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some lead problems

#1 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2010-October-28, 01:29

IMPs

1) Kx KQ J9xx ATxxx

1S-4H (splinter)
4S-P

2) Jx xx AQJxxx Txx

2D P P 4H
AP
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#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-October-28, 03:54

View Postrogerclee, on 2010-October-28, 01:29, said:

IMPs

1) Kx KQ J9xx ATxxx

1S-4H (splinter)
4S-P

2) Jx xx AQJxxx Txx

2D P P 4H
AP


Hand 1, opps have slam invitational, lack KQ on dummy's shortness and we are suposed to defeat game?, I would lead K to avoid overtricks at MPs, at IMPs it might be best to just avoid overtricks too, but if I am gonna find a way to defeat we need something very different, so a trump or a low club are the leads. Low club for me.

Hand 2 I'd lead a club.
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#3 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-October-28, 10:40

1) A... Hard to imagine north and east with 10 but my & holdings make a trump lead look ugly besides being hard to lead a trump anyway.

2) No raise keeps me away from a lead so J
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#4 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-October-28, 10:43

1. A - and I think this is pretty clear.

2. Low club on general principles. I'm sure I could come up with some exotic constructions that cater to just about any lead, or that show how any particular lead is the only lead that does not work.
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#5 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 05:12

1) i'd lead a low club, since we have nearly all the defensive assets and we can see they are wasted in hearts I would try to place partner with a club honour and hope declarer has several clubs. Low club wins over the ace when partner has Kx or the Qx with the K in dummy (probably). A clubs wins when partner is singleton but if that is the case there is no transport back to hand and declarer might just play ace and another spade.

2) JS looks fairly clear to me.
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#6 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 11:52

Low club and I think its pretty clear

J
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#7 User is online   mikeh 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 13:10

1. I think it is close between a low club and the club Ace. I doubt that either will prevail, but maybe partner has a stiff club and the heart Ace or a slow diamond winner or he has Qx in clubs and the suit is 3-3 with the K in dummy. The former argues for the Ace, the latter for the low. Throw in that the low club may cost a trick (probably only an overtrick) when dummy has Jxx(x) and partner holds K10(x)(x) and I go for what I see as slightly more likely probability-wise: the club A

2. Spade J. Low club distant 2nd, no 3rd or 4th choice
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#8 User is offline   nigel_k 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 13:30

1. Low club

2. Trump. Second choice is a club. Really hate the spade lead and would very seldom lead from Jx in an unbid suit. It has little upside compared to a club and a much greater chance of blowing a trick.
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#9 User is offline   dboxley 

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Posted 2010-November-04, 18:08

1) CA, my last chance to do something good (or bad)

2: DA, 2 chances to be right (pd has K or a stiff), anything else is just a guess but anything could be right
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