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Preeeeeeeeeeemptsssss

#1 User is offline   kfay 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 03:08

IMPs, Red vs White, Second Seat

ATx Kxx QJT9 432

(P) - P - (3) - Dbl
(P) - ?
Kevin Fay
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#2 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 03:23

3. Don't want to play 4M in a 4-3 fit when trumps will often split badly. 3NT might work but I think the odds are against it. If p is (54)13, as he could easily be, I lost.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
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#3 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 03:27

pass.......my best guess...yours may be better.
we are vul ...opp nv?
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#4 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 03:31

Pass. 3 would work if partner is planning to bid again; anything else is at least as likely to lead to a minus score as not.
... that would still not be conclusive proof, before someone wants to explain that to me as well as if I was a 5 year-old. - gwnn
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#5 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 03:57

I really hate pass. We have three low clubs, we are at red vs white at imps, why can't partner have a 5431 18-count?

I bid 3D. If partner bids over this, nothing bad should happen, we have plenty of high cards, we having nothing wasted in clubs. If partner passes 3D I don't see why that should be a disaster.

Passing out 3C deserves to be +300 rather than +1370 opposite KQxxx AQxx AKxx x
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#6 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 04:10

3 for me.

I would like to bid more, but with no 4 card major and 432 in their suit, no other bid seems sensible.

Not keen on Pass with 432 of trumps and a suit to bid, but I agree that we will sometimes be able to cash 5 or 6 tricks against 3X with no game on.
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#7 User is offline   the hog 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 04:48

I also really hate the pass -this is a real crucifixion call.
3D for me.
"The King of Hearts a broadsword bears, the Queen of Hearts a rose." W. H. Auden.
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#8 User is offline   dake50 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 06:30

When double is restricted to only mundane distributions, not 5-5, 6+suit, not 5440, pass is acceptable as best shot for plus. My partnership does restrict double.
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#9 User is offline   OleBerg 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 07:36

3

Another thing that really makes me dislike pass, is that with our intermidiates, it is unlikely that we will be doubled, even if thrumphs break badly.
_____________________________________

Do not underestimate the power of the dark side. Or the ninth trumph.

Best Regards Ole Berg

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We should always assume 2/1 unless otherwise stated, because:

- If the original poster didn't bother to state his system, that means that he thinks it's obvious what he's playing. The only people who think this are 2/1 players.


Gnasher
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#10 User is offline   ASkolnick 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 08:08

I agree with Dake50. This is a discussion I always get into partner with about "flexible" doubles on odd-shape take-outs. The problem is not with the hand that makes the takeout, it is with the responder's hand type of hand, it could be dangerous to sit.

But I sit anyway. Yes, I could miss slam and we also could have 28 points and no game.
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#11 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 08:31

ASkolnick, on Oct 7 2008, 03:08 PM, said:

I agree with Dake50. This is a discussion I always get into partner with about "flexible" doubles on odd-shape take-outs. The problem is not with the hand that makes the takeout, it is with the responder's hand type of hand, it could be dangerous to sit.

But I sit anyway. Yes, I could miss slam and we also could have 28 points and no game.

We can discuss whether passing is a good idea or not on this hand (I've given my opinion) but it's really nothing to do with the possibility of an off-shape or odd-shape 'flexible' double opposite.

The idea that partner shouldn't be allowed to double on a void is also a different discussion, a 4450 is not usually considered to be 'off shape'

Even playing absolute textbook take-out doubles, and even saying that partner isn't allowed a club void, I am not yet convinced that pass is the percentage action. I don't have time to do a proper simulation, but I'm worried about this boring type of hand:

KQxx
QJxx
Axxx
x

I would expect to be making 3D comfortably opposite that, but if dealer has the DK, 3Cx is likely to be making.

If partner has an 18-count I expect to be making game. The problem is that I'm not going to bid it. Again, nothing spectacular, but

KQxx
AQxx
Axx
Kx

(note wasted club values). 4H is a pretty good spot, although I'm not going to be able to get there.

Hey, I'm almost persauding myself into a 4C call rather than a 3D call. But not a pass.
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#12 User is offline   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 08:34

FrancesHinden, on Oct 7 2008, 09:31 AM, said:

ASkolnick, on Oct 7 2008, 03:08 PM, said:

I agree with Dake50.  This is a discussion I always get into partner with about "flexible" doubles on odd-shape take-outs.  The problem is not with the hand that makes the takeout, it is with the responder's hand type of hand, it could be dangerous to sit.

But I sit anyway.  Yes, I could miss slam and we also could have 28 points and no game.

We can discuss whether passing is a good idea or not on this hand (I've given my opinion) but it's really nothing to do with the possibility of an off-shape or odd-shape 'flexible' double opposite.

