Posted 2011-August-25, 08:09
The 9 is a strange card for declarer to play. Strange enough that I'm cashing the club K. The 4 and 7 are missing. I would not expect an intermediate declarer to play the 9 from Q1097, as TFB suggests above. Rather, I'd expect such a declarer to try to throw off the scent with Q94. It's possible he holds Q9 tight (especially possible if he expected a major suit lead from LHO or if he would very rarely false card). If declarer is an expert, I'd give more weight to Q1097 but also more weight to Q9. Blech.
As TFB points out, partner's major is surely spades, so our two lines are CK or SA. However, we can combine chances and lead the CK and then the SA if partner shows up with the 4 and declarer does not play the Q or 10. This is what I'll opt for. It requires KJxxxx from partner if he only has ♣64. But even if he has Kxxxxx, this might not cost, and if partner's club was stiff, it might win us a few matchpoints to cash out.
"I think maybe so and so was caught cheating but maybe I don't have the names right". Sure, and I think maybe your mother .... Oh yeah, that was someone else maybe. -- kenberg
"...we live off being battle-scarred veterans who manage to hate our opponents slightly more than we hate each other. -- Hamman, re: Wolff