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Assign the blame - really this time.

Poll: Who is to blame for missing the grand? (42 member(s) have cast votes)

Who is to blame for missing the grand?

  1. 100% West (5 votes [11.90%])

    Percentage of vote: 11.90%

  2. Mostly West (12 votes [28.57%])

    Percentage of vote: 28.57%

  3. About equal (1 votes [2.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.38%

  4. Mostly East (1 votes [2.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.38%

  5. 100% East (1 votes [2.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 2.38%

  6. Nobody/Bad Luck/Preempts Work (22 votes [52.38%])

    Percentage of vote: 52.38%

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#1 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 18:03

Scoring: IMP

4♦ 4♠ P P
P

Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#2 User is offline   dburn 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 18:16

Mostly West, partly bad luck - it's hard to see what East was supposed to do other than what he did.

One can imagine West, who knew that he and East had not discussed the position before, wanting to bid 5♣ as a control bid for spades, but not particularly wanting to play there if East did not share this view. He might also have wanted to bid 5♦, which certainly agrees spades, but did not particularly want to have East do something foolish on the assumption that West had a diamond control.

If West could bid 5♣ and know that East would understand it, then obviously he should have done. Perhaps the partnership will know next time - when, of course, West will be dealt ♠None ♥Axx ♦xx ♣KQJ10xxxx. But that's life.
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#3 User is offline   BillHiggin 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 18:31

Foolish me, as West I would bid 5♠ asking for diamond control. I may need more than that, but that would fall under the "preempts work" category.
You must know the rules well - so that you may break them wisely!
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#4 User is online   mike777 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 18:39

about equal
1) east may have started with double
2) west may have bid 5spades.

Difficult hand.
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#5 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 18:44

Preempts work. West could have tried 5♠ or whatever, but pass is ok.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
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#6 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 19:04

This is about as close to a 'no blame' sequence that I've ever seen. Even the 5 level isn't safe across from some very typical 4♠ overcalls.

Anyone that assesses blame here is resulting.

If you want to blame anyone, blame the opps for not bidding more with 11 diamonds.
"Phil" on BBO
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#7 User is offline   awm 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 19:05

I blame west. East's hand is good, but if you move one of the small spades to a small diamond then I don't think east has much better than a minimum and you're still cold for 6♠.

Obviously if east can bid 4♠ on something like a "weak 4♠ opening" then you're pretty much fixed by your methods (east's call too wide ranging). But even if east could have something like ♠AKJ-seventh and out, it seems very low probability given south's pass and west's hand.
Adam W. Meyerson
a.k.a. Appeal Without Merit
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#8 User is offline   Apollo81 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 19:46

Preempts work. I'm sure I would replicate this auction.
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#9 User is offline   neilkaz 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 19:52

Mostly west. While it is true that east has a max, I'm not sure that I'd x and then bid ♠ (often at the 5 level over 5♦) so 4♠ seem enough.

West is worth a try for slam, and I do that with a 5♣ cue bid and if east has a min he just signs off in 5♠.

I expect to gain more imps from slams I find as west via a try, than I lose when all we can take is 10 tricks.

.. neilkaz ..
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#10 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 01:08

pclayton, on Nov 6 2007, 08:04 PM, said:

This is about as close to a 'no blame' sequence that I've ever seen. Even the 5 level isn't safe across from some very typical 4♠ overcalls.

Anyone that assesses blame here is resulting.

If you want to blame anyone, blame the opps for not bidding more with 11 diamonds.

Phil wins all the points in my book (some others too such as Noble). I was west and passed after just a little thought, as people would probably expect from me since I virtually always advocate passing in these positions. When I later gave my hand to Justin as a bidding problem he passed instantly, and laughed at me for even claiming I had to think 5 seconds before passing (and I deserved it!) You must must must must must!!! pass on hands like this to cater to the vast amount of times the overcaller has to stretch, or else you'll just never get into the auction on these hands.

Partner's actual hand was AJT9xxx x QT Kxx, not the one I posted. Anyone bidding on gets exactly what they deserve. For anyone thinking partner doesn't have his overcall, my two thoughts are if he didn't you would be missing a great vul game on a very typical hand if he had to pass, and that you could add the spade king and club queen (and diamond king! since they are 8-1) to his hand and bidding on still gets you a minus, opposite AKJT9xx x KQ KQx. It is just so crucial partner feels comfortable that he won't be hung on marginal overcalls like this, I can't stress it enough.

