benlessard, on Apr 1 2008, 04:08 AM, said:
Quote
South has not played enough high level bridge, you have to X the second time around in these spots. Sometimes they make but they can and will routinely bid 4H with any hand that has 6 hearts, any hand that is 5-5, probably most hands that are 5431 if it's a stiff spade, etc. You can pass against little old ladies but there is just way too much risk to pass against a modern expert. Hopefully this hand will teach south.
Disagree. Having 3S and 2H is a big drawback for Xing again. For me south has a clear pass & its not close.
Why north didnt bid 4S is something i just dont understand. The X of 3D is at least suggesting that 3S or 4m can make (remember NS are red so south wont put his head out just for the fun of it).
QJxxx
xx
Qtxxx
x
... what more do you want ? I mean usually you will have complete garbage in this situation.. You have points + a 5-5 and there is good chance partner has a stiff H.
100% blame to north. 0% blame to south. Not close at all.
I agree entirely with Justin.
Any good player, sitting west, will bid 4
♥ on hands on which he has power and hands on which he has shape. While I don't know the statistics in terms of which is more frequent, my feeling is that the latter is at least as probable as the former.
And when he has bid on shape, he is out stealing.. and when you pass 4
♥ you are letting him get away with it.
You simply have to double. This is obviously not free of risk, but good bridge entails taking risks (so does bad bridge, of course)
Your hand is such that the chances of a redouble, when bid on power, is low. The chances of an overtrick are very low. The chances that we have game or +300, when partner can't bid, are high. In the modern pressure game, we simply have to accept that the opps will sometimes 'get' us... because, if we don't, they will 'get' us by stealing our board.
BTW, while I understand the criticisms of North's pass over 4
♥, I think the criticism is ill-founded.
In my view, as with many others, the best use of double of Bergen raises (certainly of the constructive variety) is takeout, not 'natural'. But it appears that either the partnership played it as natural, or they had not discussed it.
If it is merely: I have good, long diamonds.. then bidding either 4
♠ or 5
♦ red v white is extremely dangerous... what is there about N's hand that says that he can take 10 tricks in diamonds opposite some 2=2=6=3 hand with AKJxxx in diamonds?
And bidding 4
♠ 'on the way' will accurately say I have long spades and diamonds and a hand too weak to overcall after 1
♥... but it is a huge gamble. You'd want to bid that way if partner has spades, but you surely don't want to bid that way when he doesn't.
OTOH, after a second double, 4
♠ is clear, regardless of what the first double meant... now partner has power and, if he runs from spades, maybe we'll make diamonds. But I'd expect him to have tolerance for spades. And partner's power makes it highly probable that opener is bidding on shape, and thus I'd expect a stiff heart in dummy, or, as here, that opener has a second suit, which has to be clubs... either way, partner has some spades.
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari
W - N - E - S
1♥-ps-3♦*-X
4♥-ps-ps-ps