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another lead

#1 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 11:54

w/w BAM

(2n) p (3n) all pass

AQxx
Txx
T9x
Qxx

lead?
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#2 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 11:58

Low spade for me. ♦T 2nd choice.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#3 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 12:21

heart
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#4 User is offline   Trumpace 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 13:56

JLOL, on Feb 11 2009, 01:21 PM, said:

heart

If possible, can you please explain your reasons?
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#5 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 14:54

I probably lead ♦T, but I don't feel strongly about a diamond (T9x, sequence of sorts, safeish) compared to a heart (major suit, no Stayman).

I hate a black suit lead (AQ fourth and Q third).
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#6 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 15:41

Trumpace, on Feb 11 2009, 02:56 PM, said:

JLOL, on Feb 11 2009, 01:21 PM, said:

heart

If possible, can you please explain your reasons?

I feel like the added safety of the D9 does not outweigh the fact that they will have more diamonds than hearts on average.
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#7 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 23:55

I agree with harald.
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#8 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 23:58

skaeran, on Feb 12 2009, 12:58 AM, said:

Low spade for me. ♦T 2nd choice.

Agree with this.
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#9 User is offline   MickyB 

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Posted 2009-February-11, 23:58

♦ for me. Very close between the reds
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#10 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2009-February-12, 04:29

A spade.

I agree that it is close between the reds- I would not know what to lead when I would be forbidden to lead a spade.
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#11 User is offline   Trumpace 

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Posted 2009-February-12, 10:11

JLOL, on Feb 11 2009, 04:41 PM, said:

Trumpace, on Feb 11 2009, 02:56 PM, said:

JLOL, on Feb 11 2009, 01:21 PM, said:

heart

If possible, can you please explain your reasons?

I feel like the added safety of the D9 does not outweigh the fact that they will have more diamonds than hearts on average.

Interesting. You have given me something to think about.

Thanks.
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#12 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-February-12, 11:28

Yeah, this is BAM. This looks like a hand to not give away a trick.

That said, one thought I have is that any red-suit lead that ends up looking like a safe lead might help Declarer place the club Queen, ever-so-slightly, by restricted choice. This might be a reason to actually lead the diamond, to look more like an attacking lead.

On the other hand, leading a heart might look like we are making an attacking lead into partner's expected trick source, because we have no entries (we do, but we are painting a picture).

For that reason, I like the heart lead, but I think I'd lead the top heart.
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#13 User is offline   JLOL 

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Posted 2009-February-12, 16:24

Ken we should play together on BBO some time lol.
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#14 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2009-February-13, 01:47

This is an auction to lead a major, and leading from AQxx blows.

Put me down for a heart too. I'll lead low and Smith my way away from it later if it looks like we need to get bizzy.
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#15 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2009-February-13, 06:30

JLOL, on Feb 12 2009, 05:24 PM, said:

Ken we should play together on BBO some time lol.

What, you want to actually see my insanity live? LOL
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

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#16 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2009-February-13, 10:10

dummy has x xxx Jxxx AJTxx
declarer has KJxxx KJx AKQ Kx

Diamond (or club) works this time -- declarer's hand gets squeezed on his 9th trick.

(one table led a diamond, the other table led the ♠T from the other side)
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