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4Diamonds or Pass ? What development do You expect ?

Poll: How many % do You expect if You say 4Diamonds? (21 member(s) have cast votes)

How many % do You expect if You say 4Diamonds?

  1. 0-20% (11 votes [52.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 52.38%

  2. 21-40% (5 votes [23.81%])

    Percentage of vote: 23.81%

  3. 41-60% (4 votes [19.05%])

    Percentage of vote: 19.05%

  4. 61-80% (1 votes [4.76%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.76%

  5. 81-100% (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   asc 

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Posted 2007-August-15, 15:18

Scoring: MP

W N E S
1P3NT ?


3NT is for play. W/E are not a regular partners.
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#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-August-15, 15:24

0-100 is not an option? :)

EDIT: I mean 0 OR 100, not 0 to 100.
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#3 User is offline   asc 

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Posted 2007-August-16, 03:24

Fluffy, on Aug 15 2007, 04:24 PM, said:

0-100 is not an option? :)

EDIT: I mean 0 OR 100, not 0 to 100.

OK the usual contract will be 4 doubled- now how many %?
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#4 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2007-August-16, 04:24

Near 100% if you go down 3 or less, 0% if you go down 4.
Unless 3NT goes down on partner's normal lead...
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#5 User is offline   Blofeld 

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Posted 2007-August-16, 07:14

I voted for my expectation of the percentage, which is around 30-40%. I think the actual percentage will very rarely be in this range.
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#6 User is offline   jdeegan 

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Posted 2007-August-16, 19:49

:) I think your point that 4 is not a crazy bid in this situation is well made. I wish I had the 10 and 9 of .
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#7 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2007-August-17, 01:29

RHO probably didnt bypass a major and probably doesnt have 5. So hes likely to have 3. West is likely to be be short in Diamonds and my preempt might push them into a bad slam (AK facing a stiff or d void). Also we have a lead problems defending 3nt with an unclear lead is annoying since you can blow some MP just by the lead.


I think the risk of down 4 or worse or that 3nt goes down is too bad. So i give 35% for 4 and i lead a low D.
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#8 User is offline   asc 

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Posted 2007-August-18, 07:38

Scoring: MP

W N E S
1P3NT 4
D All Pass


50% and even if I Pass the result will be the same -50%. split up between 6 and 4.
0

#9 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2007-August-18, 12:50

Well, bad bids don't always get punished (and it's hard to guess scores when the opponent's bidding doesn't make sense).
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