Opening lead Partner doubles, can you beat it?
#1
Posted 2008-January-10, 06:51
Q932
98643
4
543
Your opponents undisturbed bidding, starting with RHO:
1♦ - 1♥
1♠ - 2♦
3♣ - 3♥
3NT - 4♦
4♥ - 4NT
5♥ - 6NT
Partner doubles the final contract (in tempo, this is not a UI-problem).
2♦ was XYZ (artificial GF), 3♣, 3♥, 3NT and 4♦ natural. 4♥ was cue agreeing diamonds, followed by RKCB and 2 of 5 aces without the ♦Q. When you ask about 3♣ LHO says it probably shows 4054 (RHO would normally open 1♣ with 44 minors and would rebid 2NT or 3♦ with 4153).
What would you lead, and what would you lead if partner had not doubled?
John
#2
Posted 2008-January-10, 08:00
Undoubled: The same.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#3
Posted 2008-January-10, 11:32
I feel like I shouldn't be overly stressed about this lead since what are declarer's losers going away on? If anything it seems like it'd be on dummy's long hearts.
I'm going to lead a club and hope I hit on partner's KQ. Without the double I'd probably lead a major but I'm not going to think about it too much.
#5
Posted 2008-January-10, 11:58
It seems more than likely that partner has the ace of hearts and a trick he wants to establish somewhere else before that gets knocked out.
#6
Posted 2008-January-10, 13:14
#7
Posted 2008-January-10, 13:20
#8
Posted 2008-January-10, 13:38
#9
Posted 2008-January-10, 13:45
Apollo81, on Jan 11 2008, 04:20 AM, said:
And how exactly can you figure out that you don´t double with AQ in HEarts because the message will be canceled cause pd has five small hearts?
And if you posess A of Diamond and KQ or KJ of Heart. which suit should your partner lead?
If pd has AQ of H and out they may have 6 diamonds 4 clubs and two spade without a finesse?
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#10
Posted 2008-January-10, 13:49
#11
Posted 2008-January-10, 13:54
I know this seems weird, but we have to ask why, at teams, the opponents chose 6NT over 6♦. Certainly declarer is very short in hearts, so it would seem like there's potential to establish additional tricks by ruffing the heart suit. It's not a matchpoint 6NT at this form of scoring.
It seems like one or both of the following is likely:
(1) Dummy's hearts are essentially solid, so he doesn't feel like ruffing them will help.
(2) The opponents are off two of the top three diamonds.
It seems quite possible that partner has a strong diamond holding and is doubling for that lead. This requires less in the way of high cards from partner than most other possibilities -- people seem to be suggesting partner has an ace plus a king-queen combination somewhere, which gives the opponents only 29 hcp and no problem in the diamond suit (leaving the question of why they ended in 6NT).
Without the double I probably lead a spade, hoping for partner with the ♠K plus an entry before opponents can reel off 12 tricks.
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
#12
Posted 2008-January-10, 14:21
ArtK78, on Jan 10 2008, 02:38 PM, said:
This is just foolish IMO.
Larry Cohen wrote an article in the BB 2-3 months ago about a situation quite similar to this where partner doubles a slam and it turns out he DOESN'T want dummy's 1st bid suit led. Partner made a thinking double and we're entitled to think as well. (Granted, reportedly Cohen led dummy's first bid suit, much to the disappointment of Berkowitz).
Isn't a lead into the ♣ suit also a little unusual?
Regardless, I have a hard time believing that declarer can come across 12 tricks with partner holding something like AQ in hearts when he and dummy seem to have a lot of diamonds between them as well. Frankly it seems impossible.
#13
Posted 2008-January-10, 15:24
A heart looks normal, but think about it. If you held KJTxxx and you knew pard was short, why would you be jeopardizing a slam for the extra 70 points for 6N instead of 6♦?
Something else is up. I think dummy's hearts are pretty strong, if not solid. .
A spade lead is out (pard has no knowledge about our Q) which leaves a diamond and a club. I think there's a good chance if pard has the ♦AK it won't go away, so I'll try a club.
