Posted 2008-October-31, 09:58
imo, you were unlucky rather than stupid.
Maybe Rosenberg can work out the percentages of various lines at the table.. I sure can't. I think it was Kantar who described hands like this as a scramble... nothing is clear.. you have to sort of scramble your way through a few tricks until you have more info and, with luck, a line will coalesce for you.
While we can all see that a diamond ruff may loom, there is no way to be sure of avoiding it... playing on trump minimizes the risk but does not eliminate it, and, in the interim, may result in club disaster even when it is otherwise successful.
The club J is clearly the correct card.. you might, on some hands, lead the club J from KQJ, so you stand some chance of catching a big fish on the play... while this is a tiny chance, no other club play offers that edge.
Then the balance of your line seems perfectly normal to me... and on a reasonable day, LHO has the heart King or 4 clubs.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
pass 1♠ pass 1NT
pass 2♠ pass pass
pass
2♠ was the weaker of two ways to bid 2♠