Selecting USA Team
#21
Posted 2009-October-08, 12:26
Imp pairs trials are, in my opinion, fit for when there are few players and they get along fine amongst themselves.
#22
Posted 2009-October-08, 12:27
aguahombre, on Oct 7 2009, 03:41 AM, said:
I've seen such cases.
#23
Posted 2009-October-08, 13:27
probably only a small advantage, though...
#24
Posted 2009-October-08, 17:11
matmat, on Oct 8 2009, 09:27 PM, said:
probably only a small advantage, though...
That's not it.
The point is one tries harder if there is a good team spirit. This means a lot.
Especially when things run badly at the table, and they inevitably do sometimes in the long, difficult tournaments. Then is extremely important not to throw everything away right there, but really fight for the team and escape from the session with just a small minus.
#25
Posted 2009-October-08, 19:22
PeterGill, on Oct 7 2009, 10:27 PM, said:
Based on that experience, I agree 100% with Fred.
Also, the results of Australian teams selected by Pairs Trials are much worse than those selected by Teams Trials. Australia's dismal showing in Beijing last year
after Pairs Trials was not an isolated case. I could add a few hundred lines of actual Australian data for the last ten years here, but I will not. The data exists because we alternate Pairs Trials and Teams Trials from year to year.
Do you think this was more due to the team spirit thing, or due to the teams selected by teams trials consisting of better pairs?
#26
Posted 2009-October-08, 19:53
cherdanno, on Oct 8 2009, 08:22 PM, said:
PeterGill, on Oct 7 2009, 10:27 PM, said:
Based on that experience, I agree 100% with Fred.
Also, the results of Australian teams selected by Pairs Trials are much worse than those selected by Teams Trials. Australia's dismal showing in Beijing last year
after Pairs Trials was not an isolated case. I could add a few hundred lines of actual Australian data for the last ten years here, but I will not. The data exists because we alternate Pairs Trials and Teams Trials from year to year.
Do you think this was more due to the team spirit thing, or due to the teams selected by teams trials consisting of better pairs?
"Do you think this was more due to the team spirit thing, or due to the teams selected by teams trials consisting of better pairs?"
Both.
Our Australian Pairs Trials for our Beijing Open team produced a team of pairs seeded about 9, 10 and 12 of the 16 pairs. Fourth was the 13th seeds. Our 2008 Women's Team was the 3rd, 4th and 12th seeds, with the 13th seeds 4th.
Our Open Teams' team spirit in 2007 after Teams Trials was good, but in 2008 was lacking, in my opinion.
Personally, I think that selection of the team by a sole selector (like Norway in 2007, Italy in 2008, even USA2 for one player in 2009) is best if you want good results, but I accept that such a dictatorial undemocratic approach is widely regarded as unacceptable in many countries. Teams Trials 2nd best in my opinion, with Pairs Trials almost useless if you want a happy team that can do well. Pairs Trials should be the most popular method if players are polled, as they give more players a chance to make the team.
I look forward hopefully, with my fingers crossed, to Australia's 2010 Trials, which are Pairs Trials.
#27
Posted 2009-October-09, 00:37
PeterGill, on Oct 9 2009, 02:53 AM, said:
In the UK selection is done by a committee, and there are no end of horror stories about it.
#28
Posted 2009-October-09, 00:39
Vampyr, on Oct 9 2009, 01:37 AM, said:
PeterGill, on Oct 9 2009, 02:53 AM, said:
In the UK selection is done by a committee, and there are no end of horror stories about it.
Of course mostly people don't agree exactly which decisions were the bad ones - at least not until after the event.
#29
Posted 2009-October-09, 01:35
Vampyr, on Oct 9 2009, 07:37 AM, said:
PeterGill, on Oct 9 2009, 02:53 AM, said:
In the UK selection is done by a committee, and there are no end of horror stories about it.
I think you mean in England ...
#30
Posted 2009-October-09, 02:25
Vampyr, on Oct 9 2009, 07:37 AM, said:
Are there? Obviously the decisions will only be as good as the committee, but I can't think of any recent selection decision that looked really silly. Most of the recent criticism has been about the process rather than about the eventual selection decisions.
