campboy, on Jan 19 2010, 03:28 AM, said:
Perhaps the director was ruling based on MI rather than UI? It seems likely that North will bid 3♥ rather than 3NT with correct info. However, East will probably still decide his partner has shown the minors and bid 5♦. So I agree that the table score should stand.
I agree that N will bid 3H correctly informed. But how do things proceed?
On the one hand, I don't think we can allow E to wake up to his error a round earlier than he actually did, so I don't think we can allow E to bid diamonds at this point. On the other hand, E is entitled to a correct explanation of N's likely call of 3H, and so I don't think we can require E to bid 4H at this point, as he might if he thought N's 3H was a conventional bid over W's "advertised" H suit. Double doesn't seem likely either. So I think we probably have to assume that a rather confused E passes at this point, wondering why there are at least 15 hearts in the deck.
But after S's 4H comes back to E, in real life he has now woken up to the idea of his partner having the minors. Would he wake up on this different auction? Was it being doubled in 4H that woke him up? Probably not, because he must always have expected to be doubled in 4H. So I think E simply woke up through the effluxion of time and will wake up in the revised auction. What is the likelihood that E will now bid 5D? I don't think it is as certain as him bidding it as in the actual auction - then he was pushed there after realising he was doubled in a stupid contract. And voluntarily sacrificing at the 5 level must be a bit less likely than voluntarily sacrificing at the 4 level, even at favourable vul.
So I think there should be a weighted score of 5DX-1 and 4H=, perhaps 33/67. If weighting is disenabled in Denmark, then I think the TD's decision is fair enough.
p - p - 1NT - 2♠*1
3NT-4♥*2 - X - p
p - 5♦ - X - p
p - p *3