McBruce, on Jul 11 2005, 03:47 AM, said:
When everyone plays 4S= and one pair plays 2S+2, every defending pair will get a bad result "for just sitting there".
Assuming 13 tables and vulnerable, in cross IMPs this is only a 0.83 IMP swing, since you lose ten once and push eleven times. Hardly a bad result. In Butler this would be an average because we discard the extremes: but who knows, maybe this is a board that only 12 out of 13 pairs will risk game on? Who are we to assume that it is a universal flat board because only 1 out of 13 pairs misses the game. My opinion is that a hand like this is an example of the disadvantages of Butler scoring.
If you Google 'Butler Cross-IMPs' you will find lots of online discussion on this.
Oh, I see... you would have to use continuous IMP scale to get rid of this problem... that 910 Butler average happens to be near to the wrong (for NS) boundary on IMP scale...
To the quoted part:
If 12 of 13 pairs risked the game, I don't think they deserve any extra points... When the whole field bids it except for some natural pessimist, they don't play "better" bridge than the rest of the field. It is only the pessimist that should suffer on this board.
I think that we can safely assume that if a large majority of the field ends up in a game contract, the game contract should be considered "par of the board" and only those that score more than par should receive points.
If you look at it from the defending side: who are we to assume that the 12 NS pairs who bid the game play better bridge than the 12 EW pairs that just lost 0.83 IMP?
I think the scoring system should try it's best to reward those who play better bridge...
Who are we to assume that it is a universal flat board because only 1 out of 13 pairs misses the game.
Pardon me, but I thought that the definition of "flat board" IS a board where a large majority of pairs playing common bidding systems and not affected by opponents psycho bids end up in the same contract and score the same result.
Even if there are alternative ways of making the contract, if the large majority of pairs choses the one that succeeds, I consider it a flat board.
but who knows, maybe this is a board that only 12 out of 13 pairs will risk game on
It's about the same risk as betting that the next US president will be either a Democrat or a Republican... 12 of 13 people think so... and that is why no betting agency ever runs bets like this with win:bet ratio above 1

).
In other words - cutting the extreme results would bring more good than bad - and it would bring the good largely to the pairs that were not able to affect the result significantly.
There is the question if and how could extreme-cutting be incorporated into cross-imps - how to determine the score for the pairs whose results were cut out as extreme (in order not to disrupt the IMP balance etc...)
IMHO Butler with fractional IMP scale would work quite well. We're using normalized IMPs with decimal parts already (although they have their nice whole IMPs behind them) and I think it would work quite well.
[But I promise to stop spamming the forums with this topic if noone else supports the idea :-)]