#31
Posted 2009-October-09, 02:41
PeterGill, on Oct 8 2009, 05:53 PM, said:
Personally, I think that selection of the team by a sole selector (like Norway in 2007, Italy in 2008, even USA2 for one player in 2009) is best if you want good results, but I accept that such a dictatorial undemocratic approach is widely regarded as unacceptable in many countries. Teams Trials 2nd best in my opinion, with Pairs Trials almost useless if you want a happy team that can do well. Pairs Trials should be the most popular method if players are polled, as they give more players a chance to make the team.
I look forward hopefully, with my fingers crossed, to Australia's 2010 Trials, which are Pairs Trials.
Do you think that is inherit in any pairs trials, or just because the Australian pairs trial was too short? I could see an argument that one reason a team trial might be better than a pairs trial, even ignoring all the "team spirit" psychology would be that it is easier to sort teams than pairs over the same number of hands played. So if "good" pairs tend to team up to form teams (possibly arguable in the sponsored world, but maybe not) then a pairs trial needs many more hands to get the true 3 best pairs while a team trial needs fewer as the teammates will pick each other up.
PeterGill, on Oct 8 2009, 05:53 PM, said:
It is interesting that this is the way many sports do it, which as was pointed out in the thread already, involve much more team cooperation than bridge. The national soccer team, basketball team, hockey team, etc. are all formed by having a head coach and/or national selectors and then selecting the team. We don't, generally, have a team trial and pick the winning team from some team competition (although curling in Canada does work that way).
#32
Posted 2009-October-09, 09:36
I agree with Peter, however, when he says that pairs trials are more popular because they give more players a chance to make the team. Pairs trials are good at encouraging new pairs to come forward and hone their skills against established pairs. I would have thought that (sponsors permitting) pairs tirals would produce the best teams (I would like to see Peter's contrary data on the Australian experience). Even if pairs trials are inferior in the short term, they are likely to be more effective in the long term because they sow more seed corn. I feel that they are fairer. Hence more ordinary players are likely to take an interest in their team and support it.
#33
Posted 2009-October-10, 04:39
Split the qualifiers into 2 separate pair trials. One group for unsponsored pairs, a second group for pairs that include one player that is willing to sponsor the entire team when formed.
The top two pairs from the first group and the top pair from the second group will form the team.
#34
Posted 2009-October-10, 05:01
Vampyr, on Oct 9 2009, 01:37 AM, said:
PeterGill, on Oct 9 2009, 02:53 AM, said:
In the UK selection is done by a committee, and there are no end of horror stories about it.
England came 1st or 2nd in the world in all three of the Open, Women's and Under 21 World Championships in Beijing, the most recent World Championships that England competed in, excluding oldies. I connected "good results" to "sole selector". England has mutliple selectors, in my opinion not quite as good an approach as the three countries I mentioned in my previous email, all of whom won the World Championship in the year I referred to.
"Horror Stories about Selection" and "Successful Teams" in my opinion often go hand in hand. The horror stories a few months ago about adding Ralph Katz to USA2, as discussed on bridgeblogging.com. are among many examples.
Nigel, please email me at petergill909 ..... at ..... gmail.com if you want the Aussie data. I cannot clutter these pages with it - it might fill more than one page here.
I think Pairs Trials of about 3 weeks would be long enough, but in the real world that is impractical. Any shorter is too short to sort out the Pairs, in my opinionated opinion. For example, two months ago my sick food-poisoned client and I played in a Butler Pairs Trials of the top pairs in Australia, coming 2nd after 8 days play. Either it was too short to sort out the field properly, or the pairs from 3rd down were woeful. Please do not forward this to my client.
I like the comparison of curling to bridge - but me and Reese? I'll have to check how many fingers are visible when I hold my cards.
#35
Posted 2009-October-10, 05:04
woefuwabit, on Oct 10 2009, 11:39 AM, said:
Split the qualifiers into 2 separate pair trials. One group for unsponsored pairs, a second group for pairs that include one player that is willing to sponsor the entire team when formed.
