Hat's off to B/Is who get this one.
Fun hand from Bridge Master 2000 Skill level 3 - Series D - Deal 13
#1
Posted 2010-May-05, 01:01
Hat's off to B/Is who get this one.
#3
Posted 2010-May-05, 01:48
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 02:06 AM, said:
cleeeeee?
#4
Posted 2010-May-05, 02:02
Jlall, on May 5 2010, 12:48 AM, said:
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 02:06 AM, said:
cleeeeee?
Maybe it wasn't worth noting. Anyway yes, they are
It's true that my first post was made without thinking much about the problem though.
#5
Posted 2010-May-05, 03:17
#6
Posted 2010-May-05, 05:05
There is a way to almost guarantee this contract barring an unlikely ruff. You can pick up all 3-2s and 4-1s, though the spade situation means that you have to play it slightly differently than what the textbooks would say.
As others have hinted, remember you are only in 6, not 7.
#7
Posted 2010-May-05, 05:46
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 09:02 AM, said:
Jlall, on May 5 2010, 12:48 AM, said:
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 02:06 AM, said:
cleeeeee?
Maybe it wasn't worth noting. Anyway yes, they are
It's true that my first post was made without thinking much about the problem though.
Seems to me that the lines are nowhere near the same when you're in 6 or in 7!
#8
Posted 2010-May-05, 06:06
#9
Posted 2010-May-05, 06:32
#10
Posted 2010-May-05, 07:00
Free, on May 5 2010, 06:46 AM, said:
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 09:02 AM, said:
Jlall, on May 5 2010, 12:48 AM, said:
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 02:06 AM, said:
cleeeeee?
Maybe it wasn't worth noting. Anyway yes, they are
It's true that my first post was made without thinking much about the problem though.
Seems to me that the lines are nowhere near the same when you're in 6 or in 7!
you've gotta lead the B/I astray sometimes to make it interesting
the Freman, Chani from the move "Dune"
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
George Bernard Shaw
#11
Posted 2010-May-05, 07:04
Hidden text
#12
Posted 2010-May-05, 07:14
I thank the various posters here for recommending them.
That said, I won't be reading the OP. BBO is selling these problems as a business, so repeating the hand on their free forums seems kind of crass to me.
0.02, ymmv
"gwnn" said:
hanp does not always mean literally what he writes.
#13
Posted 2010-May-05, 08:38
#14
Posted 2010-May-05, 11:47
This post has been edited by Jlall: 2010-May-05, 12:06
#15
Posted 2010-May-05, 18:41
Cyberyeti, on May 5 2010, 02:04 PM, said:
Hidden text
That's the textbook safety play. There is another way of playing the suit that picks up all the holdings (except means losing a trick when it started xxx Qx).
Hidden:
There are 2 main reasons why K, low to 9 is published as the safety play:
1. You don't lose a trick to xxx-Qx while picking up all 3-2s and 4-1s for 1 loser.
2. The other method means there's more strain on entries. You can do the published method without any extra entries while the alternative requires 1, maybe 2 extra entries.
#16
Posted 2010-May-06, 03:03
manudude03, on May 6 2010, 01:41 AM, said:
I don't think anyone would play it this way in 7, although some seem to think they need the same line...
#17
Posted 2010-May-06, 20:38
(1) If the position is exactly stiff queen offside, then the safety play in hearts line makes and my line doesn't. This happens about 1/32 times, and it's win 17 for the safety play at vulnerable or win 14 at NV.
(2) If one defender has Qx of hearts and a six-card diamond suit, then on the safety play line this person wins the heart queen and then gives partner a ruff (assuming we got back to hand with a diamond to lead up to the jack of hearts). This situation comes up about 1/128 times on each side, for 1/64 in total. This time it's win 17 for my line if vulnerable, or win 14 at NV.
(3) If the heart position is Qx or Qxx onside, then my line makes an overtrick whereas the safety play does not. This happens about 10/32, and is win 1 for my line regardless of colors.
Adding this up, my line seems to win 3/64 IMPs at vulnerable or 6/64 IMPs at nonvuln in expectation. Of course, this changes a bit if you think a person with singleton diamond would lead it (not clear to me, especially holding a sequence in spades, but it does depend on the auction). And it would change if you aren't sure the other table (or the field at IMP pairs) is going to be in 6♥, although given the overall values in these hands it seems like a decent field would bid the contract.
It's at least close. I fairly frequently see people recommend these safety play lines based on considering a suit in isolation and assuming that overtricks are totally irrelevant, when neither is normally the case in real bridge. I expect that BridgeMaster is calibrated to require the safety play.
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#18
Posted 2010-May-06, 22:44
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 03:02 PM, said:
Jlall, on May 5 2010, 12:48 AM, said:
rogerclee, on May 5 2010, 02:06 AM, said:
cleeeeee?
Maybe it wasn't worth noting. Anyway yes, they are
It's true that my first post was made without thinking much about the problem though.
They are not the same lines by a long way. I think you answered this too early in the morning, or too late at night.
#19
Posted 2010-May-07, 02:27
awm, on May 7 2010, 03:38 AM, said:
(1) If the position is exactly stiff queen offside, then the safety play in hearts line makes and my line doesn't. This happens about 1/32 times, and it's win 17 for the safety play at vulnerable or win 14 at NV.
(2) If one defender has Qx of hearts and a six-card diamond suit, then on the safety play line this person wins the heart queen and then gives partner a ruff (assuming we got back to hand with a diamond to lead up to the jack of hearts). This situation comes up about 1/128 times on each side, for 1/64 in total. This time it's win 17 for my line if vulnerable, or win 14 at NV.
(3) If the heart position is Qx or Qxx onside, then my line makes an overtrick whereas the safety play does not. This happens about 10/32, and is win 1 for my line regardless of colors.
Adding this up, my line seems to win 3/64 IMPs at vulnerable or 6/64 IMPs at nonvuln in expectation. Of course, this changes a bit if you think a person with singleton diamond would lead it (not clear to me, especially holding a sequence in spades, but it does depend on the auction). And it would change if you aren't sure the other table (or the field at IMP pairs) is going to be in 6♥, although given the overall values in these hands it seems like a decent field would bid the contract.
It's at least close. I fairly frequently see people recommend these safety play lines based on considering a suit in isolation and assuming that overtricks are totally irrelevant, when neither is normally the case in real bridge. I expect that BridgeMaster is calibrated to require the safety play.
This 1 little imp you gain in a team match won't always translate into a VP, so it will be irrelevant in a lot of situations. Going down in that 1 little case however, will lose several VP's.
I'd love to see you explain to your team mates that you've gone down in a laydown slam, deliberately, so you could make 1 overtrick and get the best result "in the long run". Although you're mathematically correct imps-wise, you may be wrong about the VP's. And this is an area which is dominated by psychology.
Note that you won't get to play hundreds of similar slams, so you won't reach your long run result anyway.
#20
Posted 2010-May-07, 03:03
http://forums.bridge...showtopic=29706
George Carlin

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