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Have a shot at game

#1 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-November-28, 19:16

All vul, IMPS, opss arent experts if it matters.

Scoring: IMP

(1)-2-(ps)-2
(3)-3-(ps)-4
all pass


lead is 5, RHO will play the 4.

Any chance on making this?
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#2 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-November-29, 14:16

If LHO is 1255 with A, I can win Q, lead a spade to LHO's ace, draw a second trump if they haven't played one, take a ruffing finesse in spades, and later lose a spade.

If he's 1165 or 2155, I can win Q, lead a spade to the ace, win A, cross to a diamond, playK, 10 covered and ruffed, diamond to dummy, 9 covered and ruffed, diamond. I lose a trump trick too, but that's the lot.

I can't see a way to cater for all of these distributions, however. To bid like this with only 5-5, LHO would have to have KQJ9x KQJ9x in each of his suits. Also, he'll probably play a second trump if he has one. If he doesn't, I'll play for him to be 6-5.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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