mikeh, on Apr 13 2006, 05:00 PM, said:
Let's construct some examples:
AJxxx Jxxxx Qx x
Anyone think that this is a good hand for 5♥? If not, why not? Yet on the obvious ♣ lead and ♠ switch, are we happy, with at least one and usually 2 trump losers?
NO NO NO Terrible hand for 5
♥!!! Partner has bad hearts and short diamonds! He doubles! This is not even in the ballpark of a bid! Even opposite your example of a forcing pass at the bottom 5
♥ is not likely to make so why would he bid it?
mikeh, on Apr 13 2006, 05:00 PM, said:
Okay, so maybe a good 5-5-2-1 isn't enough. Let's make it better.
AQxxx Qxxxx Qx x... heck, there are posters here who open this
They lead a high
♣ and switch to a
♠. Do you expect to make 5
♥? Am I being unfair?
YES! Just because it has more high cards than the last hand doesn't mean it has the slightest bit more offense! He doubles! Short diamonds and lack of heart honors are HUGE warning signs for partner against bidding.
mikeh, on Apr 13 2006, 05:00 PM, said:
AQJ109 Kxxx Qxx x
A clear 1♠ opening bid with little play (on the auction) for 5♥.
Why not AQJT9 KJxx Qxx K? I really don't see the point.
mikeh, on Apr 13 2006, 05:00 PM, said:
The point is NOT whether you have a minimum or not: the point is whether, given that partner is a passed hand, you should be asking him to bid 5♥ if he has a good negative double. Remember, you could and would have bid 4♥ with far more powerful hands than you did.
Not a GOOD negative double. A negative double with a high offense to defense ratio. That's why the opening hand example above is so silly. I notice none of your examples had a club void, or four diamonds. Do you want him passing your double then?
mikeh, on Apr 13 2006, 05:00 PM, said:
And you need a truly unusual hand to bid 5♥ by yourself, committing to a probable 8 card 11 trick contract. So the range of hands shown by the forcing pass includes some very strong hands and the actual hand, non-minimum tho it is, is not anywhere near as strong as the hands he will be expecting: in particular, the trump suit is very poor for a 5-level adventure: which is why I said that I would pass with xx AQxx AKJxxx x.
You are speaking in such extremes (as I tend to do myself). You say this hand is 'not anywhere near as strong as the hands he will be expecting', then give the example of what he should expect as a queen better. That isn't 'anywhere near'?
Lets try some hands on which he would bid 5
♥ if we pass, keeping in mind they all have very high offense because otherwise he wouldn't bid it!
Axxxx Kxxxx xxx -
I'll take my chances.
Qxx KQxxx Qxxx x
This hand brings up another point. Are you sure 5
♣ is going down? In particular, are you sure of that if partner has the hands on which he would bid 5
♥ if you passed? Just give partner this hand and make LHO 2128. Or 2308. Your +370 or so estimate may be fine on hands where partner would double if you pass. I'd expect to average more like +100 on hands where he would have bid if I'd pass, with a decent sprinkling of makes in there.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
P-(P)-1♦-(4♣)
X-(P)-4♥-(P)
P-(5♣)-?