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Your Lead Gatlinburg #6 - Lead Problem

Poll: Your lead against 4H is: (19 member(s) have cast votes)

Your lead against 4H is:

  1. A-S (1 votes [5.26%])

    Percentage of vote: 5.26%

  2. x-S (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  3. x-H (2 votes [10.53%])

    Percentage of vote: 10.53%

  4. x-D (5 votes [26.32%])

    Percentage of vote: 26.32%

  5. K-C (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  6. T-C (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  7. x-C (11 votes [57.89%])

    Percentage of vote: 57.89%

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#1 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2009-April-14, 22:54

All NV at IMPs, RHO deals and you hold:

Axx
Txxx
x
KTxxx

The Auction (You and Partner Silent):

1 - 2
2NT - 3
4 - P

Your Lead?
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#2 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-April-15, 01:15

Diamond
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#3 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-15, 02:37

Club.
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#4 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-April-15, 18:08

Declarer is usually 3523 here and dummy should be 35 and will have a ruffing value somewhere.

Diamond might work, but my sense is that whatever trick we get in the form of a ruff we'll lose in a black suit trick we would have got.

Club looks superficially good, trying to start some type of tap, but it will frequently blow trick into declarer's AQ. Its quite possible declarer can take 5 hearts in hand, one or two ruffs in dummy and and 3-4 tricks outside anyway even if we can get trump control.

I have entries in both black suits to lead a 2nd round of trump too.

So I lead a heart.
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#5 User is offline   bill1157 

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Posted 2009-April-15, 18:24

the is is the only right answer here.

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#6 User is offline   Lobowolf 

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Posted 2009-April-15, 18:28

I'll go with my favorite wrong answer, then; club x for me.
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#7 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2009-April-15, 20:37

I'll lead my diamond
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#8 User is offline   petergreat 

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Posted 2009-April-16, 04:06

Small .

You have four trumps. When you have long trumps you should always be aware of making declarer embarrassed when he is forced to ruff.

It works magic especially against 5-3 fits, because the 3-hand is not long enough to draw your trumps while the 5-hand can be forced to ruff. You don't want to ruff, why give up your long hearts!

So you should find a suit to force declarer. The longest suit works best usually so a club.
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#9 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2009-April-16, 05:01

Just a note: for a club tap to work, you probably need pard to have the heart ace, in which case the diamond lead also works. Now, the diamond lead works again if pard has the ace. The club lead works if pard has some club cards and declarer has problems due to our 10.

All in all it seems like the diamond requires less in pard. (I voted for club, though.)
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