gwnn, on May 6 2009, 10:28 AM, said:
Umm.. Don't reach grand off an outside ace, the queen of trumps and the king of your sidesuit?
The percentage play for no losers is cash the Ace first, in case the suit is 4-0 with 4 on the left (you can't do anything about QTxx on your right).
BTW "misbid" is already in past tense. (And it is not usual to use I did+verb, unless you especially want to accentuate the truth of the sentence)
With 4 on our left, given that we have all the x's then the 4 is from QT7x and we will always have a trump loser.
The %-age play in the spade suit needs several factors taken into account since we are in 7
♠. Like Ken suggested, we need to equal with the field who are in maybe 4/5/6
♠. It's a bit complicated since trying to cater for people in 4/5/6
♠ takes quite a bit of time. I'll neglect 4S since that has high chances of making and if it goes off then we're going to have a hard time in 7S trying to get a decent score.
Assuming the other tables are going to get a red suit lead they will probably try and set up diamonds sometimes losing 1C,1D and hopefully 1S for people in 5S as they'll probably play spades starting from Ace and hoping for 2-2. People in 6S I am hoping they will also start off with SA and meet a 1-3 break with Qxx on their right. In that case, I think I will play a spade to the King and hope the stiff T is on my left and hook RHO's Queen.
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