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Guess this one ho2 much credit for a NV pre?

Poll: your bid is... (22 member(s) have cast votes)

your bid is...

  1. Pass, and pray to make (8 votes [36.36%])

    Percentage of vote: 36.36%

  2. Pass, we will make it with overtrick (5 votes [22.73%])

    Percentage of vote: 22.73%

  3. 4SP, a cue is the best to find slams (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  4. 4NT, Key card blackwood will tell us about AKQ trumps (3 votes [13.64%])

    Percentage of vote: 13.64%

  5. 5C, with a bit of luck partner will pass and we will make it. (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  6. 5H, let partner decide about his trumps (4 votes [18.18%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.18%

  7. 5NT, lets ask specifically about trumps to play 7 (1 votes [4.55%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.55%

  8. 6C, the best slam (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  9. 6H, we will make 12 tricks probably, bad luck otherwise (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  10. 7H, partner has solid suit for this bid so... (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  11. 7NT, partner has solid suit for this bid so... (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  12. other, other? do you really think any other bid has sense? (1 votes [4.55%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.55%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2004-September-09, 18:02

The bidding goes...


4-pass-your turn


Scoring: IMP

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#2 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2004-September-09, 18:13

Do you play NAMYATS? If you do, Pass. If partner has an broken suit, you're screwed... If you don't, Pass and pray you don't have 2 overtricks. We're still NV vs V, and it's , so it still might be a little light ;)

With a singleton I'd probably bid 5 since it's all about trump tricks, but now it's even too dangerous to go to 5-level imo.
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#3 User is offline   Dwayne 

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Posted 2004-September-09, 23:45

did you check the vulnerabilty before you posted?

Can partner have KQT9xxxx plus a couple of other useless scattered cards for a 4 opener?

P-A-S-S, and respect his decision to open a shut-out.

next.

dwayne-erino.
Al kuko kaj kaso cxiam venas amaso.
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#4 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 01:31

This one depends more on pard's style than technical merits. I know some players opposite which I could bid a direct 6, but others opposite which I'd pray 4 makes, LOL.
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#5 User is offline   skorchev 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 04:07

5 looks fine for me - let's play slam if partner has good trumps ...


Stefan
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#6 User is offline   joker_gib 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 06:40

Same for me : playing Namyats I pass and without Namyats I bid 5 asking partner for good trumps !
Alain
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Posted 2004-September-10, 07:48

At this vulnerabilty (them red, we not), my partnrers and I are very aggreesive with preempts. They are less likely to want to risk defending you doubled, you are less likely to get hurt too badly if they do double and beat you to death, because of the vulnerability.

I guess the best way to explain this threatment is 5-4-2-1 or 5-4-3-1. So what does this mean?

5 = not vul versus vul. Partner will be within five tricks of his preempt (5 tricks here)
4 = not vul versus vul, partner will be within four tricks of his preempt (6 tricks here)
3 = vul versus vul, partner will be within 3 tricks of his bid (7 tricks)
1 =we vul, they not vul, partner will be within one trick of his bid (9).

So if we were vul, I would be trying for slam (I have five tricks, partner promised 7), if we were vul, I would be going for grand slam (grand slam force in here). Not vul versus vul? I hope partner's estimate of five tricks is correct, he may lose more hearts than he planned.

As an aside, I am a ZAR bidder. So if partner holds seven hearts AKQxxxx the worse ZAR count he could have is 26. Not vul, he gladly open that 1H, so no way will I consider bidding on.
--Ben--

#8 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 09:11

No namyats out there my friends, and partner is between 26-30 Years old from a cold country in the north of Europe :D.
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#9 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 09:36

Then my pass will hit the table even before his 4H does :D
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#10 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 10:33

Somebody voted for other... wonder wich bid... missdirecting 5?
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#11 User is offline   laughter 

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Posted 2004-September-10, 12:48

I guess a pass is right opposite an aggressive preemptor.
But even the most agressive one would just open 4H with:
xx-KQJ10xxx-xx-xx
And of course he will not consider Namyats with this hand.
So the Namyats argument doesn't hold much water.
If your style is to deliver reasonable trumps (suit quality of 10) for game bid, then a slam try (I prefer 5H) is quite justified.
Still, I think his hearts may be scary (this preempt is not for faint hearted), and I would pass and pray (hope not to make two overtricks).
Btw, if he plays 4H-1, it is time for him to go more conservative in the future.
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#12 User is offline   Flame 