The top two pairs from the first group and the top pair from the second group will form the team.
I don't think this is a very good idea, because:
- The winning sponsor pair is the pair which is best able to compete against other sponsor pairs, rather than against world-class opponents.
- If an amateur pair finishes in the top two, you force them to play with a sponsor.
- You remove the option of a non-playing sponsor. Such people do exist, in Italy, England, and no doubt elsewhere. I doubt if there is a bridge pro anywhere in the world that prefers playing with a sponsor to playing with another pro.
- Pros aren't all paid the same, and different sponsors have different budgets. A sponsor who couldn't afford Meckwell might choose to play in the pro qualifier, to avoid a large bill for winning the sponsor event. If he happened to do well, you'd end up with two sponsors in your team.
#36
Posted 2009-October-10, 05:22
gnasher, on Oct 10 2009, 12:04 PM, said:
woefuwabit, on Oct 10 2009, 11:39 AM, said:
Split the qualifiers into 2 separate pair trials. One group for unsponsored pairs, a second group for pairs that include one player that is willing to sponsor the entire team when formed.
The top two pairs from the first group and the top pair from the second group will form the team.
I don't think this is a very good idea, because:
- The winning sponsor pair is the pair which is best able to compete against other sponsor pairs, rather than against world-class opponents.
- If an amateur pair finishes in the top two, you force them to play with a sponsor.
- You remove the option of a non-playing sponsor. Such people do exist, in Italy, England, and no doubt elsewhere. I doubt if there is a bridge pro anywhere in the world that prefers playing with a sponsor to playing with another pro.
- Pros aren't all paid the same, and different sponsors have different budgets. A sponsor who couldn't afford Meckwell might choose to play in the pro qualifier, to avoid a large bill for winning the sponsor event. If he happened to do well, you'd end up with two sponsors in your team.
Additionally, even in the land of professionalism, the USA1 team for the Bermuda Bowl last month did not have a sponsor.
#37
Posted 2009-October-10, 05:45
PeterGill, on Oct 10 2009, 11:01 AM, said:
Well, that is the problem with any form of trials - be they team trials or pairs trials. A couple of hundred boards is nothing like enough (already circa 4 days play or more for teams of 6). 400 is better, but still not enough. 600 could still suffer from variance.
Nick
#38
Posted 2009-October-20, 16:24
Given that you have a safety net of the runner-up from the teams trial (likely a very strong team of people who want to play together with a playing sponsor) you could get away with a relatively short pairs trial - probably 5 days would suffice comprised of 2 days of qualifying/seeding (perhaps on a weekend so non-qualifiers can fly home on Sunday night) to come down to a field of, say, 12 pairs to play an 11-round butler over 3 days (probably 16-board matches) and then the top 3 pairs form a team to play-off against the runner-up from the teams trial.
Despite the economics of top-level professional bridge, I would expect that once the pros have discharged all of their obligations to their sponsors through the NABCs and the teams trial, those that didn't make the top 2 in the teams trial would still have a little bit of fire in the belly to have last-ditch effort to get to a world championship.
Scheduling might be a bit of an issue and will probably require the teams trials to be played a little bit earlier in the cycle, but I'm sure all that could be worked out.
This is not dissimilar to how my home state of Victoria (a bridge jurisdiction of about 5000 players so comparable to a medium-sized European country) selects its team - basically the winner of the state teams championships plays-off against a butler team selected from a pairs trial. Not surprisingly, the state teams champion usually (but not always) wins but at least pairs that couldn't organise themselves onto a strong team still get a chance to represent their state and it adds another good quality bridge event to the calendar.
I ♦ bidding the suit below the suit I'm actually showing not to be described as a "transfer" for the benefit of people unfamiliar with the concept of a transfer
#39
Posted 2009-October-20, 16:32
And FWIW a pairs trial would be beneficial to someone like me in particular rather than a teams trial, and I think an open team game with long matches is the best/most fair way to decide this assuming the goal is to pick the best team while still giving everyone a shot.
#40
Posted 2009-October-20, 17:55
Self selection of teams is very unlikely to produce the best team.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

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