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DEFENSE!!! Everyone's Favorite

#1 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 10:44

Scoring: IMP

P-(1)-P-(1)
P-(1NT)-P-(3NT)
All Pass


Partner leads the 8 of spades. You win with the ACE (declarer playing the 9) and...
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#2 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 10:55

9.

Partner may have AQ7x of clubs, and it will be necessary to lead the 9 to take 4 tricks in the suit.

Hopefully partner can work out to return a small club upon winning declarer's 10 or J with his Q on the first round.

I almost led the K at trick 2, but that would make it impossible to take 4 club tricks if partner has AQ7x. If partner holds AQJx or AQTx of clubs, my shift to the 9 may make it hard for him to continue the suit. But I think it is unlikely that declarer's clubs are that weak.

From the bidding, the lead and the play to trick one, declarer could hold this hand:

KJ9
Kxx
Axx
JTxx
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#3 User is offline   quiddity 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 12:56

A slightly harder problem: what if declarer plays a low spade instead of the 9 to the first trick?
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#4 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 13:20

kfay, on Sep 16 2009, 11:44 AM, said:

Scoring: IMP

P-(1)-P-(1)
P-(1NT)-P-(3NT)
All Pass


Partner leads the 8 of spades. You win with the ACE (declarer playing the 9) and...

fire back the 9 hopefully partner will have enough brains to return the suit.
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#5 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 13:31

quiddity, on Sep 16 2009, 01:56 PM, said:

A slightly harder problem: what if declarer plays a low spade instead of the 9 to the first trick?

If declarer plays a low spade at trick 1 then partner's 8 could be fourth-best from KJ98(x). Having won the A at trick one, it is almost impossible for there to be a successful defense at this point, as declarer must have the A and either the Q or J. But the little chance that remains is that declarer's clubs are no better than AJ5x. You need to switch to the 9 in the hope that partner has QT7x of clubs. Declarer's ninth trick is the Q in dummy - you need to establish 3 club tricks before declarer gets to play a spade towards dummy's Q.
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#6 User is offline   nigel_k 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 14:56

Would partner lead his highest or second-highest from small cards?
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#7 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2009-September-16, 15:18

nigel_k, on Sep 16 2009, 03:56 PM, said:

Would partner lead his highest or second-highest from small cards?

As high as he could afford, which is often 2nd highest.
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#8 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2009-September-17, 05:37

My analysis was flawed.

9 clubs must be the only chance. It would be worth knowing if south would open 1d with 4-4 int he minors, or if partner would lead from an interior sequence. Im inclined to beleive that south is 3235, in which case there is no way to beat this i think.
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