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LEAD?!

#1 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-September-13, 12:38

imps you hold xxx Kxx xxx xxxx.

Auction starting on your left, you don't bid:

1S 2H(gf)
3D 3H
3S 4H
4N 5S(2+Q)
6H p
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#2 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 12:52

♥K.

I suppose anything else might work.

If I had to choose, ♦. A diamond seems most in jeopardy of a ditch.
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#3 User is offline   Echognome 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 12:52

♦ for me. I can be talked into a ♣ though.

My guess at the shapes is 6=1=4=2 on my left (with a stiff honor) and 1=7=2=3 on my right. Just a guess.
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#4 User is offline   NickRW 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 12:58

Well, I don't normally reply to opening lead questions, as it is not my forte. However, isn't it at least possible that partner has ♣KQ and we need to knock out the ace before opps can throw a loser in that suit? I vote for a club.

Nick
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#5 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 12:59

club
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#6 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 13:10

Jlall, on Sep 13 2008, 01:38 PM, said:

imps you hold xxx Kxx xxx xxxx.
Auction starting on your left, you don't bid:
1S 2H(gf)
3D 3H
3S 4H
4N 5S(2+Q)
6H p

IMO ♥x = 10, ♣x = 9
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#7 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 14:25

club
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#8 User is offline   ochinko 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 16:09

A small ♥ is most likely not to give away a trick, plus it may even prevent a ♣ ruff if dummy is 6=1=4=2. ♦ would be my second choice.
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#9 User is online   mikeh 

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Posted 2008-September-13, 16:17

We are not hitting an Ace opposite, so we are seeking to build a second trick before declarer gets pitches.

Declarer's shortest suit is almost certainly spades, so that suggests that a spade lead will be ineffective, and it is tough to see how it could be a good entry destroying play either.

I choose a diamond on the basis that LHO might be 6=2=4=1 and even if we have second round club winner, we might not get it: if we win the first round of hearts, dummy still has a trump left and if we duck it, or win an return one to stop the ruff, declarer just wins the second heart and goes about his business: I hate my pointed suit holdings if partner's strength is in clubs.

BTW, lho's ability to keycard and the 2 keycard response suggests, to me, that there is some slight inference that LHO is 6=2=4=1 rather than 6=1=4=2... I think RHO's second keycard rates to be the club Ace (LHO has at most 2 clubs, so the odds are that his 2 keycards are in the pointed suits). This inference makes it less likely that a club will work... partner needs a stronger holding to score a trick if the A is behind him, and we may not be able to score a trick anyway, if LHO is 6=2=4=1... even if we duck the first heart, declarer may be able to succeed by rejecting a second hook.
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