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Posted 2004-September-11, 17:18

My partner hold this hand yesterday and took us to 6c which went down.
Imo at this vul he should have just passed.
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#13 User is offline   Flame 

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Posted 2004-September-11, 17:23

laughter, on Sep 10 2004, 01:48 PM, said:

I guess a pass is right opposite an aggressive preemptor.
But even the most agressive one would just open 4H with:
xx-KQJ10xxx-xx-xx
And of course he will not consider Namyats with this hand.
So the Namyats argument doesn't hold much water.
If your style is to deliver reasonable trumps (suit quality of 10) for game bid, then a slam try (I prefer 5H) is quite justified.
Still, I think his hearts may be scary (this preempt is not for faint hearted), and I would pass and pray (hope not to make two overtricks).
Btw, if he plays 4H-1, it is time for him to go more conservative in the future.

What about this hand ? is this a good slam ?
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#14 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2004-September-11, 21:01

Bit late coming in on this, but I would argue that even if opener's H are as good as AQJT to 7 you are unlikely to make slam on a D lead as you have to set up the C for a D pitch. Opener really needs to have AK to some number to make this a good slam.

I think pass is a pretty clear call.
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Posted 2004-September-11, 21:06

Flame, on Sep 11 2004, 07:18 PM, said:

My partner hold this hand yesterday and took us to 6c which went down.
Imo at this vul he should have just passed.

And right you are. :-)
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Posted 2004-September-27, 07:52

Here is the hand:



I passed hoping to make on a good day and the lead was J, when the Q held trick 1 I changed my mind to think Iunderbid this one.

The play continuned normally, K won by East, and a switch.

My partner tried to ruff in and to draw trtumps but it was overruffed, next came K, and by now the best he could achieve was 420, the complete hand:



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Posted 2004-September-27, 08:06

For people studying ZAR.. this would also be easy.. let's count south's hand....

19 hcp
8 control points
16 distributional points
------
total 43 points.. partner is expect to have 23 to 25 something like that...

43 + 25 = 68, enough for even a grand slam (67 needed), but wait....you have to take into account "fitting points" South is 3 trumps short.. that is minus nine points...

43-9= 34, and 34+25 = 59, this is no longer enough even for small slam (62 needed)... This isn't the way I would bid this hand of course.. if my partner was vul and they were not, I would be trying for grand slam.. I count tricks here, not poitns.. but thought I would share this mathematical approach with you...
--Ben--

#18 User is offline   EricK 

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Posted 2004-September-27, 10:07

inquiry, on Sep 27 2004, 02:06 PM, said:

For people studying ZAR.. this would also be easy.. let's count south's hand....

19 hcp
8 control points
16 distributional points
------
total 43 points.. partner is expect to have 23 to 25 something like that...

43 + 25 = 68, enough for even a grand slam (67 needed), but wait....you have to take into account "fitting points" South is 3 trumps short.. that is minus nine points...

43-9= 34, and 34+25 = 59, this is no longer enough even for small slam (62 needed)... This isn't the way I would bid this hand of course.. if my partner was vul and they were not, I would be trying for grand slam.. I count tricks here, not poitns.. but thought I would share this mathematical approach with you...

Why is South "3 trumps short"?

If North has a seven card suit, we don't need 3 to have a fit with him. And a 4 Pre-empt often has 8 cards in it.

Eric
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Posted 2004-September-27, 10:12

Well.. as far as playing the suit, I guess he is two trumps short... but having a void in partners suit does make the play much more difficult, so I subtract the full nine, always. And this is good too, becasue partner looking at eight will be adding points for his extra legnth.... so my subtracting will help make for his over-estimate.

Ben
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#20 User is offline   EricK 

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Posted 2004-September-27, 10:17

inquiry, on Sep 27 2004, 04:12 PM, said:

Well.. as far as playing the suit, I guess he is two trumps short... but having a void in partners suit does make the play much more difficult, so I subtract the full nine, always. And this is good too, becasue partner looking at eight will be adding points for his extra legnth.... so my subtracting will help make for his over-estimate.

Ben

Fair enough.

I note that North is minimum for a 4 bid (as most play it), and even now 6 isn't terrible. Although it turns out to be with the actual distribution. But change a small diamond for a small heart and you would definitley want to be in the slam.

Eric
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