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shrug

#1 User is offline   karlson 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 14:58

♠Ax ♥Jx ♦AJxxxxx ♣Kx

w/w imps
partner deals

4♥-x-p-4♠
p-p-?
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#2 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 15:04

5♥. Two ways to win.

Should this hand have redoubled on the round before, to involve partner in the decision-making?
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#3 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 15:05

Pass
Kevin Fay
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#4 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 15:06

karlson, on May 26 2010, 03:58 PM, said:

♠Ax ♥Jx ♦AJxxxxx ♣Kx

w/w imps
partner deals

4♥-x-p-4♠
p-p-?

I am inclined to pass and try to beat it with this much defense.
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#5 User is offline   bluecalm 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 15:08

Quote

Should this hand have redoubled on the round before, to involve partner in the decision-making?


I like this treatment and I think the answer is yes.
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#6 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 15:22

gnasher, on May 26 2010, 03:04 PM, said:

5♥.  Two ways to win.

Should this hand have redoubled on the round before, to involve partner in the decision-making?

I vote yes. Partner might double and lead his stiff diamond, or bid 5H with short spade and an 8th heart, or whatever. More than 2 ways to win after redouble.

Having failed to bring partner to the party, I guess 5♥, too.
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#7 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 16:03

Does redouble set up a force?
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#8 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 16:04

Dbl. No guarantee to make 5♥ and I think they won't make this.
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#9 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 17:54

I think pass is trully awful bid, all we need is partner having ♥Ak for 10.5 tricks to average those odds in 4 spades undoubled we need like 5 downs?

I think 5♥ is obvious not sure what I am missing.
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#10 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 18:20

rogerclee, on May 26 2010, 04:03 PM, said:

Does redouble set up a force?

i don't think so. It just invites pard to double with some semblance of extra defense, or to bid 5H with some extra offense. What the redoubler has is his problem.
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#11 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 20:31

Yeah I reconsidered pass after I said it, I'm now on board with 5♥.

My bad!!!
Kevin Fay
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#12 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 20:56

rogerclee, on May 26 2010, 05:03 PM, said:

Does redouble set up a force?

My initial reaction was that it ought to be forcing, but then I looked deeper (I think) into the problem.

One reason for fp's is generally that we allow the person under immediate pressure 4 choices: double, bid, pass, or pass intending to pull. Using standard treatment, the latter is the strongest.

But after a preempt, opener will never have a pass and pull hand. He can't logically pass then override partner's decision to double, intending it as a slam move opposite a partner who has never expressed any interest in slam.

So I think that redouble should offer 3 choices: double with extra defence, in context; bid with extra offence, and pass with a middle of the road preempt.

While I suspect that there will be very few hands on passing out their contract represents a par result, I can easily picture hands on which we simply don't know whether bidding or doubling is best. Either may be (relatively speaking) a disaster and then passing, tho never optimal, may be the wisest choice.

I don't see it that way here: I bid 5♥. Not only might we make it, or find it to be a good save, but maybe, just maybe, the opps will take the push. Then I'll be sure I know what to do (even tho I may be wrong).
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#13 User is offline   aguahombre 

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Posted 2010-May-26, 21:03

nice, total analysis, mike
"Bidding Spades to show spades can work well." (Kenberg)
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#14 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 01:50

mikeh, on May 27 2010, 03:56 AM, said:

But after a preempt, opener will never have a pass and pull hand. He can't logically pass then override partner's decision to double, intending it as a slam move opposite a partner who has never expressed any interest in slam.

I don't think that's particularly relevant. The primary purpose of a forcing pass is to help us decide whether to bid a game that we hope to make, or to take a penalty that we know is available. Being able to use pass-and-pull to show a slam try is no more than a useful sideeffect.

The question here is, do we want to be able to say "I don't know what to do, but I know we should do something", or to say "I don't know what to do; maybe we should do nothing."

Regardless, I do agree that this isn't the right hand for redouble - it should show a much more balanced hand, so that partner can sensiby evaluate any side honours or length.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#15 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 02:08

If we redouble, partner's pass would not be forcing imo. However, if for example LHO passes and RHO bids 4S, then our pass would be forcing.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#16 User is offline   Trinidad 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 02:36

gnasher, on May 26 2010, 10:04 PM, said:

5♥.  Two ways to win.

And (important in IMPs) when it does lose, it loses less than what it would win if it wins.

Losing (nothing makes): -100 v -100 = -200 = -5 IMPs.
Winning (one makes): 450 v -100 = +350 = +8 IMPs
Hitting Jackpot (both make): +450 v +420 = 850 = 13 IMPs

Rik
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#17 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 02:56

Trinidad, on May 27 2010, 08:36 AM, said:

gnasher, on May 26 2010, 10:04 PM, said:

5♥.  Two ways to win.

And (important in IMPs) when it does lose, it loses less than what it would win if it wins.

Losing (nothing makes): -100 v -100 = -200 = -5 IMPs.
Winning (one makes): 450 v -100 = +350 = +8 IMPs
Hitting Jackpot (both make): +450 v +420 = 850 = 13 IMPs

Rik

11 IMPs if they take the push to a losing contract as well
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#18 User is offline   flytoox 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 04:09

I will vote for 5H, not sure it will make, it even could be a save.

I think 5H has two ways to win. It may be cold, it may be a good save.
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#19 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 05:18

If you want to beat this, you might as well Dbl instead of pass. I think the ♦A lead will probably beat it.

But I'm more inclined to bid 5♥ as it's the safest choice.
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#20 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2010-May-27, 07:53

Free, on May 27 2010, 06:18 AM, said:

If you want to beat this, you might as well Dbl instead of pass. I think the ♦A lead will probably beat it.

But I'm more inclined to bid 5♥ as it's the safest choice.

I was going to double until I realized I wasn't on lead. Then I decided to pass.

Then thinking about it I decided we were pretty good to make 5♥ so I decided pass was wrong.
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