See poll. Voting disclaimer appreciated
balance over weak 2
#2
Posted 2014-November-16, 17:28
#4
Posted 2014-November-17, 08:36
was sort of thin even if the area was kind of large while the risk side was
still quite strong. At MP I would x with little fanfare since the most I risk is
1 board and I expect x to succeed close to 65% (making or off 1 no x). The problem
at IMPS is when the other 35% kick in we could be talking large negatives that
may take quite a few hand one overtrick at a time to make up:(
#5
Posted 2014-November-17, 09:07
#6
Posted 2014-November-17, 10:15
Cthulhu D, on 2014-November-17, 09:07, said:
I actually think partners pass indicates length in hearts or rho has enough strength to try to buy it in 2♥. The downside to bidding is much to large for me at imps should rho have medium or better values with a stiff heart.
What is baby oil made of?
#7
Posted 2014-November-17, 13:39
Unless opener is a very aggressive 2 ♥ bidder who bids on 5 ♥s a lot, it looks like there are 4 missing ♥ between partner and "responder". At favorable vulnerability for them, it would seem like responder would raise on most hands with 3 ♥s. Since that hasn't happened, I think the odds favor either 2-2 distribution or partner having 3 ♥s. If they are 2-2, then partner doesn't appear to have enough to overcall or double. If partner has 3 ♥ to nothing then it looks like potentially 3 quick losers in ♥s. If partner has 3 ♥ to a stopper, then partner probably has less than enough for a 2 NT call.
You have a 9 loser hand despite the 11 points and 2 1/2 QTs. Even if partner has a 7 loser hand (i.e. about an opener), it suggests that 8 tricks may be the limit your side can make.
Responder can still have a pretty good hand when holding only 2 ♥ and pass. So at red pockets, discretion seems to dictate a pass rather than competing to the 3 level.
#8
Posted 2014-November-17, 14:28
Justin, back when he was JLALL, i believe, explained that when he called an action "clear" or "obvious"..he didn't necessarily mean he hadn't seriously considered alternatives before coming to that conclusion.
#9
Posted 2014-November-17, 14:37
#10
Posted 2014-November-17, 17:46
neilkaz, on 2014-November-17, 14:37, said:
That's one way of looking at it. A nine LTC hand, with no assurance that is accurate because no fit is established for us. Silly me, I just counted my 3 hearts. But, I prefer to be an optimist...count it as a 2-winner hand..so, if partner can contribute 6 fillers we are in business.
#11
Posted 2014-November-17, 18:07
#12
Posted 2014-November-18, 10:50
whereagles, on 2014-November-17, 18:07, said:
Indeed that's what I would bid at reversed vul or maybe at mp's
What is baby oil made of?
#13
Posted 2014-November-19, 03:34
Spade fit is there, but even 3♠ is in jeopardy, if opps find their heart ruff.