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Your lead against 3Dx

Poll: What do you lead? (37 member(s) have cast votes)

What do you lead?

  1. Systemic Spade (12 votes [32.43%])

    Percentage of vote: 32.43%

  2. Systemic Heart (1 votes [2.70%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.70%

  3. Systemic Diamond (9 votes [24.32%])

    Percentage of vote: 24.32%

  4. Systemic Club (14 votes [37.84%])

    Percentage of vote: 37.84%

  5. Some irritating anti-partnership non-systemic lead (1 votes [2.70%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.70%

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#1 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 07:15

Scoring: IMP

2 3 P P
x all pass


Your pass over 3 = a negative or penalties (double would be values)
Partner's double = strong balanced
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#2 User is offline   TylerE 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 07:46

I lead trumps against doubled part scores unless I have a compelling reason not to.
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#3 User is offline   Hanoi5 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 07:50

Isn't losing a trick in such suit a compelling reason? I usually lead a suit where I think I can get declarer to trump when I have a trump stack (Jxxx is probably not a stack and neither is Kxxx as I found out yesterday, but still).

View Postwyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:

Also, he rates to not have a heart void when he leads the 3.


View Postrbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:

Besides playing for fun, most people also like to play bridge to win


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#4 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 08:49

I lead a club. By leading the suit in which we have an honour, we reduce the risk of blowing one of partner's tricks.

A trump lead seems particularly pointless. Which suit do we think dummy is going to be ruffing, and with what?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#5 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 09:10

6 of . Any other lead will probably blow one of partner's tricks, and a trump is very rarely right.
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#6 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 09:28

I would lead a spade, even with a 'sure trump trick' I would love to get a ruff or two, or exert pressure on declarer by leading suits through him that I can overruff.
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#7 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 09:54

Agree with spade lead; also since it's J9 it might just be the best lead to promote high cards even if it doesnt get us ruffs.
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#8 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 10:38

Club

least likely to cost a trick or a tempo...
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#9 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 10:45

Spade, second choice club. If a black suit is forbidden, I lead a heart. Diamond is plain silly.
Why should I give two trumps for one from declarer?
Dummy rates to have at most one trump, so I do not fear many ruffs in the short trump hand.
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#10 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 12:06

if declarer's got K I think we will have to give it to him sooner or later, however, the K is doubleton we might be able to prevent him from collecting it. That's why I lead a spade.
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#11 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 17:58

TylerE, on Jan 9 2009, 08:46 AM, said:

I lead trumps against doubled part scores unless I have a compelling reason not to.

Is a compelling reason a trump void in dummy?

I don't like the spade lead. It's a crap shoot on whether or not the spades we ruff are tricks we would have otherwise made.

I'm leading a club.
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#12 User is offline   fred 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 18:09

Maybe I woke up in an alternate universe today...

If you are really concerned about not blowing a trick, isn't a heart lead obvious (and isn't a club lead absurd)?

Anyways, I would not be concerned about that - I would be thrilled to lead the Jack of spades.

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#13 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 18:39

I usually find myself agreeing with Fred, and disagreeing with him on bridge issues is a tough way to earn a living, literally or metaphorically. But here... partner holds, ostensibly, a balanced 22+. He won't be loaded in diamonds...I would expect an honour, but not two. Declarer will have limited entries to dummy... any side suit honours in his hand will be promoted by our leading the suit.

I would expect the opps to hold (potentially useful) side values in hearts, spades, and clubs in descending order .. in the inverse order to which we hold assets/length.

So I rank the leads as :trump: silly, heart: almost as silly: spade and club tossup with slight edge to club.

