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a hand from Master Solver's Club strong 3244 shape overcalling 1 spade

#1 User is offline   rbforster 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 11:21

I was interested to read the results of a recent poll in the Bridge World's Master Solver's Club. The problem is repeated below:

Scoring: MP

(1)-?


Despite having a 19 count, you have neither a stopper nor heart tolerance, so controlling the auction if you make the "normal" values double may be difficult since you can't bid NT later or raise hearts with only two. Of the experts,

~20% chose to double
~60% chose a "heavy" 15-18 NT overcall without a stopper
~20% chose a "heavy" pass(!), planning to show the minors later with 2N if possible
and a stray vote or two for 2 with only a 4 card suit.

If most of the experts are unwilling to double with a 19 count, how far does this go? What about even stronger hands with the same shape, like:

22 count?
Jxx
AQ
KQJx
AKQx

24 count?
Jxx
AJ
AKQx
AKQx

The stronger your hand gets, the worse pass looks since 1 is increasingly likely to be passed out (and to be a reasonable place with a friendly spade break and most of the spade honors in opener's hand).

Would people here choose to double with these better hands? Still any passers or 1NT'ers with so many extra values? Do we have any takers for a 4-4 "unusual" 2NT or a 3 stopper ask?
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#2 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 11:26

I'm surprised Jeff Rubens didn't bid 2C, maybe Kokish as well.

Anyway, I agree with your statement, the stronger the hand, the less attractive pass is and also the less attractive 1NT becomes.

Keep in mind that even when you have a Jxx AJ AKQx AKQx and RHO opens 1S, you probably can't make any game.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#3 User is offline   rbforster 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 11:32

Hannie, on Nov 5 2007, 12:26 PM, said:

I'm surprised Jeff Rubens didn't bid 2C, maybe Kokish as well.

My percentages were approximate - there were two 2 bidders (out of 25 votes), Carl Hudecek and David Berkowitz. Ruben was a minority doubler and Kokish chose 1NT.

Quote

Anyway, I agree with your statement, the stronger the hand, the less attractive pass is and also the less attractive 1NT becomes.

Keep in mind that even when you have a Jxx AJ AKQx AKQx and RHO opens 1S, you probably can't make any game.

Right, it's still only 7 tricks even with 24 highs. Perhaps this is an argument for 1NT afterall - bid what you can make! You can even go down one in 2 as a good sac against their 1 making if partner has enough hearts to transfer you.
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#4 User is offline   mike777 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 11:57

I thought 1nt was pretty clear unless you are from Italy in which case you double with all hand types. :)

Note now if LHO bids on the two level you can bid 2nt now for the minors.

BTW this is a very common BW theme over the decades...bidding a direct or balancing seat NT without no stinking stoppers.
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#5 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 12:05

mike777, on Nov 5 2007, 12:57 PM, said:

I thought 1nt was pretty clear unless you are from Italy in which case you double with all hand types. :)

Note now if LHO bids on the two level you can bid 2nt now for the minors.

The times I have seen experts make that bid, they had overcalled 1NT on a long suit and still wanted to declare, like QJx Ax xx AKQxxx.
Please let me know about any questions or interest or bug reports about GIB.
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#6 User is offline   pclayton 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 12:22

Power doublers unite!

I bid an unsatisfied 1N I think.
"Phil" on BBO
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#7 User is offline   han 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 15:22

Are power doubles really a solution to this hand? Sure, you won't have a problem choosing your call on this round but your problem on the next round may be much larger. I think that is quite likely actually.
Please note: I am interested in boring, bog standard, 2/1.

- hrothgar
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#8 User is offline   helene_t 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 15:30

1NT for me. If I dbl, after p's 2 I will have to cue, and we might end in 3 in a 4-2 fit. I think I'll sooner bid 2 than dbl or pass.
The world would be such a happy place, if only everyone played Acol :) --- TramTicket
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#9 User is offline   rbforster 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 16:01

Hannie, on Nov 5 2007, 04:22 PM, said:

Are power doubles really a solution to this hand? Sure, you won't have a problem choosing your call on this round but your problem on the next round may be much larger. I think that is quite likely actually.

I'm not sure about that. I play power doubles and herbert negatives (first step 0-4 points, opposite a 15+ double), so at least you'll have an idea whether partner has any values or not before you have to make your unpalatable choice. I'd be much happier bidding 1NT knowning partner was almost broke, especially on the stronger balanced hands.

This particular case of 1-X however (in contrast to over 1) is bad for the negative bid methods too though, since the 1NT advance by partner could be on any 0-4, or could be 5-7 balanced (not necessarily with a stopper). At least, that's the way I play it.
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#10 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 16:23

I'd most probably make a 1NT overcall on this hand. And I'd overcall 2 long before I'd double.
Kind regards,
Harald
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#11 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 16:26

Double post - those things happen when you're chatting on messenger and posting simultaneously! :P
Kind regards,
Harald
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#12 User is offline   jdonn 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 16:48

I would certainly not put 2 ahead of double. That is just begging to miss a game when partner has a 1NT response to a takeout double, or a weakish hand with long hearts. I don't think it's unreasonable to double and just pass 2, any other bid is good for you and even then partner might have five of them or you might make on power in the 4-2.

But 1NT is fine too.
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#13 User is offline   MFA 

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Posted 2007-November-05, 21:32

Double. Get it over with. OK, 2 might not be a pretty contract, but this I can live with.

1NT has many ways to lose:
- We are too strong
- We don't have a spade stopper
- We have wrongsided NT
- We have wrongsided
- It will be hard to get to a minor suit contract.

2 (or 2) is not for me. We are toast, if partner doesn't have fit there.

But pass is especially bad. This is basically giving up on game, just for avoiding a silly partscore contract? Non ci capisco niente!
Michael Askgaard
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Posted 2007-November-05, 22:24

If I was trying to score 100 in MSC I would have bid 1N, but I think the right bid is X. I used to always bid 1N with this hand type but I have learned from the italians...too many good things can happen if you X.
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#15 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 11:05

Dbl + 2NT, in line with my "stoppers are for kids" theory.
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#16 User is offline   tysen2k 

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Posted 2007-November-06, 12:14

Dbl for me, but I don't mind 1N.

Tysen
A bit of blatant self-pimping - I've got a new poker book that's getting good reviews.
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#17 User is offline   foo 

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Posted 2007-November-07, 16:19

♠ Jxx ♥ Ax ♦ KQxx ♣ AKQx

after (1S)-??, the SJ is likely waste paper unless GOP has length or strength in 's. I agree with the majority and downgrade my hand to a 1N overcall showing 15-18.

Yes, I only have "1/2 a stop". But any other call is a worse distortion of my hand.

Give me Jxx.xx.AKQx.AKQx or Jxx.Qx.(AKxx.AKQx) or the like, and I'm overcalling an unusual Unusual 2N!
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