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Another close first lead
#1
Posted 2010-August-14, 19:33
Nobody vul;
♠95 ♥K54 ♦AQ652 ♣Q75
2♠ pass pass pass
Your lead.
This is another real hand. This time Versace chose different lead than my intuition and my simulation suggests. What's your choice ?
♠95 ♥K54 ♦AQ652 ♣Q75
2♠ pass pass pass
Your lead.
This is another real hand. This time Versace chose different lead than my intuition and my simulation suggests. What's your choice ?
#2
Posted 2010-August-14, 19:38
bluecalm, on Aug 14 2010, 08:33 PM, said:
Nobody vul;
♠95 ♥K54 ♦AQ652 ♣Q75
2♠ pass pass pass
Your lead.
This is another real hand. This time Versace chose different lead than my intuition and my simulation suggests. What's your choice ?
♠95 ♥K54 ♦AQ652 ♣Q75
2♠ pass pass pass
Your lead.
This is another real hand. This time Versace chose different lead than my intuition and my simulation suggests. What's your choice ?
H4 first choice, C5 second choice. NOT leading a spade or diamond.
#3
Posted 2010-August-17, 05:11
♥ > ♠ >♣ >high ♦ > low ♦
Kind Regards
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#5
Posted 2010-August-17, 07:16
club. partner's marginally more likely to have acted with anything in hearts
#6
Posted 2010-August-17, 07:35
4♥>A♦>5♣>>>>>>♠
"Tell me of your home world, Usul"
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#7
Posted 2010-August-17, 10:29
No strong feelings but the ♦ isn't nearly as bad as everyone is suggesting.
Hi y'all!
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#8
Posted 2010-August-17, 12:37
I think this is very close to a tossup between all 3 side suits.
I usually lead from Kings more than from Queens and altho there are weak inferences in favour of clubs, I don't see them as overriding the reasons for the king underlead.
The diamond Ace is a pretty close 3rd choice....
In essence, any suit but a trump seems defensible to me, but I would lead small heart as first choice, small club as second and diamond A as 3rd.
I usually lead from Kings more than from Queens and altho there are weak inferences in favour of clubs, I don't see them as overriding the reasons for the king underlead.
The diamond Ace is a pretty close 3rd choice....
In essence, any suit but a trump seems defensible to me, but I would lead small heart as first choice, small club as second and diamond A as 3rd.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
#10
Posted 2010-August-18, 01:17
Hi,
the choices seem to be
#1 spade / trump
#2 a low heart
#3 the Ace of diamonds, declarer is unikely to have the king, so it wont cost
very often
Most likely I would go with a trump.
With kind regards
Marlowe
the choices seem to be
#1 spade / trump
#2 a low heart
#3 the Ace of diamonds, declarer is unikely to have the king, so it wont cost
very often
Most likely I would go with a trump.
With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#11
Posted 2010-August-18, 01:26
♦A
The chance the ♠/♥/♣ lead will give something away is bigger than opener having the ♦K. Therefore, ♦A from length = clearcut.
Pretty standard lead against RHO's preempts. I bet Versace led it too.
The chance the ♠/♥/♣ lead will give something away is bigger than opener having the ♦K. Therefore, ♦A from length = clearcut.
Pretty standard lead against RHO's preempts. I bet Versace led it too.
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