N opens 1NT (12-14). E passes, you pass as S. W bids 3♦ which is passed back to S, but only after prolonged thought from E.
As S, assume that you play double for penalties in this position. Does the long pause for thought by RHO make you more or less likely to double?
You need to know that RHO is a notoriously slow player at the best of times, and has been known to agonise over decisions where most players of her basic standard (moderate to good club player) would see little problem. Still, the pause was long, even for her.
Two alternative scenarios:
1. E/W are playing some variant of Astro, so 3♦ was the cheapest way to show the suit.
2. E/W are playing natural or Landy , so 2♦ by LHO would have been natural.
Your thoughts?

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