I do see the spade as being the one with the higher upside, but also the greater downside. When I do this lead, dummy has Q10xxx, partner Kxxx and declarer Ax.. and our lead costs an immediate trick while affording a possibly useful entry to dummy. Yes, I realize that clubs are not a sure thing either :)
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#14 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 18:53

Sure Mike anything is possible, but you are giving

- Partner 33% of the missing high cards in spades, and thus (let's say giving him the king only in diamonds) AT LEAST 89% of the high cards in hearts and clubs.
- The preempter an ace
- Dummy instead of partner the key ten

I don't think your layout is very representative of what to expect.
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#15 User is offline   fred 

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Posted 2009-January-09, 19:29

mikeh, on Jan 10 2009, 12:39 AM, said:

I usually find myself agreeing with Fred, and disagreeing with him on bridge issues is a tough way to earn a living, literally or metaphorically. But here... partner holds, ostensibly, a balanced 22+. He won't be loaded in diamonds...I would expect an honour, but not two. Declarer will have limited entries to dummy... any side suit honours in his hand will be promoted by our leading the suit.

I would expect the opps to hold (potentially useful) side values in hearts, spades, and clubs in descending order .. in the inverse order to which we hold assets/length.

So I rank the leads as :trump: silly, heart: almost as silly: spade and club tossup with slight edge to club.

I do see the spade as being the one with the higher upside, but also the greater downside. When I do this lead, dummy has Q10xxx, partner Kxxx and declarer Ax.. and our lead costs an immediate trick while affording a possibly useful entry to dummy. Yes, I realize that clubs are not a sure thing either :)

Hi Mike,

I don't think it is at all likely that partner has "only a King" in any of the 3 side suits. Even if his only high card in spades is the King, maybe dummy has the Ace or maybe partner has the 10 or...

But if he can have only a King in spades, he can also have only a King in clubs. Maybe declarer has AJx opposite 10xx in clubs. Obviously it doesn't matter which hand has which holding - a club lead blows a trick. Then there are club layouts like King in dummy and Jack in declarer's hand and King in dummy with 109x in declarer's hand.

Of course it is possible to think of other layouts where either a spade lead or a club lead blows a trick. Really I am not trying to demonstrate why I think a spade lead is less likely to blow a trick than a club lead (even though I think this is probably true). As I said, I would not concern myself with blowing a trick.

IMO the chances of establishing a position whereby partner can lead spade winners through declarer are quite good and the upside so high that (as I said) I would be really thrilled to lead a spade.

I tend to be a cautious player, but on hands like this (where setting the contract is not something I would be concerned about) my style is to go for the big number.

Fred Gitelman
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#16 User is offline   kgr 

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Posted 2009-January-10, 03:34

I did setup a deal profile in Jack with bidding and with given cards for opening leader.
I dealt a deal and Jack did bid as requested in the deal profile, so contract was 3Dx.
Analyse position for lead:
J: -17.5
4: -44.0
9: -48.6
2: -53.4
5: -191.6
- I'm not sure how this works and what Jack uses for possible deals for this bidding (maybe does does not correspond to biddigns we would do).
- It seems like the exxpected score for this deal is negative for us.
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#17 User is offline   kgr 

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Posted 2009-January-10, 03:38

I would have lead a here.
If anyone could explain when a trump lead is good against low level DBLed contracts (I thought most of the time) and why it is bad here that could be very usefull.
...Is reason that partner promised a balanced hand and therefor dummy will probably also be balanced and not much trump possibilities?
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#18 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-January-10, 09:28

trump is normally good to prevent ruffs in dummy, here dummy is void in trumps.
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#19 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-January-10, 10:34

kgr, on Jan 10 2009, 04:38 AM, said:

I would have lead a here.
If anyone could explain when a trump lead is good against low level DBLed contracts (I thought most of the time) and why it is bad here that could be very usefull.
...Is reason that partner promised a balanced hand and therefor dummy will probably also be balanced and not much trump possibilities?

It is bad here because you are finessing partner's trumps. Dummy has a singleton or void in and no entry. Opposite almost any holding from partner, a lead will give up a trick.
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#20 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2009-January-10, 10:41

FrancesHinden, on Jan 9 2009, 08:15 AM, said:

Scoring: IMP


2 3 P P
x all pass
Your pass over 3 = a negative or penalties (double would be values)
Partner's double = strong balanced
IMO J = 10, x = 8, = 5, = 1
At the table, I confess that I might have led a but the expert arguments have convinced me that a is better.
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