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too high again

#1 User is offline   MarkDean 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 01:36

Scoring: MP


West opens, opponents silent afterward:

(1S)
2H 2S
4H 5C
6H

Not a good slam with the opening bidder over the king of diamonds. Assign the blame.
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#2 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 01:50

What is this 5 crap?

Edit: Forgot to comment about North's bidding. I agree, but I am pretty sound about bidding 5 here.
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#3 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 01:56

rogerclee, on Jun 22 2008, 02:50 AM, said:

What is this 5 crap?

If south has Qxxx xx in the minors then would it be crap? Or the ace was in diamonds instead of spades with the same shape? Your opinions really have become quite forceful lately even in very close cases. I think south should pass in a close call.
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#4 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 02:14

What if north were 3-3 in the minors? What if north had a bunch of spades? I don't think it is hard at all to construct hands where 5 is shaky, and even if slam is on, do you think you can get this decision right enough to justify the risk? I think it is a very narrow range where slam is on but partner could not have made a stronger move than 4.

Honestly I am very surprised you think this is close.
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#5 User is offline   andy_h 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 02:24

Blaming South for moving on. There are many ways in which N can bid between 2S and 4H. I'm not risking the 5lvl as it could be off in a few ways, like 2S+1D or there happens to be a diamond lead or something.
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#6 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-June-22, 02:32

sotyh was a joke whnat?????????
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#7 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 04:06

rogerclee, on Jun 22 2008, 03:14 AM, said:

What if north were 3-3 in the minors? What if north had a bunch of spades? I don't think it is hard at all to construct hands where 5 is shaky, and even if slam is on, do you think you can get this decision right enough to justify the risk? I think it is a very narrow range where slam is on but partner could not have made a stronger move than 4.

Honestly I am very surprised you think this is close.

It's kind of irrelevent of you to point out hands for north that don't make slam to respond to me pointing out some that do, partly since I already said it's souths fault, partly since my entire point was you can't say OMG SOUTH WAS ON CRACK since slam could easily be on. And don't forget south didn't bid slam, he only tried. A hand that makes 5 and stops there is not a loss.

By the way, it's easy to focus on south since he should pass 4, but don't you think north deserves some blame for just bidding slam having already shown extras? Whose fault would it be if south had xx Qxxxx Kx AKQx?

Jlall drunk = amusing.
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#8 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 06:02

jdonn, on Jun 22 2008, 05:06 AM, said:

Jlall drunk = amusing.

What? You didn't follow his interesting idea? LOL

Seriously, though, I agree with your lessened criticism of South. North did jump to game, after all. A collection of 12 HCP's, flat, with the diamond King poorly placed surely screams the five-level, no? :rolleyes:

Or, maybe you can type better when you are drunk? :) :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#9 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 12:25

jdonn, on Jun 22 2008, 03:06 AM, said:

It's kind of irrelevent of you to point out hands for north that don't make slam to respond to me pointing out some that do, partly since I already said it's souths fault, partly since my entire point was you can't say OMG SOUTH WAS ON CRACK since slam could easily be on.

Our difference of opinion is on the closeness of the decision.

Josh, how is pointing out that slam is often bad irrelevant? I am saying South is on crack because he took a call which had something like a 10% chance to be good, a 50% chance to do nothing, and a 40% chance to be bad. It is rare to see a bridge call which has literally no chance of succeeding; it doesn't make it anywhere close to sensible. I disagree that slam could "easily" be on, the stiff spade in North's hand is pretty critical.

I agree I could be more tactful in stating my response, but I really think the 5 bid is off the charts.
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#10 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 15:12

What precisely is North supposed to have for 6 to have a prayer?

The hand jdonn suggested was A AKJxxx Qxxx xx. That's a fairly huge hand for just 4. First and second-round control of the opponent's suit, two top hearts with a sixth one, so far the same. But, that diamond Queen elevates the hand to a five-loser hand. The extra trump length mitigates the fourth diamond.

I mean, would it be that difficult for North to imagine:

xxx Qxxx AKx Axx or
xxx Qxxx x AKQx or
the actual hand?

I would hope that North would bid something more exciting than 4 with that hand or any other fitting hand I can imagine.
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#11 User is offline   rogerclee 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 15:29

kenrexford, on Jun 22 2008, 02:12 PM, said:

The hand jdonn suggested was A AKJxxx Qxxx xx.

I would bid 4 for sure with this. It is something like A AKJxxx Qxxx Qx that I think should go slamming, or Ax AKJxxx Axxx x.
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#12 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 20:41

rogerclee, on Jun 22 2008, 04:29 PM, said:

kenrexford, on Jun 22 2008, 02:12 PM, said:

The hand jdonn suggested was A AKJxxx Qxxx xx.

