this is a hand, where I was proud because I executed a nice end-play. But surprise it got only 11%.
Some EAST went up with the A of ♦, when the 6 was led.
My deliberation to finesse the J was:
A priori it is a pure guess 50%-50%
If WEST has The A of ♦, he may go up, with the Q he must play low. Therefore the chance is better for the finesse (and I have enough to discard).
Scoring: IMP
West North East South
Pass 1♥ Pass 4♥
Pass Pass Pass
♥2 ♥4 ♥J ♥A
♦6 ♦2 ♦J ♦Q
♠J ♠2 ♠7 ♠Q
♦4 ♦3 ♥3 ♦7
♣A ♣2 ♣7 ♣5
♣6 ♣3 ♥6 ♣9
♦5 ♦9 ♥8 ♦A
♣T ♣4 ♥7 ♣J
♦K ♦T ♣Q ♥5
♥9 ♥Q ♠6 ♥T
♦8 ♠9 ♠8 ♣8
What is your opinion?
Did I miss something?
Looking forward
Regards
Al

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