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Lead problem Lead problem vs grand

Poll: What do you lead (22 member(s) have cast votes)

What do you lead

  1. Spade (9 votes [40.91%])

    Percentage of vote: 40.91%

  2. Heart (4 votes [18.18%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.18%

  3. Diamond (2 votes [9.09%])

    Percentage of vote: 9.09%

  4. Club (7 votes [31.82%])

    Percentage of vote: 31.82%

Vote Guests cannot vote

#1 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-March-11, 09:29

Scoring: IMP


The opposition bid uncontested to 7s,
1d-1s
4d-4n
6c-6h
7s


Dummy showed a solid diamond suit with the Q of trumps and a club void plus one more keycard.

4d showed a solid diamond suit with 4 card support 6-4, 6c showed a club void plus an even number of keycards. 6h asked for the trump queen, and 7s showed it.

What is your lead?

EDIT: Your opposition are ex polish U25 internationals, and extremely good. If that matters to you.
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper
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#2 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2010-March-11, 09:40



The only way my lead can affect the outcome, is if something is not kosher.

So I play West for a bluff; she is void in Hearts, not Clubs.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#3 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2010-March-11, 09:44

If they have a heart loser, a heart or club lead could give away the contract. Any particular reason to prefer a diamond or a spade?
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
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#4 User is offline   jjbrr 

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Posted 2010-March-11, 10:48

I'll lead a club. Hoping aren't solid and partner has A or something.
OK
bed
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#5 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 03:02

I lead a boring .
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#6 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 06:11

Hi,

Queen of hearts, I think this time you need to attack, otherwise
the diamonds suit will run.

With kind regards
Marlowe
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#7 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 06:19

clubs to try to make their communications messed up or a spade on general principles. I don't care for the other two alternatives. I don't think Oleberg presents a valid reason though, they would never bluff themselves into a grand (and for what it's worth Polish juniors seem very reluctant to bluff at all!)
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#8 User is offline   paulg 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 06:30

I lead a boring spade too.
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I don't work for BBO and any advice is based on my BBO experience over the decades
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#9 User is offline   billw55 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 07:05

P_Marlowe, on Mar 12 2010, 07:11 AM, said:

Hi,

Queen of hearts, I think this time you need to attack, otherwise
the diamonds suit will run.

With kind regards
Marlowe

They bid 7. The diamond suit either runs or it doesn't, how will leading the Q matter?
Life is long and beautiful, if bad things happen, good things will follow.
-gwnn
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#10 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 08:06

sounds like opps are about to claim, but tapping dummy is the only thing that might work, so club.
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#11 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 14:05

gwnn, on Mar 12 2010, 02:19 PM, said:

clubs to try to make their communications messed up or a spade on general principles. I don't care for the other two alternatives. I don't think Oleberg presents a valid reason though, they would never bluff themselves into a grand (and for what it's worth Polish juniors seem very reluctant to bluff at all!)

Maybe. And even once in 1000 when I'm right, people will just think I got lucky.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

_____________________________________

We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#12 User is offline   skaftij 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 14:55

A club might tap dummy if partner does have a slow diamond stopper after all but I lead a passive trump since a club may present the 13th trick, e.g if only six diamonds in dummy
If I have made this specific agreement, then I will keep the agreement.
A partner can convince me to play nearly anything, but if partner breaks agreements, then you will fairly fast reach the point, that I wont be interested in playing any longer. Stick to your agreements.
Marlowe (Uwe Gebhardt)
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#13 User is offline   jjbrr 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 16:03

skaftij, on Mar 12 2010, 03:55 PM, said:

A club might tap dummy if partner does have a slow diamond stopper after all but I lead a passive trump since a club may present the 13th trick, e.g if only six diamonds in dummy

OP told us 4 showed 6. Anyway, I suspect the guy bidding grand is counting on 5-6 tricks from partner for his bid.
OK
bed
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#14 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-March-12, 18:50

one small point phil, our xxx in spades cannot be really xxx if this hand is to fit the other.
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#15 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-March-13, 07:56

Fluffy, on Mar 12 2010, 07:50 PM, said:

one small point phil, our xxx in spades cannot be really xxx if this hand is to fit the other.

yeah sure, put since you know they are in an 8 card fit invcluding the AKQ i didnt see that it mattered...
The physics is theoretical, but the fun is real. - Sheldon Cooper
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