Posted 2004-February-12, 09:30
There is a lot of blame to go around. What clues did east have? West lead the ♥2, marking South with four ♥. West didn't make a sequence lead, so south clealy has at least the ♥T and maybe higher ♥ as well, so ♥ will never be a source of more than one more trick.
The ♠ suit in dummy is ominous, especially given that EAST holds three ♠ to the jack. If south has ♠Qx there are five ♠ tricks, and if south has ♠xx there are four. So the minor suit(s) will have to be the source of the setting tricks. I would have never returned a ♥. I would have returned a ♣ at trick two, and upon getting a negative signal, tried a ♦ if I as thrown in with a ♠. This way I get a shot at either minor.
What clue did West have? Well, East signalled for a ♦ while he himself can see the ♦KQT, what else can he return when he wins the third round of ♥ but a ♦. He too can see the ♠ danger. I can't imagine ever leading a ♠ here...even if you talk declarer out of a ♠ hook if he has the ♠J this just can't be the winning play.
But on the other hand, how in the world can EAST pitch a ♣ on the third ♥? I don't generally use o/e discards, but if I did, the obvious discard seems to me to be the ♠8 to ask for a ♦.
Clearly not a sterling defense...
Trick one.. ♥2 queen wins.. seems normal
Trick two.. ♥ return, seems very wrong, so demerits EAST
Trick three.. ♣ discard, not fatal, but also seems wrong,
Trick four.. ♠ exit... is suicidal and is final error, and ignores partner's "carefully" planned call for a ♦ lead.
So EAST made two mistakes, but West made the biggest. I guess lets call it roughly equal. But EAST could have masterminded the defense (with a switch at trick two, or a safe ♠ discard, so I give EAST 55% to blame.
Ben
--Ben--
N is the dealer
1♠ P 1NT P
2♦ P 2NT P
3♥ P 3NT AP