awm, on Mar 31 2009, 08:50 AM, said:
I suspect that a lot of non-bridge players do not realize how ridiculously easy it is for a determined group of people to cheat at bridge.
There are many possible methods of cheating, and for every highly-publicized case of people being caught there are probably dozens of cases that go undiscovered.
With this in mind, there are essentially two approaches to dealing with the cheating problem.
(1) Create policies that make it more difficult to cheat. With sufficient coverage, it will become difficult for determined individuals to get away with it.
(2) Adopt a sort of "honor system" combined with draconian penalties for anyone who is actually caught cheating.
Either of these approaches is potentially reasonable. The issue I have with the cell phone ban is that ACBL's approach in the past has always been method (2), and this approach smacks of (1). Using a "little of one and a little of another" doesn't work -- banning cell phones does not substantially make it harder to cheat because there are so many alternative (and easier to implement) cheating methods available, so all it does is erode the "honor system" by suggesting that a certain set of people are cheaters, and inconvenience a large number of people (most of whom are probably not cheaters).
As I've mentioned before in related threads, if ACBL were to adopt a serious type (1) policy to prevent cheating, which would have to include substantially more use of screens and barometer style play, I would be much more willing to accept a cell phone ban as part of such a broad policy. Banning me from carrying my phone is a big inconvenience, but I am willing to suffer such an inconvenience if it will truly reduce or eliminate cheating in bridge. I do not believe that such a ban has any substantial such effect because it is just as easy to pass notes in the bathroom as it is to sit in the bathroom texting (not to mention that the cell phone ban, being essentially un-enforceable, does not really stop a determined cheater from sitting in the bathroom texting). So basically I am being inconvenienced for no benefit.
Non-bridge players probably assume an approach more like (1), as this is the common approach in most competitive sports (i.e. Olympics).
This reminds me a lot of Gary Becker's famous paper on crime and punishment. Rather than giving the link to the paper, I am attaching the wiki entry for Becker, who is a Nobel prize winning economist.
http://en.wikipedia....iki/Gary_Becker
wiki said:
Crime and punishment
Beckers interest in criminology arose when he was rushed for time one day. He had to weigh the cost and benefits of legally parking in an inconvenient garage versus in an illegal but convenient spot. After roughly calculating the probability of getting caught and potential punishment, Becker rationally opted for the crime. Becker surmised that other criminals make such rational decisions. However, such a premise went against conventional thought that crime was a result of mental illness and social oppression.
While Becker acknowledged that many people operate under a high moral and ethical constraint, criminals rationally see that the benefits of their crime outweigh the cost such as the probability of apprehension, conviction, punishment, as well as their current set of opportunities. From the public policy perspective, since the cost of increasing the fine is marginal to that of the cost of increasing surveillance, one can conclude that the best policy is to maximize the fine and minimize surveillance. However, this conclusion has limits, not the least of which include ethical considerations.
One of the main differences between this theory and Jeremy Bentham's rational choice theory, which had been abandoned in criminology, is that if Bentham considered it possible to completely annihilate crime (through the panopticon), Becker's theory acknowledged that a society could not eradicate crime beneath a certain level. For example, if 25% of a supermarket's products were stolen, it would be very easy to reduce this rate to 15%, quite easy to reduce it until 5%, difficult to reduce it under 3% and nearly impossible to reduce it to zero (a feat which would cost the supermarket, in surveillance, etc., that it would outweigh the benefits).
I believe further empirical studies have been done to show that the behavior of criminals is more affected by the probability of being caught than by the punishment if caught.
My personal view is similar. That is to say, that if we want to reduce cheating, the most effective strategies are costly and involve increasing surveillance.