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simple lead question

#1 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-June-08, 22:29

Txx
KJxx
JT9
xxx

all red imps

1-p-1-p
4-end

do you have some sort of reason also?
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#2 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-June-08, 22:43

Low club.

I don't have much of a reason. A heart is out and a diamond is probably pointless. A spade in possible but pard didn't overcall so I'm not that interested in the suit, plus we could blow a trick.
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#3 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-June-08, 22:52

I would lead a diamond, JT9 is JT9.
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#4 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2008-June-08, 23:16

Top C. (Top from 3 small). Won't lead a D as this is very likely to give declarer a tempo. S is a close second choice, but maybe more likely to blow a trick.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#5 User is offline   zasanya 

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Posted 2008-June-09, 02:51

J. Seems most likely not to give away a trick; although it may give declarer a tempo but to me that seems a lesser danger.
Aniruddha
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#6 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2008-June-09, 07:41

Diamond. Yeah, opener might have a long diamond suit. He might also have 3 diamonds, or be 4-4 in the minors.

Seems like I had this hand this weekend, and I led a diamond. Don't know the result, though.
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#7 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-June-09, 08:04

J.

If we do guess to lead a black suit, a club must be better than a spade, not for reasons of blowing a trick, but (as mentioned by pclayton) because there are many holdings (AKJ9, etc, etc) that partner won't have in spades (would have overcalled) but could have in clubs.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#8 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-June-09, 08:19

Probably a club, but diamond would be my (close) 2nd choice.
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#9 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-June-09, 08:30

Ho hum, I thought a spade was obvious.
Diamonds are LHO's long suit.
Clubs could well be RHO's long suit.

Partner didn't overcall in spades, but he hasn't got many high cards, and he might not have 5 of them anyway.

I'm surprised at the suggestions that opener might not have diamonds, at least round here 18-19 balanced typically raises 1H to 3H, not to game (or not unless it's a really juicy hand).

I bet no-one leads a trump.
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#10 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-June-09, 09:10

FrancesHinden, on Jun 9 2008, 06:30 AM, said:

Ho hum, I thought a spade was obvious.
Diamonds are LHO's long suit.
Clubs could well be RHO's long suit.

Partner didn't overcall in spades, but he hasn't got many high cards, and he might not have 5 of them anyway.

I'm surprised at the suggestions that opener might not have diamonds, at least round here 18-19 balanced typically raises 1H to 3H, not to game (or not unless it's a really juicy hand).

I bet no-one leads a trump.

Well, LHO didn't splinter, so diamonds are still a little suspect. In reality LHO will frequently have 2452 however.
"Phil" on BBO
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#11 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-June-09, 09:18

pclayton, on Jun 9 2008, 10:10 AM, said:

FrancesHinden, on Jun 9 2008, 06:30 AM, said:

Ho hum, I thought a spade was obvious.
Diamonds are LHO's long suit.
Clubs could well be RHO's long suit.

Partner didn't overcall in spades, but he hasn't got many high cards, and he might not have 5 of them anyway.

I'm surprised at the suggestions that opener might not have diamonds, at least round here 18-19 balanced typically raises 1H to 3H, not to game (or not unless it's a really juicy hand).

I bet no-one leads a trump.

Well, LHO didn't splinter, so diamonds are still a little suspect. In reality LHO will frequently have 2452 however.

Well, LHO *should* be 5422, I think in reality people have a balanced 18 or 19 a vast majority of the time that they do this.
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