#14
Posted 2008-January-11, 02:46
Or in other words, for which lead there is no need to double from pds point of view?
A heart lead is surely NOT high on the list. He does not know that we have five.
Declarer showed first Diamonds, then Spades then Club, everything natural.
Dummy showed Hearts and Diamonds.
I see no bid where they confirmed that they have a control in Club.
So I guess, the normal lead is a club? Pd won´t double with clubs, will he?
Why should partner double and give us the chance to look for a very silly lead while he could be quite confident that club is one of our highest priorities to lead?
If he has AK of Diamond or two cashing aces, the defence had a horrible misunderstanding. Theyx were looking for KCs in Diamonds, so they won´t be so silly to play in 6 NT missing two from 5.
And why shouldPD double for just -100 instead of -50? And are the opps so bad that they are in slam with two aces missing? I doubt this.
What else did posters believe?
Solid hearts in dummy. Possible, but in this case, why don´t they play 6 Heart?
Phil thinks, that the double was a wake up call. Great idea, I am always so sleepy when the opps play slams. I just concentrate to make the tirid overtrick in 2 Diamond undoubled. So I need a slam to be doubled to be alerted.
Pd did the double to help us, or he is SURE that they will fail. We can all agree on
this, can't we?
His help is very commanding, like: Lead dummies first suit. Or it just say: Do something unusual. Unusual would be diamonds or Hearts.
Up to you to decide, I stick to my Heart.
Roland
Sanity Check: Failure (Fluffy)
More system is not the answer...
#15
Posted 2008-January-11, 03:43
kfay, on Jan 10 2008, 03:21 PM, said:
I had not heard about this article, and while I can't claim to be in the same league there are some similarities.
I will wait a bit before I give partners hand (some will probably not agree with his double), but part of the reason I posted was that partner (who is known for almost never saying anything critical to his partners during play) was critical to my "automatic" heart-lead. On the other hand, the only other player who got a similar problem (he is generally regarded as Norways strongest junior player) also lead a heart, but the bidding had been less revealing at his table (and the double less advisable). When I discussed the hand with him after play (of course in the bar
Would LHO really bid 3♥, suggesting hearts as trumps facing a probable void, with ♥KJTxxx(x)? And if he did, where did he expect his partner who has not shown any extra values to find 12 tricks in NT? Opponents are not worldclass, but playing together they got a top 10 finnish in the National Pairs final (which is quite strong in Norway), posting in this forum I should have mentioned if I considered them very unreliable.
John
#17
Posted 2008-January-17, 06:51
Of the posters I count 2 heart-, 2 club- and 1 diamondleader (some say they would lead the same without the double, some don't comment on that). This is an interesting spread, even more so when a spade-lead was the only lead to beat 6NT
Partners actual hand was AKx, x, QTxxx, Jxxx (dummy had Jx, AKQJTxx, Ax, Kx). Personally I think he should have passed, but at least he managed to bid in tempo.
In an earlier post I commented that LHO's 3♥ later followed by 6NT indicated a solid or near-solid suit. Noone has commented on the 4♦ and 4♥ bids. It makes sense to use 4♦ as a cue with solid hearts and 4♥ as signoff, but at the table it was explanained as a natural 4♦ followed by a cuebid. Since LHO was not interested in 6♦ it is not so farfetched to imagine that he holds solid hearts and the ♦A and is interested in a grand if partner got the ♦K and the 2 missing aces (laydown if he also got the ♦Q), as was the case. He preferred 6NT to 6♥ to protect partners hoped for ♠K (or AQ).
His partner cuebid a known void in his primary suit, would he not have cuebid 4♠ instead if he had a spade-cue? If you think along these lines a spadelead is marked. If partner had not doubled there is another argument for a spadelead. Your red-suits holdings indicate that one or both suits may not be breaking. You may need to establish your spadetrick (if partner got just the K) before declarer sets up his suit.
John

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