I would bid 4 for sure with this. It is something like A AKJxxx Qxxx Qx that I think should go slamming, or Ax AKJxxx Axxx x.

Wow. When slam seems VERY favorite opposite xxx-xxxx-AKx-Axx, not blasting to 4 seems rather obvious to me.
"Gibberish in, gibberish out. A trial judge, three sets of lawyers, and now three appellate judges cannot agree on what this law means. And we ask police officers, prosecutors, defense lawyers, and citizens to enforce or abide by it? The legislature continues to write unreadable statutes. Gibberish should not be enforced as law."

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#13 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 21:26

Still no one else seems to have pointed out that perhaps, just maybe, north shouldn't bid 6? 5 anyone?

Ken there are disadvantages in divulging your hand when slam seems unlikely. Also I don't give much credence to an example for partner with xxxx of hearts since he will usually have the queen as part of his values. It's just too oh-so carefully chosen. Even Roger who thinks it was awful of south to bid on admits at least the he could miss slam by passing.
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#14 User is offline   benlessard 

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Posted 2008-June-22, 23:13

I like to play that 4H = gambling into 4H. Any slight extra with north i make a splinter or bid a new suit at the 3 level. So for me 5C is short by 2-3 pts.
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#15 User is offline   gnasher 

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Posted 2008-June-23, 01:13

jdonn, on Jun 23 2008, 04:26 AM, said:

Still no one else seems to have pointed out that perhaps, just maybe, north shouldn't bid 6? 5 anyone?

I don't suppose that anybody had anything to add to what you had already said. Nobody disagreed, did they?

Quote

Ken there are disadvantages in divulging your hand when slam seems unlikely.

I agree with this, except that it isn't forceful enough.

benlessard, on Jun 23 2008, 06:13 AM, said:

I like to play that 4H = gambling into 4H. Any slight extra with north i make a splinter or bid a new suit at the 3 level.

I disagree strongly with this approach. 19 times out of 20 we'll have no slam interest whatsoever. On those hands all we do is help the defence against our game.

A better answer is to play 3 over 2 as showing acceptance of the game try, and leaving room for slam investigation if that's what advancer is planning. I usually use 3NT for this purpose, but on this auction we probably need that as a natural bid.
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#16 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2008-June-23, 05:37

jdonn, on Jun 22 2008, 10:26 PM, said:

Still no one else seems to have pointed out that perhaps, just maybe, north shouldn't bid 6? 5 anyone?

Ken there are disadvantages in divulging your hand when slam seems unlikely. Also I don't give much credence to an example for partner with xxxx of hearts since he will usually have the queen as part of his values. It's just too oh-so carefully chosen. Even Roger who thinks it was awful of south to bid on admits at least the he could miss slam by passing.

I picked an 11-count. Add in the Queen, and you only creep up to 13. Plus, I thought the general principle here was to assess whether slam is possible opposite a normal minimum and only move if so. This is a fairly normal minimum.

Furthermore, I provided additional examples earlier. Including the actual hand.

How about Kx-Qxx-KJxx-Axxx? QJx-Qxxx-AJx-Axx?

Although not divulging info is good, in principle, there are a vast number of suitable holdings here. If you are cautious, bid 3 in response to 2; you are giving up little in the way of useful information for the defense other than that you have very keen interest in slam. Partner can decline that BS and bid 4 with unsuitable values. But, at least with AK-A and the heart Q you'd hear noise. For my part, though, when I can rattle off example after example of normal hands for partner where slam makes, with little difficulty finding out, I'll at least start a stab at it.
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#17 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-June-24, 04:29

MarkDean, on Jun 22 2008, 02:36 AM, said:

Scoring: MP

West opens, opponents silent afterward:

(1S)
2H 2S
4H 5C
6H

Not a good slam with the opening bidder over the king of diamonds.  Assign the blame.

IMO
  • :) In theory, both players overbid. South more than North.( Nevertheless, if North held Q rather than J, we would be complimenting the pair on excellent judgment
  • :) In practice, at pairs it isn't an awful slam ... because, at pairs, good defenders tend to lead aces against slams.
    • :) If West doesn't have A then the slam is reasonable.
    • :) If West does have A then he may well lead it.
    • :( Admittedly, if West has both AQ then prospects are bleaker.

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#18 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-June-24, 05:13

West is not on lead
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#19 User is offline   nige1 

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Posted 2008-June-24, 05:23

FrancesHinden, on Jun 24 2008, 06:13 AM, said:

West is not on lead

:) :) :) OH! :( :) :(
:( Then 6 is a bit high :(
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#20 User is offline   xcurt 

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Posted 2008-June-24, 10:12

nige1, on Jun 24 2008, 05:29 AM, said:

:rolleyes: If West does have A then he may well lead it.

You are north and have this auction to 6. RHO leads the A out of turn. Do you accept? Probably no and you bar a diamond lead.
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