NT lead What is yours?
#1
Posted 2008-February-28, 08:06
Partner deals and passes, you hold:
♠ 10953
♥ K73
♦ K652
♣ A10
You both pass all the way. The bidding from opps goes:
1♣ - 2♣*
2NT - 3NT
* - inverted minors
What do you lead?
#3
Posted 2008-February-28, 08:29
wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:
rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:
My YouTube Channel
#4
Posted 2008-February-28, 08:30
#5
Posted 2008-February-28, 08:33
Finding your own mistakes is more productive than looking for partner's. It improves your game and is good for your soul. (Nige1)
#6
Posted 2008-February-28, 08:35
#7
Posted 2008-February-28, 10:08
George Carlin
#8
Posted 2008-February-28, 10:30
#9
Posted 2008-February-28, 10:47
#10
Posted 2008-February-28, 12:17
#11
Posted 2008-February-28, 12:35
Harald
#12
Posted 2008-February-28, 15:38
-♠ lead - will work when partner has ♠ length and honours, and it's has a pretty small success expentacy: needs to find partener with Axxxx (and ♠ to be 22) or KQxxx.
-♦ lead - probably best in MP's has some flaws. If inverted minors denies 4 cards major, it has frequntly 3+card in other minor (3325, 3235, 2335, 3145, 2245, 1345 are the most frequent shapes). Adding 2+♦ in the opener's hand, it's pretty improbable that partner has a 5 carder in ♦. So usually in the best case we will make 4 tricks in diamonds, and this means it's not late to play diamonds even after we'll play ♣A (3♦+♣A is not good enough)
-♥ lead - pretty strangely, has a bigger chance of success than ♠ or♦. It needs Axxxx in partner's hand (or QJxxx and Ax in opps hand). And it's more probable than ♠ lead, because we have an increased chance to find a 5 carder in our 3 card suit, than in a 4 card suit, and it doesn't depend on ♥ lying 22, as in ♠.
So statistically ♥ lead should work better than ♠ lead or ♦ lead
#14
Posted 2008-March-05, 11:47
Then I expect at least 1 of my kings to win, which means I may have another chance to strike the right suit, after ace of clubs is knocked out. It is not guaranteed that they have 9 tricks for taking after club ace is knocked out, unless one opp has 6 clubs.
I think I will still stick with a small spade, and hope partner has 5 with honour, Q10xx, QJxx, or some other helpful holding . If spade is dead wrong, then then we have to take 3 quick tricks after I win hopefully one of my red suit kings.
in MP, blowing overticks is always consideration, so I would lead spade for the same reason

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