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Your Lead?

Poll: Your Lead? (14 member(s) have cast votes)

Your Lead?

  1. C (4 votes [28.57%])

    Percentage of vote: 28.57%

  2. D (3 votes [21.43%])

    Percentage of vote: 21.43%

  3. H (1 votes [7.14%])

    Percentage of vote: 7.14%

  4. S (6 votes [42.86%])

    Percentage of vote: 42.86%

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#1 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 06:32

Scoring: XIMP




1D=(3C)=P=(3NT)

Your Lead?
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#2 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 06:42

No information, but I will guess that 3♣ was preemptive and not intermediate or strong.

I like the ♠A lead.

Partner might encourage spades, if not, at least we will have seen dummy for a trick 2 switch.

A diamond lead is not so attractive from K987 when we have bid them, and partner was unable to support.
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#3 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 06:51

mike777, on Dec 9 2008, 07:32 AM, said:

Scoring: XIMP


1D=(3C)=P=(3NT)
Your Lead?
IMO ♠A = 10, ♦7 = 9, ♥A = 8, ♥T = 7, ♥8 = 6. ♣9 = 5.
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#4 User is offline   dcvetkov 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 07:38

Seems that declarer has tons of clubs tricks, they are either running or easily establishable via finesse

Attacking lead is called for. Partner can not have much, but he can have 5 spades to the jack and possibly one more useful card.

Ill try queen of ♠, since it will be much harder for declarer to duck from Kxx. and if he does, we can decided what to do with a look at dummy
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#5 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 08:01

I'm a spade Ace man.
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#6 User is offline   TylerE 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 08:58

I'm really tempted by ♣. What if declarer is counting on a sidesuit trick from a side suit for #9?
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#7 User is offline   Lobowolf 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 09:48

Spade ace here, as well.
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Posted 2008-December-09, 09:59

A♠ or Q♠ has to be right. Dummy has long running club tricks and setting up our suit before the clubs run is crucial. Granted, a ♥ might be best here, but it seems that the ♥ may be declarer's 9th trick...


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#9 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 10:23

Spade A. I don't see much upside to the Q... on the auction, and the play to the first trick, it is unlikely that declarer will misplace the A if we lead the Q, and the A retains the lead (and blows only a trick, not a tempo) in case we need to find a switch.. admittedly there isn't much upside to that, either. Stranger things have happened than catching a stiff K on the opening lead.... a tiny edge, but an edge nonetheless.
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#10 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 10:33

If there are 7 club tricks, there is no rush to lead the spade A. Declarer off the top will only have 7 clubs + diamond ace. Spade Ace lead could provide ninth.

I prefer a club lead - this may tangle communications.
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#11 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 12:13

dcvetkov, on Dec 9 2008, 08:38 AM, said:

Seems that declarer has tons of clubs tricks, they are either running or easily establishable via finesse

Attacking  lead is called for. Partner can not have much, but he can have 5 spades to the jack and possibly one more useful card.

Ill try queen of ♠, since it will be much harder for declarer to duck from Kxx. and if he does, we can decided what to do with a look at dummy

dcvetkov's idea seems better.
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#12 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 12:27

nige1, on Dec 9 2008, 12:13 PM, said:

dcvetkov, on Dec 9 2008, 08:38 AM, said:

Seems that declarer has tons of clubs tricks, they are either running or easily establishable via finesse

Attacking  lead is called for. Partner can not have much, but he can have 5 spades to the jack and possibly one more useful card.

Ill try queen of ♠, since it will be much harder for declarer to duck from Kxx. and if he does, we can decided what to do with a look at dummy

dcvetkov's idea seems better.

This analysis seems wrong. If partner has ♠Jxxxx and no entry, declarer is making anyway on the ♠Q lead (7 clubs, ♠K, ♦A).

I like the club lead. Looks a bit stupid when dummy has 8 clubs and partner ♠Kxxxx, but otherwise we are usually beating it when partner has either major king. A further upside is that the defense will be fun on the run of the clubs.
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#13 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 15:17

agree to SA
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#14 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 17:30

I probably lack imagination because I just lead my longest suit.

I remeber a similar hand where a top player led ♠A+♠Q from ♠AQ10, declarer had ♠KJ9x and was kinda happy about it.
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#15 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-December-09, 22:15

Fluffy, on Dec 9 2008, 06:30 PM, said:

I probably lack imagination because I just lead my longest suit.

I remeber a similar hand where a top player led ♠A+♠Q from ♠AQ10, declarer had ♠KJ9x and was kinda happy about it.

Yeah, I remember a hand once where my opening lead was my longest suit and that did not work. So, that's why I selected the spade Ace. I cannot remember, at least right now, a hand where the lead of the Ace from AQx hurt.
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