flytoox, on Mar 11 2005, 10:17 AM, said:
Ben, I think you cannt(should not) pass 2H. Yes, 2H doesnt promise four. That is why we shoudl make another move by 3D. This should show 4H,4+D and invitational hand. In this case I think we can have the cake and eat it.
Yes I like a construcitve 3
♦ bid here non-forcing, and mentioned that possibility.
Now then, my recommended pass is conservative I admit... perhaps from playing too long with ultra light openings. The spade king is well placed (in theory) and worth more than it might seem, but my hearts are weak. Give me QTxx or Q97x and I would not be quite so conservative. The possibility of 4-3 fit is real to me however, so Qxxx is a little scary.
From a loser count (7 losers) this is an invite hand. Partner rates to have 7 or 8 losers for his 2
♥ rebid. If he has seven, game is reasonable shot. From ZAR perspective, game try is necessary as well, as this hand has 25 points, and partner rates to have 26 minium so game invite is surely the book bid. The problem is hands like...
♠Qx
♥Kxxx
♦KQJx
♣Jxx. here we can lose 1S, 2/3H, 2C. and go down even in two hearts against unlucky 4-1 trump split. Now this is pestimtic. Partner could also be...
♠Ax
♥Kxx
♦QTxxx
♣Axx where you have a club, a diamond, and surely three heart losers. The real question becomes, how strong the 2
♥ bid can be. I open 14 point balanced hands 1NT, so if partner had 14 he would open 1NT if balanced, and with 14/15 and unbalanced, he would jump to 3
♥. So he is either 11-13 balanced or 11-13 unbalanced. Opposite 11-13 balanced, we are high enough. Opposite unbalanced, something in my hand might be wasted. Let's consider,
♠x
♥KJxx
♦KQxxx
♣Kxx. now we lose 1
♣, 1
♥, 1
♠, but they might be able to obtain a
♦ ruff, and we still ahve to worry about 4-1 heart split. BTW, my partenr would jump to 3
♥ with this hand (with fit and 6 losers plus hook value in hearts, 2
♥ an underbid) and WE STILL have a chance to go down.
Another hand, where you are in trouble on the get go is something like....
♠QJx
♥AKxx
♦KQxx
♣xx, the defense might start spade ace, spade ruff, cub king, spade ruff, club Ace... and you are down in 3
♥ before you can turn around.
Once again, I admit that pass of 2
♥ is timid. I admit I like a non-forcing 3
♦ here to show 4
♥ and some game interest. I admit that one could draw up many more hands where game is laydown opposite this raise to two. I just devaluate the north hand due to 1) the weak heart spots, 2) the Qx of clubs in not worht 2 pts, 3) the Kx of spades is plus minus value. The bidders here maybe right, and especially vul at imps (Where you probably should just blast to game rather than invite)... why blast game there? Two reasons, partner is less likely to open on junk balanced hand raising the expected minimum for 2H rebid, and game reward vul is more valuable when vul.
Ben