Suggest an auction, please: A multi-parter.
#21
Posted 2011-August-13, 06:38
Regards and Happy Trails,
Scott Needham
Boulder, Colorado, USA
#22
Posted 2011-August-13, 09:02
Flem72, on 2011-August-13, 06:38, said:
Regards and Happy Trails,
Scott Needham
Boulder, Colorado, USA
Partner is marked with likely length in ♥, since West did not open weak two in ♥ nor did East raise 2♥. How happy would you be in 3♦, if dummy comes down with 3 cards in ♦ and a singleton ♠?
But a big advantage of 2♠ is that North might introduce a long minor over 2♠, something he would not do over 3♠, which should show a more lopsided hand.
Over such a minor suit bid from partner only the sky could be the limit.
Rainer Herrmann
#23
Posted 2011-August-13, 11:39
North:
x
JTxxx
AKx
QTxx
South:
AKJT9x
void
QTxx
AJx
P-P-P-1S
2H-P-P-?
why not the following?
2s a bid we would make with more offense and far less
defense maybe a hand similar to Kxxxxxx xx AQ A
3d has some possibilities but probably buries a club
fit and maybe steers us in wrong direction especially
if p is weak
3h makes little sense when long strong suit is major
and we are too weak and need more aces vs quacks
3s There is no reason to assume p has power and 3s should
be a hand worth around 8 tricks vul vs not and we are a
long way away from that
that leaves X
if p bids
pass fine we have enough defense.
2n 4s
3c pass
3d pass
3h 4s
3s pass
3n 4s
4c 4h
4d 4h
4s this happens you need a new p
#24
Posted 2011-August-13, 11:39
rhm, on 2011-August-13, 09:02, said:
Over such a minor suit bid from partner only the sky could be the limit.
Rainer Herrmann
A big advantage? Lol, this seems like way less than 1 % to happen.
#25
Posted 2011-August-13, 11:53
rhm, on 2011-August-13, 09:02, said:
Not very happy. S/he better apologize for underholding. ()
But (this is mps--sorry, didn't specify; and, FYI, I'm not a doubler with this South hand type) even if partner is really bad for this auction, unless opps are Al Roth disciples, s/he's marked with SOMETHING. Like
x
JTxxx
Kxx
xxxx, or CK instead, or maybe HQ and CQ.
So I get to play 3D undoubled, hoping They don't lead one, or -- much more likely in 2011 -- East will compete to 3H, in which case now either 3S or pass to partner's double (I'd call 3S at these colors). In context, is this sensible? or would this plan flag (a) a certifiable idiot, (b) a normal matchpoint fool or © merely an optimist? 6S is not out of the question with the actual layout; claiming shape AND strength with 3D would seem the best way to get there, especially if East DOES call 3H--now North has a road map, doesn't s/he? OTOH, the real disaster North hand would be
x
JTxxx
xx
xxxxx. Next board -- wish I'd emphasized the spades.
Regards and Happy Trails,
Scott Needham
Boulder, Colorado, USA
#26
Posted 2011-August-13, 14:20
JLOGIC, on 2011-August-13, 11:39, said:
Granted it is unlikely, but certainly higher than 1%. The whole condition around the table is a priori not likely and to estimate conditional probabilities is notoriously difficult.
I tried some simulations. Give West a 5 card ♥ suit or 4-6 in ♠ and ♥ and 8-11 HCP, East a maximum of 10 HCP.
Assuming partner to have at least 4 cards in ♥ and less than 3 cards in ♠, chances that he will hold a six card minor with at most 8 HCP is under the given conditions better than 3%.
Rainer Herrmann
#27
Posted 2011-August-13, 14:45
George Carlin
#28
Posted 2011-August-13, 15:17
gwnn, on 2011-August-13, 14:45, said:
That depends how many ♥ partner expects opener to have. If he correctly infers why opener did not reopen with a DBL, he will expect minor suit cards.
With a weak hand and only long ♠ opener would not have opened 1♠ fourth in hand, but with a higher number of them.
Also partner knows that opener had no way introducing a minor at a low level.
Rainer Herrmann
#29
Posted 2011-August-13, 15:33
gwnn, on 2011-August-13, 14:45, said:
That depends how many ♥ partner expects opener to have. If he correctly infers why opener did not reopen with a DBL, he will expect minor suit cards.
