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Another close first lead

#1 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2010-August-14, 19:33

Nobody vul;

95 K54 AQ652 Q75

2 pass pass pass

Your lead.
This is another real hand. This time Versace chose different lead than my intuition and my simulation suggests. What's your choice ?
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#2 User is offline   BudH 

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Posted 2010-August-14, 19:38

bluecalm, on Aug 14 2010, 08:33 PM, said:

Nobody vul;

95 K54 AQ652 Q75

2 pass pass pass

Your lead.
This is another real hand. This time Versace chose different lead than my intuition and my simulation suggests. What's your choice ?

H4 first choice, C5 second choice. NOT leading a spade or diamond.
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#3 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 05:11

> > >high > low
Kind Regards

Roland


Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
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#4 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 07:06

heart!
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#5 User is offline   wank 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 07:16

club. partner's marginally more likely to have acted with anything in hearts
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#6 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 07:35

4>A>5>>>>>>
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"

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George Bernard Shaw
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#7 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 10:29

No strong feelings but the isn't nearly as bad as everyone is suggesting.
Hi y'all!

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#8 User is online   mikeh 

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Posted 2010-August-17, 12:37

I think this is very close to a tossup between all 3 side suits.

I usually lead from Kings more than from Queens and altho there are weak inferences in favour of clubs, I don't see them as overriding the reasons for the king underlead.

The diamond Ace is a pretty close 3rd choice....

In essence, any suit but a trump seems defensible to me, but I would lead small heart as first choice, small club as second and diamond A as 3rd.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
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#9 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2010-August-18, 01:13

If 2S is deviation it is very likely fearing hearts. Start heart.
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#10 User is online   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2010-August-18, 01:17

Hi,

the choices seem to be

#1 spade / trump
#2 a low heart
#3 the Ace of diamonds, declarer is unikely to have the king, so it wont cost
very often

Most likely I would go with a trump.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#11 User is offline   Poky 

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Posted 2010-August-18, 01:26

A

The chance the // lead will give something away is bigger than opener having the K. Therefore, A from length = clearcut.

Pretty standard lead against RHO's preempts. I bet Versace led it too. :D
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