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2S X Assign the blame

#1 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 01:49

Scoring: IMP

(P)==P==(P)==1D
(1S)=X==(2D)=P
(2S)=X= all pass

2D was limit raise
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From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#2 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 01:54

North went nuts. Passing with his hand is inconceivable; 100% to him.
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#3 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 02:20

rogerclee, on Feb 4 2008, 02:54 AM, said:

North went nuts. Passing with his hand is inconceivable; 100% to him.

rogerclee, on Jan 16 2008, 05:57 PM, said:

It is almost inconceivable to me that partner's pass is nonforcing after 1H.

"You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means."

Sorry, Roger, couldn't resist. :)

Um, who is to blame?
If North had opened a weak NT, I think a negative double by South is bad with a singleton spade. On the actual auction, North is very likely to hold a weak NT, so there is real risk in doubling on a hand with very little defense, and a partial diamond fit. On the other hand he does have a shortage in their suit, and a lot of HCP. From North's point of view, a pass is not attractive, but neither is any action. I can see that passing and hoping to beat 2 X might appeal.

So even though the result is pretty bad, I have sympathy for both players, but I suppose 2NT scrambling instead of the final pass is best, so I must blame North.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#4 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-04, 06:28

I don't think this is a crazy result, the second X is probably rich but I totally understand it (partners shape is the only one that offers no fit). Norths pass is certainly reasonable too, it would be very normal at MP, at imps maybe he's supposed to bid 2N. It wouldn't surprise me if a simulation showed north's pass to be the long term winner though.
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#5 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 08:39

Is that second double really takeout?
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#6 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-04, 08:43

TimG, on Feb 4 2008, 09:39 AM, said:

Is that second double really takeout?

umm ya dude... 4 realz
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#7 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 08:55

I know that north is going to look at his four spades and assume that the double is takeout.

What if the auction had been:

(P)-P-(P)-1
(1)-DBL-(1N)-P
(2)-DBL

?

Or, what if 2 had only shown a constructive raise to 2 rather than a limit raise?
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#8 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 09:02

TimG, on Feb 4 2008, 09:39 AM, said:

Is that second double really takeout?

... I would say, the 2nd double is still for take out,
but it is also optional, at least to a certain degree,
meaning, if one makes it, one has to take into
account, that the 2nd double will get passed out
sometimes.

And because of this, I think the South hand is a little
bit light for this action, but since South is a passed hand,
the action is still ok.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#9 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-04, 09:11

TimG, on Feb 4 2008, 09:55 AM, said:

I know that north is going to look at his four spades and assume that the double is takeout.

What if the auction had been:

(P)-P-(P)-1
(1)-DBL-(1N)-P
(2)-DBL

?

Or, what if 2 had only shown a constructive raise to 2 rather than a limit raise?

These are very different auctions since in the original auction they have bid and raised spades. It does not matter if they raised in an artificial way or if they raised with 2S, or if the raise was weak, limit, constructive etc. The point is they have an 8 card fit and they are at the 2 level. Responders hand is undefined other than "4+ hearts." Penalty is largely regarded as an infrequent and unuseful agreement when these conditions apply.

In the second auction there is more of a case for penalty, but it is still for takeout in my agreements, because again responders hand is largely undefined and they need to have a bid for a large variety of hands that they could not bid if X is penalty. For instance:

xx KQxx Kxx Kxxx
xxx Kxxx Ax Axxx

etc. The only reason penalty is more reasonable when responder hasn't raised is that A) they could be on a misfit, B) even if they have an 8 card fit responder is behind the spades (whereas if dummy is going to hit with spades then a holding like KJ9x would not be nearly as good).
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#10 User is offline   jtfanclub 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 09:12

Jlall, on Feb 4 2008, 07:28 AM, said:

I don't think this is a crazy result, the second X is probably rich but I totally understand it (partners shape is the only one that offers no fit). Norths pass is certainly reasonable too, it would be very normal at MP, at imps maybe he's supposed to bid 2N. It wouldn't surprise me if a simulation showed north's pass to be the long term winner though.

I can't believe that's right with the 1 bid on his left. If the 1 bid was on his right, then sure. But there seems to be an awful lot of warnings that they're going to make 2X, such as the 2 bid.
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#11 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 09:22

I hate north's pass here. He has an uncomfortable hand, but surely he must scramble with 2NT.
Michael Askgaard
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#12 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 09:33

@ TimG: The less you know of partner's shape, the more t/o a double is.

The lower a double is made, the closer the double is to the ideal "4441" in the context of the double and the more urge partner should feel of bidding on.


The 2nd double was certainly a little pushing it, but what can you do. Passing it seems quite normal.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#13 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-04, 09:35

jtfanclub, on Feb 4 2008, 10:12 AM, said:

Jlall, on Feb 4 2008, 07:28 AM, said:

I don't think this is a crazy result, the second X is probably rich but I totally understand it (partners shape is the only one that offers no fit). Norths pass is certainly reasonable too, it would be very normal at MP, at imps maybe he's supposed to bid 2N. It wouldn't surprise me if a simulation showed north's pass to be the long term winner though.

I can't believe that's right with the 1 bid on his left. If the 1 bid was on his right, then sure. But there seems to be an awful lot of warnings that they're going to make 2X, such as the 2 bid.

Yes of course there are warning signs, on the other hand he expected more from his partner. I really don't know who to blame here, I would not have taken either action that either took but I would not have considered either action "bad" had my teammate done it.
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#14 User is offline   tomb3113 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 11:57

South knows that when he doubles North will be sitting most of the time with 4 spade and will at least consider passing. My question is then why south should X with no defensive values and no sure tricks? IMO if he doesn t want to play in 2SX he should find another bid. What can go wrong if he bids 2NT? Partner sitting with the S stopper should realise this can t be naturel and will bid on (even if he passes it won t be a disaster!)
So even if North pass is a bit optimistic at IMP, i will blame south for putting his partner on the hot seat.
QJTxx-x-x-Jxxxxx
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#15 User is offline   TimG 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 11:59

So, 2NT and DBL are both takeout?
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#16 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-February-04, 12:02

2N by responder (the negative Xer) would be natural over 2S.
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#17 User is offline   EricK 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 13:04

I don't like the second X. South has no more than he promised the first time, and he's got to assume that partner heard him the first time. North is unlikely to have 4 as he had a chance to bid them, and even if he has 3 it is not at all certain we will find that fit. So I don't think there's much of an upside and a fair chance that we will land in a 7 card fit (not to mention the disaster which actually happened).
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#18 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 13:20

Jlall, on Feb 5 2008, 01:28 AM, said:

I don't think this is a crazy result, the second X is probably rich but I totally understand it (partners shape is the only one that offers no fit).

Sure we might have a 5=3 heart fit but is north really supposed to bid 3 on a three-card suit.
Wayne Burrows

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Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#19 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 13:23

For me north has a normal 2NT. Passing has little to gain. The opponents are too likely to have eight tricks and we are very unlikely to set them two or more on this auction.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#20 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-February-04, 22:06

I was South and my reasoning was that West 2D (limit) inviting vs a passed hand was probably based on a 11 hcp with 4 trumps and some ruffing power, Its rare for me to have a 3 trumps raise worth a limit vs a passed hand. Maybe some do limit raises facing a passed hand to show values without game aspiration. As west holding 3 trumps i would almost always bid 2S.

PS If partner X 2D what do you play ?

1- longish D with desire to compete to 3D
2- lead directing (D or not D)
3- support X (3H)

I play 1 but i think 3 might be a better treatment
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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