The idea that partner shouldn't be allowed to double on a void is also a different discussion, a 4450 is not usually considered to be 'off shape'

Even playing absolute textbook take-out doubles, and even saying that partner isn't allowed a club void, I am not yet convinced that pass is the percentage action. I don't have time to do a proper simulation, but I'm worried about this boring type of hand:

KQxx
QJxx
Axxx
x

I would expect to be making 3D comfortably opposite that, but if dealer has the DK, 3Cx is likely to be making.

If partner has an 18-count I expect to be making game. The problem is that I'm not going to bid it. Again, nothing spectacular, but

KQxx
AQxx
Axx
Kx

(note wasted club values). 4H is a pretty good spot, although I'm not going to be able to get there.

Hey, I'm almost persauding myself into a 4C call rather than a 3D call. But not a pass.

agree
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#13 User is offline   ArcLight 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 08:35

FrancesHinden, on Oct 7 2008, 04:57 AM, said:

I really hate pass. We have three low clubs, we are at red vs white at imps, why can't partner have a 5431 18-count?

Wouldn't pard bid with that?
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#14 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 08:53

Agree with Frances.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#15 User is offline   MickyB 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 08:55

ArcLight, on Oct 7 2008, 03:35 PM, said:

FrancesHinden, on Oct 7 2008, 04:57 AM, said:

I really hate pass.  We have three low clubs, we are at red vs white at imps, why can't partner have a 5431 18-count?

Wouldn't pard bid with that?

No, double would be clear - all five strains are possible at this stage, bidding would emphasise one of them far too much. Doubling then bidding a suit is typically 5431 with three cards in advancer's suit.
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#16 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 09:15

ArcLight, on Oct 7 2008, 03:35 PM, said:

FrancesHinden, on Oct 7 2008, 04:57 AM, said:

I really hate pass.  We have three low clubs, we are at red vs white at imps, why can't partner have a 5431 18-count?

Wouldn't pard bid with that?

There's also this type of hand:

Kxx
KQxxx
AKx
Kx

What do you do over 3C?
If you bid 3H, you feel you are a bit short on spades and a bit long on high cards.
If you bid 3NT, you feel you are a bit short on club stops and a bit long on hearts.

A common approach is to double, then bid 3H over partner's 3D, and 3NT over partner's 3S, to show doubt about the final contract (i.e. inviting partner to pull 3NT).

I agree this is another type of 'off-shape' double... and 3C is going off if partner has this hand (expectation is probably 500) but that is still imps out against our potential +690
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#17 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 09:17

Besides all of the "textbook" takeout doubles that partner might have, suppose he has a monster with a single suit that he feels is too strong to merely bid game (if the suit is a major) or just overcall either 3 or 5. Now you could be missing a slam AND 3x might be making.

How would you like that result?

I would bid 3 on these cards and I don't think it is a close choice. Pass might be the winner on some hands, but I will never pass on these cards.

For example, suppose pard had:

Kx
Axx
AKT9xxxx
---

Now, maybe this is not your idea of a double of 3. But it is possible.
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#18 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 09:37

ArtK78, on Oct 7 2008, 10:17 AM, said:

For example, suppose pard had:

Kx
Axx
AKT9xxxx
---

Now, maybe this is not your idea of a double of 3.  But it is possible.

Please, you are very close to being relegated to the jtfanclub "my example hands are not credible so please try not to laugh too hard at them" allstars.

As much as I hate to agree with anyone who uses that example hand, I dislike 3 but I dislike pass even more, so 3 it is. 4 is not without merit but seems like too big a position to take.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#19 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 10:08

jdonn, on Oct 7 2008, 07:37 AM, said:

ArtK78, on Oct 7 2008, 10:17 AM, said:

For example, suppose pard had:

Kx
Axx
AKT9xxxx
---

Now, maybe this is not your idea of a double of 3.  But it is possible.

Please, you are very close to being relegated to the jtfanclub "my example hands are not credible so please try not to laugh too hard at them" allstars.

As much as I hate to agree with anyone who uses that example hand, I dislike 3 but I dislike pass even more, so 3 it is. 4 is not without merit but seems like too big a position to take.

Speaking of JT, where's he been hiding lately?

I'm a very reluctant 3 bidder. There's just too much upside here to pass, even though I will frequently pass a doubled preempt with a 4333.

I don't want to go back to my teammates with a plus 500 against their -1440 when pard happened to hold Kx AQJx AKxxx Ax
"Phil" on BBO
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#20 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-October-07, 10:21

ArtK78, on Oct 7 2008, 08:17 AM, said:

Kx
Axx
AKT9xxxx

In general, I create example hands and then use them to make a point. I think you are processing this in the wrong order.
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