Probability of both ♦ and ♥ finesses wrong is 24%, the probability of East having both the 2 and 3 of ♠ is 9/18 * 8/17 (we know of 4 cards in each hand, 4 spades in West's, 2 spades and 2 heart honours in East's). This works out at 5.65%, which is an overestimate, because West is more likely to lead from a 5 or 6 card holding than a 4 card holding, and he may also have led lowest from three.
Book Reviews
#181
Posted 2006-January-09, 08:24
Probability of both ♦ and ♥ finesses wrong is 24%, the probability of East having both the 2 and 3 of ♠ is 9/18 * 8/17 (we know of 4 cards in each hand, 4 spades in West's, 2 spades and 2 heart honours in East's). This works out at 5.65%, which is an overestimate, because West is more likely to lead from a 5 or 6 card holding than a 4 card holding, and he may also have led lowest from three.
#182
Posted 2006-January-09, 08:55
#183 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2006-January-09, 10:04
#184
Posted 2006-January-13, 08:23
The book uses an over the style approach, similar to Terence Reese's Play These Hands With Me/Play Bridge with Reese. The author explains the players (usually declarer, but sometimes the defender) thought process and at key points will ask the reader to make a decision. Sometimes he tricks you because a critical mistake has already been made and the contract is gone. Sneaky!
The hands are mostly advanced, and even if you can identify the correct technique, there is usually an additional step needed to succeed. I think the
focus is on visualization of the hands, rather than some extremely difficult play
I very much liked the style of the narrative, and how the author threw in a few tidbits about the players.
Personally, I would have preferred the hands to be a little easier, say replacing the hardest hands with those near the median in the book. I realize the author selected hands he found interesting or well played, and since he's a world class player he's more likely to select some though hands.
Overall its a good book for advanced players. Intermediate can also get something out of it, but they wont solve more than a handful of the hands.
Here is a hand (p128) declared by Sabine Auken, that she made.
West leads the Q from KQ.
What line of play looks good? How will you handle the diamonds?
#185
Posted 2006-January-26, 16:05
In the genre of over the shoulder books, this one presents the reader with a hand and the bidding and asks whats going on and what to do. Based on your choice (or the right choice as selected by the author) you are again asked what to do, and so on, till the hand is made/set.
The hands are interesting, but nothing especially fancy like the authors other excellent book Right Through the Pack. Well, maybe a few unusual hands.
What I liked was how the author presented the reader with seemingly obvious choices that lead to defeat. The reader needs to look ahead at the consequence of a distribution or card holding. I don't know how instructional all the hands are (certainly not as good as Reese's "The Most Puzzling Situations in Bridge") but the book was fun to go through. Overall a good book for Advanced and Intermediate level players.
(I'd have posted some hands, but I returned it to the library)
#186
Posted 2006-January-27, 11:49
Grade=C+
Intermediate Level
I love Danny Kleinman's short articles and he is a brilliant theoretician. I have found his full length books to be wordy and a jumble of ideas that needed a stronger editor at the helm. This book is written in a similiar vein.
This is not really a tips book as much as a series of very short play/bidding problems with a few tips thrown in as footnotes.
#187
Posted 2006-January-29, 04:06
short 7 chapters book each on adifferent subject like leads against slams partscores..., each page you get your hand and the bidding should tell whats the bbest lead, then comes a full page of analysis, the grades for each lead and the full hand.
This book has been a riddle to me for a long time, i began reading it about every 5 years since my early bridge days. I didnt know how to relate to it, every time i read it I could accept few more hands problem. Others I still didnt agree with the book till the next time I read it.
Its a strange leading book unlike other books that teach you leads, like lawrence book this one isnt teaching youthe normal leads.
This is a book on spectacular leads, and I had hard time to accpet it, first of all i thought It use too much analysis for opening leads, and probelby this analysis is effected by the faqct that the authors already seen the full hand, they like picturing the hands that they already saw, second I didnt like the spectacular leads because partner will never understand what Im doing for example when im leading K from Kxxx.
