double 4♥ or 4♦ it's cool.


Is that even conceivable? It's possible that 4♥ is going down eg - opposite Axxx QJ10 xxx xxx with RHO having x AKxxx AQJ10x xx, but I can't see partner doubling.

The main worry is that 4♠ goes for 500. The main hope is that if that's the case they won't double. RHO has quite a wide range here, so LHO may not be sure whose hand it is.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#13 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 08:01

4♠. This has got to be the percentage action given that we don't give room for the opponents to exchange information and could be a great sac. 4♣ and X I do not like.
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#14 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 08:14

gnasher, on Oct 28 2009, 01:59 PM, said:

The main worry is that 4♠ goes for 500.

Well I was worried about going for 50 against nothing.
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#15 User is offline   maggieb 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 09:09

helene_t, on Oct 28 2009, 09:14 AM, said:

gnasher, on Oct 28 2009, 01:59 PM, said:

The main worry is that 4♠ goes for 500.

Well I was worried about going for 50 against nothing.

Why? You have nothing in spades, nothing in hearts, and slow tricks in clubs (very likely not RHO's second suit). You have something like 1.5 defensive tricks as an opening bidder opposite someone who just said he had a good preempt with 4 card support for your defensively useless major. I really doubt they aren't making something.
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#16 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 09:11

I bid 4♠ too. I really liked the bid at the time. No way did I want to defend 4♦ or 4♥.

The entire hand was:

Scoring: MP


On some other days they can wrap 4♥. Not today. Damn red 10's!

Plus we got very little field protection on BBO (17%). I would expect IRL we'd be 30-40% even on this layout.
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#17 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 09:48

It is obvious to defend on this auction.

LOL.

In real life, I would have bid 4♠ over 3♠. The actual layout is quite unlucky.
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#18 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 09:56

Nice to have a problem posted where the previous actions and premises are not flawed. The consensus action (4s) is damned unlucky and shouldn't change anyone's mind that it is a good bid.
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#19 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 12:30

Did RHO not double you?

BTW in general a great thing about auctions like this is nobody knows who has what, the ranges are extremely wide. The 3S bidder could have almost any 6-5, or some medium 5-5's, and the 4S bidder could have anything from this to a real hand.

Therefore, it is hard to guage when to double or not. People who are not experienced with this kind of highly competitive bridge do not double nearly enough on this auction. If RHO did not double with THAT hand that is very good evidence of this. Sure they might make, but you have such a great hand that you have to assume you were making and thus they were saving and protect yourself by doubling.

Likewise it will be very hard for LHO to know when to double. Make sure you bid 4S in tempo and don't look like it's painful!

When this is not a phantom save which I don't expect it to be that often then it's probably a really good bid.
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#20 User is offline   cherdanno 

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Posted 2009-October-28, 12:42

helene_t, on Oct 28 2009, 06:32 AM, said:

It wouldn't occur to me to bid anything. Can my hand be worse than this? It's not like it improves on the auction. If p can double 4♥ or 4♦ it's cool.

You are 5-4 with great intermediates in your suit.
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