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Stay or Go

#1 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 04:05


Dealer: East
Vul: EW
Scoring: IMP
Q9
AK4
T982
AK93


West North East South

 -     -     Pass  1
 Pass  1    Pass  1NT
 Pass  2    Pass  2
 Pass  4NT   Pass  ?  


Edited Auction to remove final two Passes.

1, 1 Natural
1NT 15-17
2 5+ spades
4NT Quantitative

Are you moving?
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#2 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 05:08

I am not moving, something fitting such as

AKJxx AQx and a jack is giving us a bad slam.
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#3 User is offline   rd6789 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 05:24

Fluffy, on Aug 15 2009, 06:08 AM, said:

AKJxx AQx and a jack is giving us a bad slam.

This is a boring 15 count - I wouldn't expect partner to invite on that v 15-17

I am for 6 - the Q is very good and I am not minimum - I would like partner to play it to protect his so I will try 6

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?
richard
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#4 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 05:28

rd6789, on Aug 15 2009, 11:24 AM, said:

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

You are forced in case partner is weak.

15 with concentrated honnors deosn't look bad but maybe a fitting queen is more likelly. As I see it if aprtner has Queens opposite AK it will be nice, but Jacks are not. But in addition he must have good spades, something like AJxxx or AKxxx is gonna make a bad slam, slam is never gonan be very good, but it can be very bad.
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#5 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 05:40

rd6789, on Aug 15 2009, 11:24 PM, said:

Fluffy, on Aug 15 2009, 06:08 AM, said:

AKJxx AQx  and a jack is giving us a bad slam.

This is a boring 15 count - I wouldn't expect partner to invite on that v 15-17

I am for 6 - the Q is very good and I am not minimum - I would like partner to play it to protect his so I will try 6

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

No as Fluffy said this is the only way out to 2. You must bid 2 even if you have made an offbeat 1NT rebid with a singleton.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#6 User is offline   rd6789 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 05:52

Fluffy, on Aug 15 2009, 06:28 AM, said:

rd6789, on Aug 15 2009, 11:24 AM, said:

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

You are forced in case partner is weak.

ok I didn't realise that.

But my main poitn is partner has asked me to evaluate where I am on the 15-17 band and I have 16 with a good Q so not minimum so I bid a slam
richard
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#7 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 06:15

I've got a good 16, 6 controls, 3 honours in partners suits, surely I'm moving.

Alternative bids are 5NT, 6 and 6NT. Prefer 6, to emphasize my good holding there.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#8 User is offline   rd6789 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 06:22

skaeran, on Aug 15 2009, 07:15 AM, said:

3 honours in partners suits

i think you mis-read the bidding - 2 a transfer not a suit.... but I agree with you that you must move :)
richard
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#9 User is offline   cherdanno 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 06:59

I would bid 6N.
Fluffy, I wouldn't call a balanced 15 count with one point in my suits "fitting". Also, the hand you construct is not such a bad slam as you have criss-cross squeeze chances in addition to just getting 3 diamond tricks.
"Are you saying that LTC merits a more respectful dismissal?"
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#10 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-August-15, 07:35

Partner asked me if I'm maximum, I have a good 16 with an honour for partner. So I bid 6NT.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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#11 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2009-August-16, 20:34

Prime values and honors in partner's suits make this a great hand. 6NT I suppose.
Ming

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#12 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-August-16, 21:02

5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.
Hi y'all!

Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
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#13 User is offline   Cascade 

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Posted 2009-August-16, 21:24

Phil, on Aug 17 2009, 03:02 PM, said:

5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.

It wasn't mentioned in the OP but we don't bid this way with four clubs and the only hand with four diamonds that bids this way is precisely 5=2=4=2 or maybe 5=3=4=1 with a stiff club honour.
Wayne Burrows

I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon

#14 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-August-16, 22:20

Cascade, on Aug 16 2009, 10:24 PM, said:

Phil, on Aug 17 2009, 03:02 PM, said:

5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.

It wasn't mentioned in the OP but we don't bid this way with four clubs and the only hand with four diamonds that bids this way is precisely 5=2=4=2 or maybe 5=3=4=1 with a stiff club honour.

Good to know.

In that case I bid 5N :D
Hi y'all!

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#15 User is offline   effervesce 

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Posted 2009-August-17, 01:31

Phil, on Aug 16 2009, 11:20 PM, said:

Cascade, on Aug 16 2009, 10:24 PM, said:

Phil, on Aug 17 2009, 03:02 PM, said:

5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.

It wasn't mentioned in the OP but we don't bid this way with four clubs and the only hand with four diamonds that bids this way is precisely 5=2=4=2 or maybe 5=3=4=1 with a stiff club honour.

Good to know.

In that case I bid 5N :D

5NT works well too as a blame-transfer bid :P actually now that skaeran mentioned it 6, allowing partner to pick between 6, 6 and 6NT is probably better than bidding 6NT.

*Wonders what bidding 6 would be - pick a slam? 2245?
Ming

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#16 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2009-August-17, 09:42

passing is a joke.
From Psych "I mean, Gus and I never see eye-to-eye on work stuff.
For instance, he doesn't like being used as a human shield when we're being shot at.
I happen to think it's a very noble way to meet one's maker, especially for a guy like him.
Bottom line is we never let that difference of opinion interfere with anything."
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#17 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2009-August-17, 10:06

Go.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

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We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


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#18 User is offline   pooltuna 

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Posted 2009-August-17, 14:10

rd6789, on Aug 15 2009, 06:52 AM, said:

Fluffy, on Aug 15 2009, 06:28 AM, said:

rd6789, on Aug 15 2009, 11:24 AM, said:

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

You are forced in case partner is weak.

ok I didn't realise that.

But my main poitn is partner has asked me to evaluate where I am on the 15-17 band and I have 16 with a good Q so not minimum so I bid a slam

I agree
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#19 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-August-17, 15:09

cherdanno, on Aug 15 2009, 01:59 PM, said:

I would bid 6N.
Fluffy, I wouldn't call a balanced 15 count with one point in my suits "fitting". Also, the hand you construct is not such a bad slam as you have criss-cross squeeze chances in addition to just getting 3 diamond tricks.

If Fluffy's optimistic partner has 10 instead of the rounded-suit jack, it's a good slam even without any squeeze chances. AQx opposite 1098x is worth three tricks more than half the time: low to the queen, followed by the ace if it holds and another finesse if it doesn't, works when RHO has J, Jx, Jxx, Kxx, xxx, Jxxx, Kxxx, xxxx, Jxxxx or Kxxxx. Pavilecek's calculator says that that's 53% of the time.

This post has been edited by gnasher: 2009-August-17, 15:10

... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#20 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-August-17, 15:15

Not to imply I know what I'm talking about, but suitplay says you need to play low to Q and then run the T regardless if the Q held, claiming a 61.9% chance.
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
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