Today I can say its a good book but its a very dangerous one, I think experts can benefit the most of it, non expert must read it carfully, I dont let my partners read it, I dont like my partners wasting 2 minutes on a stupid opening lead and later giving me full analysis of why it should have worked, usually its will not work because either they miss somethign in the analysis, or the bidders werent as smart as them, or I thier partner didnt read the lead, and aside from this i dont like wasting too much time on leads, bridge is a short game and leads shoudnt take long, also it raize some ethical problems.
I'll give you a normal example so you'll see what im talking about
you west holds
E S W N
1♠ 2♦ 2♠ 5♦
What do you lead ?
I will not copy the full analysis (unless you ask really nice)
i'll just give you the grades hidden:
#188
Posted 2006-January-29, 18:25
I liked this book when I read it. I plan on rereading it again.
What I liked was it made you think about the bidding and what the players had rather than some general rule "(Dont) Lead trump when ..."
In the example you gave you know pard has 5 spades so its possible you will get no Spade tricks at all. If declarere has the Spade K doubleton or terbleton it will make, but even if not, spades can be ruffed. I can see leading the Spade Q in case Dummy has the K.
I was thinking a low Club because with the opponents bidding to such a high level they may be void and we have to get something going.
My first thought was Spade Q, then I selected low club. 5 out of 10, oh well.
I plan on rereading Mike Lawrences book "Opening Leads" as well. It too focused heavily on what the auction was telling us about the hands.
#189
Posted 2006-January-30, 09:32
As i know you arent an expert this kind of leads will not benefit you.
I dont say this isnt a good book, not at all, its a good book,but its also a dangerous one to any non expert (i dont mean BBO experts i mean real experts).
non experts if read it must do it carfully, because this isnt the real world its an extreme.
#190
Posted 2006-January-30, 12:38
#191
Posted 2006-January-30, 13:49
You can think what you like, i can only give you my advice based on many many years of playing this game.
#192
Posted 2006-January-30, 14:16
I don't think leading the Spade Q is so strange, even though I ultimately chose another lead (for a lower score)
Pard opened 1 Spade, implying he has as least 5 Spades, and at least 12HCP.
You have 5 Spades and 4 HCP. Therefore the opponents have at most 24 HCP, which is a bit short of the 29 usually required for 11 tricks. Thus one of the opponents must have extra distribution.
If declarer has Kx and dummy x in Spades, leading to pards ace gives them a discard. If dummy has the Kx and declarer x, leading to pards A may result in a discard on the K. Leading the Q can't cost, and may help, in case dummy has Kx.
The reason I rejected the Spade lead is I assumed it would be ruffed.
In general, the Mike Lawrence books force the reader to picture the unseen hands.
It may take a while to make the opening lead as the player processes the data.
#193
Posted 2006-January-30, 14:58
Its 30 years old, but still a very good Intermediate level (and below) book on some common bidding mistakes and other types of mistakes. Most of the book focuses on Bidding. Underbidding, Overbidding, Preference bids, dynamic hand evaluation, and Takeout Doubles, with lots of examples. There are also sections on Signaling (and its misuse), and maybe a few other subjects.
There is nothing earthshattering in the book. With all the examples it does a good job helping the reader clear up some mistakes and misconceptions they may have had.
There are a number of highlighted guidelines such as
"When the Bidding has reasonably described your hand, and partner then makes a decision, trust him. You must have a strong reason to override him"
You hold:
S: K 10 9 8 7
H: Q 9 7 4 2
D: 4 2
C: 3
Pard opens 1D, you bid 1S
Pard bids 2C, Your bid?
You have a misfit, bid 2D.
( I dont have the exact hand or bidding sequence in front of me)
There is another hand where you hold something like:
S: Q 9 5
H: x x
D: T 9 8 x
C: J T 8 7
Pard opens:
1S - p - p - 2D
X - p - p - 2H
2NT - p - ?
What do you do?
The idea is that pard bid on despite your showing no support at all, he must have a huge hand. Your few scattered points are in his suits. Bid 3NT and expect it to make.
#194
Posted 2006-February-04, 16:51
1: Safety Plays & End Plays
2: Suit Combinations
3: Trump Management
4: Timing and Communications
I very much like this set. Each book presents a concept in a short chapter with perhaps 4-6 example hands. Then there is a quiz of 8 very good, well chosen problems. Not only do you have to figure out the problem, you need to use correct technique. Its like a book version of Bridge Master. At the end of each book is a review test of between 24 and 60 problems. While these books are only 96 pages each, they should take you 6-9 hours to complete.