With a weak hand and only long ♠ opener would not have opened 1♠ fourth in hand, but with a higher number of them.
Also partner knows that opener had no way introducing a minor at a low level.
Rainer Herrmann
#30
Posted 2011-August-13, 15:46
I know lot of people not playing that .for some good reasons.
But anyway, this is a 4th opening and a partner who already passed 11+ points.
How many times should he pass until starting to share with us his collection ... btw 3 controls!
If you have in system 2NT fitted then you should have another bid for the natural 2NT. 2sp transfer to 2NT lol?
Is that an hypothetical discussion about S's bidding, in case N would not have what he has and then he passed right?
Is the N's pass forcing? (lol) . Do u open 12 or bad 13 count with spades in 4th? I think yes, np.
But do u accept as a normality to open 4th and let opponents play ? You, siting in N with 11 points, u accept to defend 2h in case partner opened bad 13?
Don't get me wrong. I don't know how to handle those things and it becomes very annoying. I'm a non expert/
#31
Posted 2011-August-13, 16:30
rhm, on 2011-August-13, 15:17, said:
For example, a short minor suit is a good reason not to reopen with a DBL.
George Carlin
#32
Posted 2011-August-13, 17:15
gwnn, on 2011-August-13, 16:30, said:
Having a 7 card spade suit is a good reason too!
#33
Posted 2011-August-13, 17:45
rhm, on 2011-August-12, 01:05, said:
North will probably bid 2NT and South will now have a difficult choice.
Rainer Herrmann
South:
N/S Vul
South
AKJT9x
void
QTxx
AJx
If you think this hand is too strong to open 2S in 4th seat, then 2S on the 2nd round I think should show this hand:
P-P-P-1S
2H-P-P-2S ... instead of a 3S-jump.
TWOferBRIDGE
"imo by far in bridge the least understood concept is how to bid over a jump-shift
( 1M-1NT!-3m-?? )." ....Justin Lall
" Did someone mention relays? " .... Zelandakh
K-Rex to Mikeh : " Sometimes you drive me nuts " .
#34
Posted 2011-August-14, 02:41
vianu2, on 2011-August-13, 15:46, said:
I know lot of people not playing that .for some good reasons.
But anyway, this is a 4th opening and a partner who already passed 11+ points.
How many times should he pass until starting to share with us his collection ... btw 3 controls!
If you have in system 2NT fitted then you should have another bid for the natural 2NT. 2sp transfer to 2NT lol?
Is that an hypothetical discussion about S's bidding, in case N would not have what he has and then he passed right?
Is the N's pass forcing? (lol) . Do u open 12 or bad 13 count with spades in 4th? I think yes, np.
But do u accept as a normality to open 4th and let opponents play ? You, siting in N with 11 points, u accept to defend 2h in case partner opened bad 13?
Don't get me wrong. I don't know how to handle those things and it becomes very annoying. I'm a non expert/
North passes over 2♥ because he expects that South has short hearts, and will therefore reopen. That doesn't make the pass forcing, and it doesn't mean that North wants to defend 2♥ undoubled.
#35
Posted 2011-August-15, 09:45
gnasher, on 2011-August-12, 11:33, said:
1♠ 2♥ pass pass
3♠ pass 4♦ pass
4♥ pass 4♠ pass
pass pass
though either player might have taken stronger action on the last round.
#36
Posted 2011-August-15, 15:54
I disagree that not reopening with DBL implied ♥ void or minors in anyway.
Imo 2 or 3♠ rebids are very close. If this is a 2♠ it is clearly very top of 2♠ and if this is a 3♠ it is bottom of 3♠.
-2♠ has the advantage of going + more often, pd will usually (not always) make a move with hands that fits well and too many holes in minor suits in front of overcaller. And as Two4bridge said we did not open 2♠, we cant be so bad
-3♠ bid will allow to find game more often, will tell pd not to worry much about ♠ suit, and after all LHO overcalled our void, which is good news. Also we can expect to gain advantage from the lead.
One thing i would not do is to DBL with this, i can live with both 2 or 3 ♠
"It's only when a mosquito lands on your testicles that you realize there is always a way to solve problems without using violence!"
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#37
Posted 2011-August-15, 22:31
- if is kind of stronger preempt (10-12/13), 2♠ might be enough, if this is strong than 3♠ would be better.
Dont like dbl with voids.
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