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S4s X - bid again

Poll: Your go (22 member(s) have cast votes)

Your go

  1. 4S (11 votes [50.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

  2. 5S (4 votes [18.18%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.18%

  3. 6S (4 votes [18.18%])

    Percentage of vote: 18.18%

  4. other (3 votes [13.64%])

    Percentage of vote: 13.64%

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#1 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 04:56

love all
LHO opens 4H, passed round to you

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#2 User is offline   Gerben42 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 04:58

I will just bid 6. Five will just get a puzzling look from partner, the hand is too good for 4.

Let me guess, this was from the Spring 4s, and bidding 6 knocked us out.
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#3 User is offline   joker_gib 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 05:23

I think I'd double ! (not especially recommended with the void but maybe we belong to clubs !)
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#4 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 05:29

4, but not really happy about it...
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#5 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 05:32

Preempts can be such as pain

The bidding is already at the 4 level. However are we possibility going to let partner know that club controls are so crucial and that the KQ of Diamonds might not matter at all?

If the missing high card are split evening bettwen RHO and partner slam could be quite reasonable. However, even with LHO's Heart length, there are still two opponents and one partner who can hold missing card which doesn't encourage me.

Mark me down for 4NT (suggesting two places to play). If partner bids 5, I'm going to bid 6. If partner bids 5, I'll bid 5. I hope that this will work better than 5, 6, or even pass.
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#6 User is offline   FrancesHinden 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 06:18

Gerben42, on May 7 2008, 11:58 AM, said:

Let me guess, this was from the Spring 4s, and bidding 6 knocked us out.

This is from a match we won.
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#7 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 06:37

I'm happy with a plain 4.
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#8 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 06:52

5 sounds just right. We will make this opposite almost anything, and the danger of partner raising and slam being off is zero.
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#9 Guest_Jlall_*

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Posted 2008-May-07, 07:32

While 5S feels right I'm just worried because there is no way for partner to evaluate his hand. So it feels like we may be getting the worst of both worlds; he will pass with hands that make slam cold and we may have gone past our last making spot (4S). For 5S to be better than 4S it has to get us to more slams than 5S-1 contracts. For 5S to be better than 6S it has to allow us to avoid enough bad slams (that make exactly 11 tricks) to compensate for the slams we will miss. It just seems like given that partner cannot evaluate we should guess something. On the other hand I have no idea if 6S or 4S is a better guess, so 5S feels right! Ok, confused yet?

Anyways, I think I would go with 4S. If my spades were AKQ I would try 6 but there are just too many holes in this hand. Also, if they choose to compete to 5H and then I bid 5S maybe they will X me (wishful thinking).

TBH I think no one has enough experience with this type of hand to have any idea what is right from experience, and no one is capable of reasoning out the best bid either. I mean how do you reason out how frequently partner has good clubs?
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#10 User is offline   655321 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 07:35

4
That's impossible. No one can give more than one hundred percent. By definition that is the most anyone can give.
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#11 User is offline   Walddk 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 07:45

4. Did I miss a slam? Too bad. He wouldn't know what to do over 5 anyway, and 4NT (two places to play) is not attractive. Even if he bids clubs, it's not at all certain we belong there. He could be 2-3 in the blacks.

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#12 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 08:17

4, and hope we don't miss a slam.
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#13 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 08:38

I don't think either 4 or 6 can be criticized too much here, but I really don't like 5. I know that if a small club were the J instead I would bid 6 for sure. I think this is a much more important change than J to Q.

If this is early in a long match then I would try 6. Otherwise I'd just bid 4 and take the plus.
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#14 User is offline   hrothgar 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 08:57

Walddk, on May 7 2008, 04:45 PM, said:

4. Did I miss a slam? Too bad. He wouldn't know what to do over 5 anyway, and 4NT (two places to play) is not attractive. Even if he bids clubs, it's not at all certain we belong there. He could be 2-3 in the blacks.

Roland

I seem to be the only person suggesting that yiu bidding 4NT (two places to play).
Please note, I have no intention of ever declaring a club contract.

Rather, I think that information about partner's Club length will provide useful information about where he is likely to hold randomly placed honors.

In turn, this information might allow me to make an more accurate decision about level for a Spade contract.

For what its worth, I agree with Justin's basic comment that no one (or very few) players will have sufficient exerience with this type of hand to make an accurate decision at the table. Offline, we can do a monte carlo simulation or some such, but I think that the EBU would frown if I pulled out a laptop during a real event.

I really have no idea whether we want to be in 4 or 6. I'm hoping that the 4NT might provide some useful information. Unfortunately, I'm not sure whether this will justify bypassing 4 on the wrong hands...
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#15 User is offline   cherdano 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 10:11

Jlall, on May 7 2008, 07:32 AM, said:

TBH I think no one has enough experience with this type of hand to have any idea what is right from experience, and no one is capable of reasoning out the best bid either. I mean how do you reason out how frequently partner has good clubs?

How about this reasoning:
If partner has a hand where 6 is good, and you give that hand to LHO, then 6 is probably down. Since RHO might also hold a club honor some day, this suggests 4 is better than 6.
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#16 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 10:32

4 with clenched teeth. Making 6 or 7 I'll bet. Hopefully are opponents look at the hand the same way and out teammates made the same pressure bid.

Put it this way - on a really, really, REALLY bad day you are going bait in 4. The clubs are moth-eaten and there might be a spade loser (or two). Give me solid spades and its a 5 call. Upgrade to solid spades along with KJ9x of clubs and I'll gamble 6.
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#17 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 10:53

4 based on my general principles. Extremely close to 5 but the argument by others that partner can't evaluate accurately is compelling.

I don't despise Richard's plan for 4NT but I don't think it's likely to help. The correlation between partner's club length and club honors seems relatively slight to me, and it would do nothing toward slams that make based on a hand with partner like Qxx xxxx KQxxx x. But maybe it should at least rank higher than blasting 6?
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#18 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 16:19

Richard's plan is ok, but I hope pard can understand the spade pull mastermind, otherwise you'll endup in an hopeless 7 or 7.
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#19 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 16:33

jdonn, on May 7 2008, 11:53 AM, said:

4 based on my general principles.

What are those principles, that partner should pass with strong hands expecting you to have a poor hand? You're such a coward Josh.

I also bid 4S.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

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#20 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2008-May-07, 16:35

han, on May 7 2008, 05:33 PM, said:

jdonn, on May 7 2008, 11:53 AM, said:

4 based on my general principles.

What are those principles

Eat right, exercise, get plenty of sleep unless playing BBO till 2 in the morning, and waste 3 hours a day at work on the forums. It's gotten me where I am today.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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