[Explanations & ~50 example hands & ~64 chapter questions & ~40-60 Final test questions]
I would not use them as my first source to learn a subject (instead I'd use a book like Victor Mollos Card Play Technique, and Terence Reeses books). But once you have a general knowledge of a technique (Card Combinations for example) these books are a very nice test and further teaching tool. You will learn and be tested on the concept as well as proper technique.
They are Intermediate level, though I'm sure many who consider themselves advanced would not get more than half the problems right. I especially like the Suit Combination and Trump Management books.
Well worth getting, I will make a point of rereading these every couple of year to improve and maintain my technique.
Note: Vol #1 is out of print and it sells for $70 - $250 (Im not kidding!!!) You need to keep your eyes open and wait for one to come up at a reasonable price (I got it for $11.50 including shipping)
#195
Posted 2006-February-07, 11:06
I have sold two of these used in the last year at $5.75 each.
Cheers,
Carl Ritner
ACBL Used Bridge Books and Magazines
Carl
#196
Posted 2006-February-10, 13:50
Grade=A-
Intermediate/Advanced
A terrific book. One or two page play problems. Most of the book is focused on counting and visualizing the hands. When it sticks to this theme I give the book an A+. In the second half Mr. Pottage starts to discuss advanced/expert levels of declarer play technique on some hands.
For the intermediate or advancing player I strongly recommend this book. This is my favorite Pottage book.
#197
Posted 2006-February-10, 14:25
I like reading the world championship books. They are very good value per hand.
My particular favourite is the write up by Erik Kokish of the 1995(?) USA-Canada final, because he describes his thought processes on many of the deals as well as giving more info on what went on at the other table. A fascinating insight into real expert thinking.
I wish other top players could spend more time explaining why they did particular things at the table, but sadly bridge journalism doesn't really pay.
#198
Posted 2006-February-11, 10:10
Is it a card by card description of the play, and the probably thought process behind the play and bidding? Sort of like Reese's "Play These Hands With Me"?
>Clues From the Bidding at Bridge. 2nd edition, Julian Pottage
>A terrific book. One or two page play problems. Most of the book is focused on counting and visualizing the hands. When it sticks to this theme I give the book an A+. In the second half Mr. Pottage starts to discuss advanced/expert levels of declarer play technique on some hands.
Maybe I should give it another chance. I read about a third of it and didn't like it.
Maybe "Clues From the Bidding" is an Advanced book, not an Intermediate book?
I thought some of the clues were a bit flimsy. I wonder if the emphasis was on "creating clever hands" rather than teaching realistic and practical deductive reasoning.
The declarer play in Pottages book was certainly advanced, not intermediate.
I much prefer other similar books on deductive reasoning/visualization by:
Mike Lawrence
Eric Jannersten (Card Reading)
Andrew Kambites (Card Placing for You)
Al Dormer (Dormer on Deduction)
Hugh Kelsey (Logical Bridge Play)
Marshall Miles has a couple of books that I havent read (All 52 Cards, and Inferences at Bridge).
#199
Posted 2006-February-19, 12:17
mike777, on Feb 10 2006, 02:50 PM, said:
Grade=A-
Intermediate/Advanced
A terrific book. One or two page play problems. Most of the book is focused on counting and visualizing the hands. When it sticks to this theme I give the book an A+. In the second half Mr. Pottage starts to discuss advanced/expert levels of declarer play technique on some hands.
For the intermediate or advancing player I strongly recommend this book. This is my favorite Pottage book.
bought it, agree, thanks
#200
Posted 2006-February-20, 12:31
ArcLight, on Feb 11 2006, 12:10 PM, said:
I'm not going to do it here, since I've already arranged for you to receive a copy for your review. Your thread here is highly beneficial for all of the members, and you would be the best one to capture just what the championship books are all about. So, it's on the way.
I have several years available, both listed on my website and unlisted (getting ready to do that soon
Cheers,
Carl Ritner
ACBL Library Bridge Books & Magazines
Carl

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1♠ p 2♣
X 2♦ p 2NT
p 3♠ p 3NT