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another preempt

Poll: your call? (35 member(s) have cast votes)

your call?

  1. 3NT (15 votes [42.86%])

    Percentage of vote: 42.86%

  2. Dbl (20 votes [57.14%])

    Percentage of vote: 57.14%

  3. 4 clubs (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  4. other (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#21 User is offline   jjbrr 

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Posted 2010-January-28, 14:46

double for me.
OK
bed
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#22 User is offline   P_Marlowe 

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Posted 2010-January-28, 14:55

Jlall, on Jan 28 2010, 03:43 PM, said:

P_Marlowe, on Jan 28 2010, 03:41 PM, said:

jdonn, on Jan 28 2010, 03:25 PM, said:

P_Marlowe, on Jan 28 2010, 02:51 PM, said:

jdonn, on Jan 27 2010, 07:18 PM, said:

I would double, since that precludes 3NT less than overcalling 3NT precludes everything else. Certainly if partner has 5 spades it's likely we would rather play in spades than notrump.

If p has 5 spades, we still can play 4S, if we overcall 3NT, espesially,
if partner knowes, that our stopper could be poor.

With kind regards
Marlowe

How does he know we aren't 1237 with a solid minor? Overcalling 3NT doesn't promise a balanced hand, partner usually won't even pull with 6 spades.

I would expect him to pull, and personnally I promise a (semi) bal. hand,
but I agree, that a lot depends on what hands one expects to overcall 3NT
or not.
If my p has the 7321 shape (I checked, the cross sum is 13), and I pull, he
will know what to do.

With kind regards
Marlowe

lol, yeah I'm sure he'll just go back to 3N if you pull 3N...

From your remark, if I try to ignore the heat - you play 3NT, the way that
3NT says, p I know, what I am doing, I dont want to investigate any other
possible contract. Thats fine. I dont.

For me 3NT is an offer to play there, but p can suggest a better place.
From this followes, that I wont make a 3NT overcall with certain hands you
would do, and I will make a 3NT overcall with hands you wont do.

We can discuss pro and con, as long as we keep trying to discuss things
objectivly.

I was just pointing out, that 4S is not dead, if we overcall 3NT, some peoble
(maybe only the french) play a system over a 3NT overcall to discover a
better place, may mean nothing.

With kind regards
Marlowe

PS: Looking at the voting results 3NT vs. X being equally often choosen, the
above mentioned difference of an 3NT overcall in this position may be an
explantion for why one would either choose X or choose 3NT, or the other way
around.
With kind regards
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
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#23 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2010-January-28, 15:24

P_Marlowe, on Jan 28 2010, 03:55 PM, said:

PS: Looking at the voting results 3NT vs. X being equally often choosen, the
above mentioned difference of an 3NT overcall in this position may be an
explantion for why one would either choose X or choose 3NT, or the other way
around.

Sorry but you are dreaming. People don't think overcalling 3N shows a balanced hand and that you can thus get to a 5-3 spade fit. Even if 3N always showed a balanced hand it is not clear why you would go to a 5 card suit...partner can have a doubleton.

But 3N just says "I think 3N might make." It can be made on a wide range of shapes and hands because it is the only way to get there. I don't believe you would not overcall 3N on A Ax AKQJxxx Jxx because 3N shows a balanced hand to you. That is just absurd. Not overcalling 3N on J KQx AKJxx AQJx (what on earth would you bid?) is also absurd. There are a lot of hands with a stiff spade where you must bid 3N out of necessity.

The reason some are bidding 3N and some are Xing is not because they think theres a difference in what 3N shows, they are just using different judgment.
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#24 User is offline   hanp 

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Posted 2010-January-28, 16:48

I would not recommend thinking backwards from different histories, life gets too complicated.

This looks like an easy double though.

Justin, I think I would usually pull 3NT with 6 spades. It just seems that this will be right more often.

Edit: with Justin I of course meant Josh.
and the result can be plotted on a graph.
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#25 User is offline   Jlall 

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Posted 2010-January-28, 16:57

hanp, on Jan 28 2010, 05:48 PM, said:

I would not recommend thinking backwards from different histories, life gets too complicated.

This looks like an easy double though.

Justin, I think I would usually pull 3NT with 6 spades. It just seems that this will be right more often.

Edit: with Justin I of course meant Josh.

I think it depends on the rest of your hand and especially on the quality of your spades. QJT9xx is a lot different than Q65432 obviously. I doubt we are very far apart in how often we would pull with 6 spades.
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#26 User is offline   bftboy 

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Posted 2010-January-29, 08:32

I bid 3Nt with the hand and got hammered when P had only 4 to the KJ, and were 2-2-7-2 and righty ducks opening lead. At least it was only MPs!

I think if I have it to do over, I'd dbl with the actual hand, and bid 3NT with something like Q10x, Ax, AQx, KQxxx. The ability to hold up once in is critical.

Still don't know what I'd do if I dbl and P bids 3. At MPs, I'd probably pass and hope it goes plus. :)
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#27 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2010-January-29, 17:11

bftboy, on Jan 29 2010, 03:32 PM, said:

I bid 3Nt with the hand and got hammered when P had only 4 to the KJ, and were 2-2-7-2 and righty ducks opening lead. At least it was only MPs!

I think if I have it to do over, I'd dbl with the actual hand, and bid 3NT with something like Q10x, Ax, AQx, KQxxx. The ability to hold up once in is critical.

Still don't know what I'd do if I dbl and P bids 3. At MPs, I'd probably pass and hope it goes plus. :)

Having doubled, I'd bid 3NT over 3. From the sound of it, that wouldn't have helped much on the actual hand.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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