(By the way I sort of lied again. The bidders don't get exactly what they deserve since even 4 went down! The heart ace was offside and spades were 2-0 also offside. However I was told by RHO he would have doubled 5♠ on his Kx QJxx A QT9xxx so at least you all get 500 for your troubles instead of 100. The mere fact that even 4♠ is not a sure thing tells me just how wrong it is to bid on.)

Justin gets the credit here, he told me to post it as a problem where a slam was missed and watch person after person blame west (wdp!) So I say kudos to the (as of now) 5 who say this made-up example was bad luck, and shame on the 8 who blamed west.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#11 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 01:17

2 more minor points I want to add:

1: The made up example would be a lot easier if north had to open 3NT to show a minor suit preempt. East could double then bid 4♠ and west would move. You can keep your namyats, thank you.

2: The actual hand shows why I don't think these auctions should create a forcing pass, even at this vul. But I admit it's debatable.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#12 User is offline   dburn 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 02:35

jdonn, on Nov 7 2007, 02:08 AM, said:

For anyone thinking partner doesn't have his overcall, my two thoughts are if he didn't you would be missing a great vul game on a very typical hand if he had to pass

Such as?

It is no wonder that pre-empts work, if people are going to bid over them every time they need four trumps to an honour, an ace and a king opposite to esacpe for down only one.
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We hang for what they wrote.
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#13 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 04:27

Apollo81, on Nov 7 2007, 01:46 AM, said:

Preempts work. I'm sure I would replicate this auction.

me 2
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#14 User is offline   Codo 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 04:48

I wanted to write a comment like: Well said Phil, because I can underwrite his statement word for word.

I had expected a stronger hand from east then the original AJT9xxx x QT Kxx. I don´t share Jo-jus view, that this is a normal overcall after a 4 Diamond opening.
8 working HCP, quite crappy suit for a 4 level bid, this is too agressive for people of my age.

But I agree that AKJT9xx x QT KQx, is an overcall and you should not move on with the west hand. And I really like the idea to play one hand and post another.
Kind Regards

Roland


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More system is not the answer...
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#15 User is offline   Winstonm 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 07:07

100% blame to North.
"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."
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#16 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 08:15

I agree with Winstonn

4♠ with AJ109xx x Q10 Kxx is sick, even vs a great dummy it went down.
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#17 User is offline   dicklont 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 13:50

Very good thread, I stand corrected.
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#18 User is offline   ArtK78 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 15:38

I am going to make what might be considered an internally inconsistent post.

I agree with the 4♠ overcall on the actual hand, and I would bid 5♠ with the West hand.

The concept of bidding 4♠ over 4♥ is fairly well known. You stretch to bid over a 4♥ preempt whenever you have any excuse to do so. So, I would have bid 4♠ on the actual East hand.

I would also have bid 5♠ on the actual West hand. While one knows that partner could be stretching to bid 4♠, he also might "have the goods." It doesn't take a truly great 4♠ overcall for slam to be cold. For example:

AKxxxx
Ax
x
Kxxx

OR

AKxxxx
AQx
x
xxx

And if partner has less, then you may still be safe at 5♠. But to pass out 4♠ is too deep a position to take. Passing 4♠ is catering to the weakest possible 4♠ overcall. And I am not willing to take that deep a position.

So, if you pass with the West hand, you will miss some very good slams. And the preemptors will have won again. Occasionally, bidding on will get you too high. Life is tough.
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#19 User is offline   dburn 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 16:12

It is as if one were to post a message asking what one would bid with:

♠AQx ♥xxx ♦KJxx ♣10xx

after partner opens a 15-17 1NT. To those who naively raise to 3NT, one then says: "Well, on this occasion partner had

♠KJxx ♥Ax ♦AQxx ♣Qxx

and the defence took the first five club tricks when the opening leader turned up with ♣KJxxx. I of course passed 1NT, because one must, must, must pass in these positions with balanced ten counts including two unguarded suits, and look how clever I was."

I am in Poland at the moment for the Champions Cup, which begins tomorrow. Of the champions to whom I have spoken thus far, I have collected one passer, two 5♠ bidders and one 5♣ bidder. Oh, and no 4♠ overcallers on the actual East hand, though I have learned the word for "ridiculous" in two languages in which I did not already know it.
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#20 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 16:35

Good luck David!
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