Jlall, on Jul 31 2008, 10:25 AM, said:
kenrexford, on Jul 31 2008, 09:37 AM, said:
The bid of 4♠ is hopeless.
Does 4S show a different hand to you or something? I believe most people would think 4S is stronger than 3S, and 3S is usually bid with a balanced 18 count, so 4S can hardly be described as hopeless.
I understand north's decision not to splinter with stiff ace as it may cause a poor evaluation by south. On this hand I think south might well have bid on over 4S, and I think 4S shows a very good hand.
I'll use very basic Goren point count analysis here.
The HCP count is 19. You add 3 for the stiff when you have support. That gets you to a 22-count.
Of course, this undervalues both the fact that you have all four Aces, which are under-valued, and the fact that partner, lacking even a single Ace, will tend to be conservative.
So, what does a 4
♠ call actually show? As most would splinter with a stiff, a 4
♠ call typically denies a stiff. It would be expected to show a balanced hand with a maximum. If the 2NT opening range is 20-21, you'd expect a 19-count, and possibly some 18's.
Of course, Opener might also have some general "player" where he wants to keep matters secret and rely upon a running club suit and a bad lead for a possible game, meaning lighter net strength hands with some play.
However, this suggests to me that the nature of the hand type is off and that the strength of the hand is off by about a King. Make the hand a 18 HCP hand with 4234 shape, one more for the doubleton, and you have a classic 4
♠ call. Thus, maybe
♠Axxx
♥Ax
♦Axx
♣AQxx.
Obviously, a non-forcing 3
♠, which you commented upon and discarded as nonsensical, would be equally nonsenical by my analysis. Not sure what your point is with that issue.
South had
♠KQJxx
♥xxxxx
♦K
♣xx. A slam might well be making, opposite the spade Ace, both minor Aces, and some useful heart help. So, South probably does have cause to move, anyway. That part I do not disagree with. The question for South, however, would be whether the five-level is safe. The five-level is not assuredly safe, but it does seem reasonably safe. My concern was not to address South's decisions, though.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."
-P.J. Painter.