overbid? overpass?
#1
Posted 2009-March-24, 10:55
♥ xx
♦ AKT9xxx
♣ Axx
imps, dealer, both vul.
1♦ - (1♥) - 1♠ - (3♥)
?
#2
Posted 2009-March-24, 11:26
-P.J. Painter.
#3
Posted 2009-March-24, 11:31
#5
Posted 2009-March-24, 11:33
TimG, on Mar 24 2009, 12:31 PM, said:
Extra values and takeout. 18 to 19 bal with no stopper, maybe 3154 3163, 2164 etc.
I think "standard" is penalty, but that expert standard is what I said.
#6
Posted 2009-March-24, 11:36
#7
Posted 2009-March-24, 11:46
#8
Posted 2009-March-24, 11:54
We have the death holding in hearts, so to make anything, we need partner to have values, and he usually will not pass in that situation. Any bid here will show a more powerfull hand than we hold.
#11
Posted 2009-March-24, 12:34
The opponents almost assuredly have a nine-fit. People do not have a tendency to preempt vulnerable without a real four-fit. Our hand is one-suit oriented, and we have a five-loser hand. The spade Queen went for nothing in the LTC count but surely has value. Give partner an interesting minimum, like spade King, club King, doubleton diamond, and 4♦ is a fair contract.
Asking partner to bid in this situation is crazy, IMO. He needs about a stiff in support for a 3+ suit to have a fit, and he will not likely view the stiff deuce of diamonds as establishing a fit. However, he is fairly likely to have values but no idea what to do about it, after the 3♥ call. If he does not have values, 4♥ is about to be bid anyway, so who cares if 4♦ was possibly an overreach?
-P.J. Painter.
#12
Posted 2009-March-24, 12:42
#13
Posted 2009-March-24, 12:43
kenrexford, on Mar 24 2009, 01:34 PM, said:
He'll double and we'll have an easy 4♦ call.
Winner - BBO Challenge bracket #6 - February, 2017.
#14
Posted 2009-March-24, 13:01
matmat, on Mar 24 2009, 06:18 PM, said:
I think it's close. At matchpoints I'd bid 4D.
If partner doubles 3H we don't have an 'easy' 4D call, we have about 2 playing tricks too many. If I pass now and partner doubles I would bid 5D.
#15
Posted 2009-March-24, 13:02
kenrexford, on Mar 24 2009, 01:34 PM, said:
Partner does when he wrongly bids 5♦ or doubles 4♥ or looks for a slam. Besides, you are using "does not have values" VERY loosely, if he is a fairly minimum response then the opponents just have half the deck, they aren't just automatically bidding game.
#16
Posted 2009-March-24, 13:47
#17
Posted 2009-March-24, 14:25
jdonn, on Mar 24 2009, 02:02 PM, said:
kenrexford, on Mar 24 2009, 01:34 PM, said:
Partner does when he wrongly bids 5♦ or doubles 4♥ or looks for a slam. Besides, you are using "does not have values" VERY loosely, if he is a fairly minimum response then the opponents just have half the deck, they aren't just automatically bidding game.
If in this sequence (LHO now bids 4♥) partner either doubles or bids 5♦, I am fairly certain that his bid or double will be right. If he bids 5♦ after a pass, I feel equally assured. The ONLY risk is that he passes and I am slaughtered, IMO. Any action other than pass makes me happy.
I also don't get your Part II. If the opponents have half the deck, and a nine-fit, I think the odds are fairly good that they are bidding game at IMP's, except when diamonds split 2-2, which is good for me if I declare.
-P.J. Painter.
#18
Posted 2009-March-24, 14:35
kenrexford, on Mar 24 2009, 03:25 PM, said:
That contradicts your previous assertion that it doesn't matter if 4♦ is an overbid. How can you really believe a bid may be an overbid but that anything partner does opposite it will be right? All you are saying is your partner has bad judgment.
I will say it more specifically. If partner raises 4♦ to 5♦ it is very likely to go down.
Quote
You must get it, since it appears to have convinced you to downgrade from that if partner is minimum they will bid 4♥ to they are fairly likely to bid 4♥.
#19
Posted 2009-March-24, 14:51
Thus, if I bid 4♦ into a void, I may have overreached. If partner bids 5♦, this "proves" my valuation as accurate.
You should know that, Josh.
"If partner raises 4♦ to 5♦, it is very likely to go down."
???
If partner freely raises 4♦ to 5♦, I disagree that it is very likely to go down. If partner raises 4♦ to 5♦ with an intervening 4♥ call, I don't care if it goes down, as I want to declare. If I am set one trick, and 4♥ would be set on trick, at least my insurance premium was relatively low. But, both might make. Certainly, 4♥ might make.
As to your last point. I have AK-A in the minors, right? That's 11 HCP. I also have the spade Queen, for a total of 13 HCP. If the opponents have half the deck, that's 33 HCP. 40-33=7. 7 is not a minimum. A minimum is about 3-4. If partner has 3-4, then we have 16-17 combined, yielding 23-24 for the opponents, nefore counting distribution.
So, again, if partner has a minimum 3-5, they WILL bid game. If partner has an average/middling 6-8, they are FAIRLY LIKELY to bid game.
-P.J. Painter.

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