Echognome, on Nov 26 2008, 06:07 PM, said:
FrancesHinden, on Nov 26 2008, 09:52 AM, said:
Echognome, on Nov 26 2008, 05:45 PM, said:
Just thinking out loud here. Why didn't we duck the 2nd club?
Because they would then play a third club?
If you like the play can start
Ace of clubs
Queen of clubs ducked, another diamond discard
Third club, ruffed on your right with the jack of hearts.
For reasons which may become clear later, you are now worse off than you were by playing the king on the second round.
No we are not. We might be able to guess trumps now. Is RHO ruffing from QJx, Jxx, etc? We know RHO has the trump length. Also, RHO may not guess to trump high.
I don't understand where you are going with this.
In the original line, RHO ruffed your king of clubs, although luckily that has turned out to be with his trump trick.
In your revised line, RHO ruffs your king of clubs. You have to over-ruff immediately or you have four quick losers. If he ruffed low, you are in the same position as if you had played the CK on the second round, you have to hope that's from a trump trick, and then you have to find a 10th trick from somehwere. If he ruffed high, you now have to guess trumps in addition to all your other problems.
How can you possibly be better off directly by ducking at trick two?
The only other difference is that no-one has touched the spade suit yet. That might be an advantage, but you haven't said why.
1♥ 4♣ 4♥ all pass