My favorite...a bidding problem
#1
Posted 2008-January-07, 04:20
#2
Posted 2008-January-07, 05:07
Paul
#4
Posted 2008-January-07, 05:45
#5
Posted 2008-January-07, 06:47
#6
Posted 2008-January-07, 07:06
#7
Posted 2008-January-07, 07:24
I wont pass, and I wont double, depending on your agreement,
double is for penalty, so 5C it is.
With kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#8
Posted 2008-January-07, 09:16
#9
Posted 2008-January-07, 10:09
The risk of 4E making is minimum.
I have two defensive tricks and I am favorite to ruff one Diam.
It is very likely that partner will contribute with a Diam and a Heart trick and if he is short in Clubs (e.g. 3451) we will be very sucessful.
Although I hold a very offensive hand, 5C should show more (I hold a 7 losers hand) or, at least, a better suit.
#10
Posted 2008-January-07, 10:44
5♣
#13
Posted 2008-January-07, 12:31
if you double on these sort of hands youll give away a double or single game swing twice for every time you win by doubling
#14 Guest_Jlall_*
Posted 2008-January-07, 19:22
#15
Posted 2008-January-07, 22:28
A penalty double is probably best but that is probably not what does shows - it certainly isn't for me.
Partner's most likely hand is balanced crap which is good for double because he will probably pass (although it will sometimes make when he has that hand) but bad for bidding as 5♣ will often fail.
As I often do when looking at situations like this I did a very crude simulation on approximately the following conditions:
Opener has a standard american 1♦ - 4=4=3=2 or balanced with four diamonds or long diamonds unbalanced and not 15-17 balanced.
The opponent has some distribution and seven or more spades (and probably is not going several down.
The initial simulation suggested a small gain for bidding 5♣ over passing but was very sensitive to things like allowing the opponents to double you when 5♣ was not making and the possibilities that partner will bid 6♣ making sometimes and not making other times.
All in all it is pretty close between that and bidding 5♣ but I will stick with my initial guess and pass.
If double is unitaterally penalties then that would be much better.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#16
Posted 2008-January-08, 01:24
cardsharp, on Jan 7 2008, 06:07 AM, said:
Well....
miguelm, on Jan 7 2008, 11:09 AM, said:
pclayton, on Jan 7 2008, 11:48 AM, said:
Jlall, on Jan 7 2008, 08:22 PM, said:
With more feelings in each of those directions. So maybe it's not so simple.
I'm pretty sure LHO was not a passed hand Helene. I checked back before I posted, but I won't bet my life on it.
#17
Posted 2008-January-08, 06:49
Hei, I have been called retarded.... thanks pclayton, long time I didn't get one of those... and as an argument I have to say it is really convincent
#18
Posted 2008-January-08, 07:19
This is one of those hands where you know double is 'right' as long as partner can see your hand before deciding what to do over it.
Pass has a lot going for it, but I can't face it.
#19
Posted 2008-January-08, 10:47
jdonn, on Jan 8 2008, 09:24 AM, said:
Myhands agrees with you. My bad.
Btw, at five other tables in the main room the auction started the same way. Three players bid 5♣ and two passed. This is surprising since some posters say they would double if that would be penalties - and a random BBO partner would probably take it as penalties.
#20
Posted 2008-January-08, 11:12
To be clear, I think double is retarded, not the doubler

Help

1♦ (4♠) to you