eyhung, on Dec 16 2009, 04:34 AM, said:
This seems slightly unintuitive given awm's argument, so I'd appreciate it if someone else could double-check my results. If they hold, the only explanation I have for this discrepancy is that RHO's club length has far more variance. With long clubs in the overcaller's hand, the results are therefore weighed towards the short club openings, which significantly and adversely impacts partner's spade length. But when you are long in hearts, RHO's minimum is always 5, and usually in the 5-7 range,
Taken to an extreme, let's say RHO is playing a system where 1H promises 9 hearts. Now, with 4-4 in the majors, you know partner has exactly 0 hearts so he is longer in spades than if you were 4-2 in the majors.
Taken to an extreme, let's say RHO is playing a system where 1H promises 9 hearts. Now, with 4-4 in the majors, you know partner has exactly 0 hearts so he is longer in spades than if you were 4-2 in the majors.
Perhaps saying the same thing you are, but when opener's club length is minimum (3) he must have 2-4 spades. When opener's heart length is minimum (5) he can still have 0-4 spades. So, minimum club length forces some spades into opener's hand; minimum heart length only increases the probability of increased spade length.

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