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Annoying -150 - ATB

#1 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-April-22, 20:12

Scoring: MP

1N - all pass.


The defense went like this:

1. 4th best spade, x, T, A
2, 3, Club AK
4. Heart to K
5. Club to Queen.

Now, West plays the Q and a diamond to east's King.

East cashes the A, setting up the Jack and the 9th trick.

-150 was a lousy score. -120 would have been about average.

Was a clear error made anywhere?
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#2 User is offline   karlson 

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Posted 2009-April-22, 20:35

I blame east.

If west had Qxx, he can afford to lead low. East will know that declarer will score the DQ if he has it regardless of what he does, so he can afford to lead back a small one. Presumably declarer doesn't have 2-2 in the minors.

Also east should probably know that declarer has 4 diamonds if west gave count on the heart.
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#3 User is offline   karlson 

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Posted 2009-April-22, 20:56

East might also get it right if west has Qxx for another reason -- he may play declarer for QTx and a misguess by winning the ace and returning low. West of course knew east had AK already and will have no problem.
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#4 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 10:26

karlson, on Apr 22 2009, 06:35 PM, said:

I blame east.

If west had Qxx, he can afford to lead low. East will know that declarer will score the DQ if he has it regardless of what he does, so he can afford to lead back a small one. Presumably declarer doesn't have 2-2 in the minors.

Also east should probably know that declarer has 4 diamonds if west gave count on the heart.

I was West BTW. From my perspective we could possibly cash out for -90/-120 if pard held AKJx(x). The Q should be in the other hand as the J, assuming pard has the AK.

OTOH, from East's perspective, cashing out for 4 tricks would be prudent if Declarer held Axx AJxx Jxxx AK for instance.

So I confess I don't have an answer here. :lol:
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#5 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 10:33

Are you shooting for 10 thousand after all?
... and I can prove it with my usual, flawless logic.
      George Carlin
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#6 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 10:37

gwnn, on Apr 23 2009, 08:33 AM, said:

Are you shooting for 10 thousand after all?

ROFL, I didn't notice. I'm on my Dad's laptop and I guess pclayton is the auto login.

I changed the password and I don't even remember it.

I think if you combine the two users I'm at around 9900.
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#7 User is offline   se12sam 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 10:44

1. I guess East gave a count signal on the first club.
    In that case, how problematic is it for West to jettison the Q on the third trick? I realise that the count signal does not eliminate a singleton with East and declarer can hold AKJx but this is unlikely.
    If East does have a singleton club and ~10-11 HCP, he will act in the fourth seat (with DONT, CAPP etc -- your system for two suited hands)

2. If West allows East to win the third club, East will not find a need to cash out immediately and will continue with the J.
    Or does it still not solve East's problem?
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#8 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 11:56

I think East should discourage on the first diamond. That might cost if declarer has Axx AJ10x Jxxx AK, but that hand might have upgraded, and for it to cost after a spade continuation declarer would have to be willing to risk going two down - he has to throw his diamond guard, then finesse into the hand that has a spade winner.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#9 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 16:09

Everything is ok until east cashes the last diamond. Just play a heart at this point. If declarer has AJ he will get the problem right there. Cashing out is correct only if declarer's hearts are AJTx or AJxxx and he is about to finesse. Very unlikely.
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#10 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 16:15

AJxxx is especially unlikely :lol:
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#11 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 18:32

MFA, on Apr 23 2009, 02:09 PM, said:

Everything is ok until east cashes the last diamond. Just play a heart at this point. If declarer has AJ he will get the problem right there. Cashing out is correct only if declarer's hearts are AJTx or AJxxx and he is about to finesse. Very unlikely.

No, because east gets squoze in the reds for 10 tricks if declarer is Axx AJxx Jxxx AK.
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#12 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 18:44

pclayton, on Apr 23 2009, 07:32 PM, said:

MFA, on Apr 23 2009, 02:09 PM, said:

Everything is ok until east cashes the last diamond. Just play a heart at this point. If declarer has AJ he will get the problem right there. Cashing out is correct only if declarer's hearts are AJTx or AJxxx and he is about to finesse. Very unlikely.

No, because east gets squoze in the reds for 10 tricks if declarer is Axx AJxx Jxxx AK.

East can't be squeezed in the reds when South has no entry.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#13 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2009-April-23, 18:47

655321, on Apr 23 2009, 04:44 PM, said:

pclayton, on Apr 23 2009, 07:32 PM, said:

MFA, on Apr 23 2009, 02:09 PM, said:

Everything is ok until east cashes the last diamond. Just play a heart at this point. If declarer has AJ he will get the problem right there. Cashing out is correct only if declarer's hearts are AJTx or AJxxx and he is about to finesse. Very unlikely.

No, because east gets squoze in the reds for 10 tricks if declarer is Axx AJxx Jxxx AK.

East can't be squeezed in the reds when South has no entry.

Only if he shifts to a heart. edit: I see that above B)
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#14 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2009-April-24, 01:05

pclayton, on Apr 23 2009, 07:47 PM, said:

655321, on Apr 23 2009, 04:44 PM, said:

pclayton, on Apr 23 2009, 07:32 PM, said:

MFA, on Apr 23 2009, 02:09 PM, said:

Everything is ok until east cashes the last diamond. Just play a heart at this point. If declarer has AJ he will get the problem right there. Cashing out is correct only if declarer's hearts are AJTx or AJxxx and he is about to finesse. Very unlikely.

No, because east gets squoze in the reds for 10 tricks if declarer is Axx AJxx Jxxx AK.

East can't be squeezed in the reds when South has no entry.

Only if he shifts to a heart. edit: I see that above ;)

The point of the heart return is to close the issue right there. If he doesn't commit to a heart finesse with AJ there is no play at all for the 9th trick.
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